Spin

by Don Boudreaux on April 6, 2006

in Myths and Fallacies

Half Sigma – a regular, and regularly thoughtful, commentor
at Café Hayek – offers this observation today in a comment on this post:

We live in a marketing economy, and companies prosper not by
having better products, but by creating the PERCEPTION that they have better
products.

This allegation is widely believed. And while it would be foolish to deny that some
companies sometimes try to deceive consumers about the quality of their
products – and equally foolish to deny that some consumers sometimes fall for
these deceptions – Half Sigma’s comment is whoppingly at odds with reality.

If Half Sigma’s claim were correct, then the quality of
products widely available today would be little changed from that of products
widely available in the past.

Indeed, if this claim were true, the quality of today’s
products might well be worse than product quality in the past. If companies can succeed through marketing to
fool people consistently into believing that today’s product is better than
yesterday’s product when, in fact, today’s product is no better than yesterday’s
product, then surely companies can succeed through marketing to fool people
consistently into believing that today’s product is better than yesterday’s
product when, in fact, today’s product is worse than yesterday’s product.

But no matter, for reality is replete with products whose
quality is today obviously higher than in the past.  Automobiles, televisions, audio equipment, telephones
(including cell-phones), computers, sporting equipment, gas grills, carpentry
tools, cookware, contact lenses, movie theaters, digital cameras, computer
software, .… the list is long. Even the
quality of wine corkage is slowly but surely improving.

Am I mistaken? Am I
so utterly duped by the wizards of Madison Avenue that I only think that the
goods listed above (and countless others) are today of generally higher quality than they were a few
years ago?  Am I merely fooled, for example, into thinking that having to bring my car in for a tune-up every 100,000 miles is better than having to bring it in for a tune-up every 20,000 miles?

Comments

{ 37 comments }

spencer April 6, 2006 at 5:28 pm

As someone who argues with you all the itme — that is what I enjoy doing — you are right on this point.

bbartlog April 6, 2006 at 5:45 pm

Both of you are right! Sometimes (indeed often) it is easiest to create the perception of high quality by actually creating high quality. Of course if I read Half Sigma's comment in this way, it's something of a tautology. I imagine the intent is to say that quality is *not* higher rather than simply to emphasize consumer perception as the proximate cause of buying decisions…

John Dewey April 6, 2006 at 5:48 pm

I certainly wouldn't discount the power of advertising. But I think it only works when the message is backed up by performance.

Volvo's advertising has for decades planted one idea in our minds: its cars are safer. They've invested so much in engineering, features, and testing facilities that they actually deliver safer cars.

If Volvo didn't produce the quality claimed – if insurance statistics showed its cars were no safer than others – they would have been exposed very quickly.

Half Sigma April 6, 2006 at 5:58 pm

Along the lines of what bbartlog said, creating actual quality is one of several ways to create the perception of quality, but it's the perception which drives the sale, not the actual quality.

John Dewey April 6, 2006 at 6:19 pm

"it's the perception which drives the sale, not the actual quality."

I'm not so sure. Consumers value actual quality enough to investigate products. That's why Consumer Reports was so successful for so many years. Its the reason magazines such as Car and Driver, Golf Digest, Motor Trend, and PC World highlight their product tests on magazine covers. It's why one of the 5 tabs at CNET.COM is labeled "Reviews".

Isaac Crawford April 6, 2006 at 6:46 pm

"I'm not so sure. Consumers value actual quality enough to investigate products. That's why Consumer Reports was so successful for so many years. Its the reason magazines such as Car and Driver, Golf Digest, Motor Trend, and PC World highlight their product tests on magazine covers. "

I think that this plays more into the perception rather than the actual quality of the goods. Consumer reports is well known among serious car, audio, photography, etc. enthusiasts as being generally clueless about what they are reviewing and what is important. Consumer reports gives the perception of quality (or the lack thereof) but they frequently give out boneheaded advice. It doesn't matter much to many people because they see consumer reports as definitive, but all they have to go on is the perception of that magazine, and they buy it.

Isaac

JohnJ April 6, 2006 at 6:56 pm

While perception may play a part, people who actually do purchase higher quality goods tend to have more success at whatever they do, since they tend to be using higher quality goods with which to achieve success. Perception is not reality.

Charlie Quidnunc April 6, 2006 at 7:05 pm

It depends on the type of market. I work in what is referred to as an imperfect market: very high cost information technology equipment. Buyers are at a terrible information disadvantage to the companies who make the products. The manufacturer has access to all the necessary quality information on their products, but withholds that from the market for competitive advantage. The customers only know their own experiences, or those of a few carefully chosen references to go on the quality of the products. They are forced to trust a vendor they are used to working with. The consultants who claim to provide unbiased information have no incentive to do any real quality or performance research. They often just pass on claims of vendors without scientific verification. The perception that a few leading vendors produce superior quality products is not based on statistically significant information, but rather on a tiny portion of the marketplace. Leading vendors who outsell their competitors continue to do well, and startup's routinely fail. Real performance and quality information is not shared.

There are probably many similar markets where the vendors are at a significant information advantage over their customers. Industrial sales, defense procurement, and others come to mind. Contrast that with markets like commodities, with many sellers and a few experienced buyers.

Steven Donegal April 6, 2006 at 7:06 pm

I think you are both right to some extent. There clearly are products that have been improved and have better quality than previous versions. Television sets are a prime example. There are other products that may have a richer feature set, but it isn't clear that the quality or usefulness of the product has really been improved. And then there are those products that are always "New and improved"–like laundry detergent. Do we really think that today's Tide gets clothes noticeably cleaner than 20 years ago?

John Dewey April 6, 2006 at 7:08 pm

"Consumer reports is well known among serious car, audio, photography, etc. enthusiasts as being generally clueless about what they are reviewing and what is important."

Care to back that statement up? Obviously the general public doesn't agree with you. What makes a person a "serious car enthusiast", anyway? How do you differentiate them from the apparently millions of clueless consumer who must be thoughtlessly plunking down their $30,000? Is the definition for "serious car enthusiast" simply "doesn't rely on Consumer Reports"?

Half Sigma April 6, 2006 at 7:12 pm

Actually, my original quote was "better products," I don't know where "quality" came in; quality is only one feature of a product, although it is a feature especially susceptible to marketing because often consumers are unable to judge the quality themselves.

Supposedly Betamax had better quality than VHS, but it's hard to say it was the better product overall because VHS recorded for an extra hour on a tape and the price was lower, perhaps making VHS the better product for most consumers.

Half Sigma April 6, 2006 at 7:22 pm

And furthermore, the issue is the comparison of products being sold in competition with each other and not the overall increase in quality with improving technology.

I'm certainly in agreement that technological advancement has allowed certain types of products to improve greatly in quality at little additional cost to the manufacturer.

However, when the consumer is in Best Buy choosing between two DVD players, he may buy the Sony for $90 instead of the no-name brand for $30 because Sony has the perception of being better, but who knows?

cm April 6, 2006 at 7:43 pm

Naomi Klein's point was about branding. Does this not cause people to buy one product over another identical product? Someone could buy a Nike quality shoe without the swoosh for $5, but most people instead pay $50 for the one with the swoosh.

Since America doesn't manufacture much anymore, most of the value an American company earns on a consumer product comes from the perception.

How much ad spending goes to explaining the high quality of the product? Sometimes you can't even tell from the ad what the product actually is.

Brad April 6, 2006 at 8:59 pm

I prefer to use Virginia Postrel's thesis about style rather than Klein's rant about branding, but… One example I can point to is pet products. Go into Petsmart or Petco and notice how things are packaged to appeal to the pet's owner in the store! Here's a very specific example… "Greenies"…. A tub of Greenies ($33) used to have the chews enclosed in a sealed ziploc bag for "freshness". I guess that didn't make a difference because now the tub (same price) has no inner bag. I didn't get the point of the freshness bag anyway. These are for my dogs and they'd eat the Greenies if they cam fresh from a hole outside. Of course, I'm spending more than $1/unit on dog treats — old socks are probably more cost effective!

True_Liberal April 6, 2006 at 9:09 pm

A dramatic example:

50-60 years ago it was downright difficult and expensive for airline crewmembers to get life insurance. Even though their health was excellent (and thoroughly checked
twice a year), the risk of accidental death was higher than the general population.

Today, they get discounts because their occupational risk is so low.

Today, airliner engine reliability is so high the average pilot will fly an entire career without ever experiencing a genuine failure — but they still train over and over to handle such an event.

And to top all, fares have decreased 70 to 90% in real terms.

Varangy April 6, 2006 at 9:45 pm

Naomi Klein's point was about branding. Does this not cause people to buy one product over another identical product? Someone could buy a Nike quality shoe without the swoosh for $5, but most people instead pay $50 for the one with the swoosh.

Naomi Klein (as do you) mistakenly assumes that Nike and some anonymous brand shoes are identical.

Hardly.

Let us assume that is the case — and the shoes are physically/structurally identical — a consumer-teenager may still rationally choose to buy the Nikes at $50. vs. some anonymous brand at $5. — he/she (probably correctly) assumes the head-turning factor of the Nikes is probably greater than 10x that of the head-turning factor of some anonymous brand and as such, factors that into his/her decison-making process.

Mickey Klein April 6, 2006 at 11:04 pm

Advertising that creates a cultural cache can actually add some value because with many items how other people percieve that item purchase is part of the utility.

Say that your goal is appear more fashionable, you may very well gain more utility from a product from cultural allure created by the advertisers.

But this is nothing new, it just that 50 years ago such rampant purchasing of items was reserved for the very few.

Mickey Klein April 6, 2006 at 11:51 pm

Or, better put, the increase of disposable income towards such items should be a sign of prosperity instead instead of peril. Marginal spending edges towards luxuries as people gain income.

cm April 7, 2006 at 12:03 am

If people are so smart that they cannot be duped by Madison Ave as Don implies, then why do these corporations bother to spend any money on marketing in the first place?

According to this belief, the higher quality product will always win out, regardless of attempts to manipulate people's perceptions.

So here is a sure fire way to get very rich:

Sell for the same price a higher quality product, through the savings of not wasting money on marketing. Watch the profits roll in as everyone clamors to get said product.

Nico April 7, 2006 at 1:21 am

Well, you'd still at least have to let people know about it- which means marketing of some sort.

I think it's important to understand that quality is a relative thing- the quality of a product is based on how well it serves whatever purpose you intend it to have.

Part of what most people consider to be quality in clothing is the image that it conveys to people (many, especially anti-capitalism types, might deny this, but everyone does it).

One purpose of marketing clothing and other style stuff, I think, is to convey a certain image to many people at once, so that a person buying that product has an idea of how others will view it.

It's clearly not the case, though, that marketing is everything. A lot of heavily marketed products sell poorly. One falacy of anti-capitalist thinking is that producers simply generate demand by manipulating people through marketing. I suspect, rather, that marketers are constantly trying to tap into existing cultural norms.

John Pertz April 7, 2006 at 1:36 am

Advertising is a funciton of weakness. The fact that McDy's still takes the time to start "pound one" campaigns about the double quarter pounder is a good sign. The day that corporations stop advertising is the day that I say that advertising is the primary funcition of demand.

blake April 7, 2006 at 2:16 am

As Mises wrote in human action, advertising (business propaganda) can indeed succeed in getting the consumer to buy a certain product.

but if that product is no good, or of relatively lesser quality, then the consumer will not CONTINUE to buy it, effectively dooming that company.

Advertising may help get a product sold the first time, but quality, not perception, is what satisfies consumers and keeps them coming back.

Russell Nelson April 7, 2006 at 2:18 am

The perception of WHATEVER the only thing that can drive us to act, since we have absolutely no awareness of that which we cannot perceive. Thus it is sophomorically thoughtful for Half Sigma to say "it's the perception which drives the sale, not the actual quality."

JohnDewey April 7, 2006 at 2:45 am

John Pertz,

I don't understand what you mean by "advertising is a function of weakness". Consider the example of Volvo I offerred above. If they continue to spend billions engineering an increasingly safe automobile, doesn't it just make sense to continue informing the public? Where is the weakness? Their surveys may show consumers already regard their cars are the safest. Even so, they should still defend their strong position.

Am I completely misunderstanding the meaning of your post?

JohnDewey April 7, 2006 at 3:32 am

Steven Donegal asks:
"Do we really think that today's Tide gets clothes noticeably cleaner than 20 years ago?"

Perhaps that single product does not noticeably clean better, but that's not the only measure of laundry detergent quality.

Procter and Gamble has developed new detergent products the past 20 years. They also continue to research and test their existing ones.

Here's a short passage from a 2005 Business Week article on how P&G maintains leadership position of their brands:

"Why would P&G tinker with Tide? Long the detergent leader, Tide would seem best left alone, a profitable annuity on years of mass-market flogging in the '60s, '70s, and '80s. But P&G has tinkered nonetheless, combining strong technology and consumer research to push sales up 2.6% over the last year in a category that is growing less than 1%."

One recent innovation was Tide Coldwater, their detergent developed to clean especially well in cold water. They've determined that the average household can save $63 per year in energy costs by switching to Tide Coldwater. This "innovation" may simply match recent products by other companies. But for Tide, it still represents an improvement.

Quality gains are not limited to just the detergent itself. Laundry detergent packaging also continues to improve. Liquid laundry detergents now come with no-drip spouts and well-designed carrying handles that didn't exist 20 years ago.

widmerpoool April 7, 2006 at 5:19 am

My wife is in charge of marketing for a large Japanese company in the CIS. Research they did last year found that less than 10% of people buying their consumer goods in Russia could recall ever seeing an advertisement for any of their goods. Their decision was based mainly on three factors: looks, price, and what the saleman said.

It is a constant debate in her company whether it is worth advertising at all, and she knows for a fact that in the CIS they spend less than a fifth of what the Korean companies spend on marketing, while still enjoying higher sales.

I've spent a considerable amount of time with people in advertising and marketing, as most of my wife's friends are, and I have noticed that most of their work seems to be aimed primarily at impressing other people in advertising and marketing, and that when asked outright what impact their work has on sales they can't answer.

Mike April 7, 2006 at 8:20 am

My understanding, in addition to much of what was said above, is that companies spend substantial sums on advertising to overcome agency problems. In other words, the reason Monster.com might spend $2 million for a Super Bowl ad signals to potential customers that they are a serious player – that they will not take the money and run. In order to make the $2 million a wise investment, the company must be around for a considerable period of time to earn a reasonable return.

No fly by night company would spend that sort of money on advertising, which is why I tend to stay away from those sorts of places in general.

-Mike

Abu el Banat April 7, 2006 at 8:34 am

I think there is some confusion between advertising and brand identity. With premium brands, e.g., Sony, consumers are willing to pay more for the brand name because the company has established the brand name as a signal of quality. Sony's brand name does not command a premium (solely) because of advertising but because Sony has established a reputation of quality by long years of producing quality products.

Consumers buy Sony exactly because they are unable to independently judge individual product quality before purchase, and they know they are unable to judge individual product quality. The brand name serves as a bond with consumers. Sony has invested a lot in its brand and is unlikely to risk that valuable brand by producing inferior products.

Half Sigma April 7, 2006 at 8:44 am

"Sony's brand name does not command a premium (solely) because of advertising but because Sony has established a reputation of quality by long years of producing quality products."

Let's look at the track record:

Sony notebook computer: stopped working after two years.
Sony desktop stereo (cost me $300): stopped ejecting CDs after two years.
Sony Wega TV: wavy picture, not exactly what I'd call premium quality
Sony digital camera: returned to Sony repair, came back with different stuff broken, sent back again.

Why do I keep buying this Sony junk? They must have brainwashed me somehow.

Noah Yetter April 7, 2006 at 12:02 pm

Once a consumer has a product in his or her hands, ex post reality displaces ex ante perception. You could potentially argue that a firm that sells goods that consumers buy only once, and never tell their friends about, could succeed in this way. But any firm that relies on repeat business, or that relies to any extent on word-of-mouth "advertising", cannot.

I know that Lipton makes better iced tea than Luzianne because I've tried them both. I know that an 01 Subaru Legacy is better than the 94 model because I own the latter and my father owned the former. I know that T-Mobile gives cruddy reception in Golden, CO because my phone has zero bars just now. I know that Kitchen Aid makes the best stand mixers because I've had one for about 15 years. The best advertising in the universe cannot fool me about a single one of those things.

Chance April 7, 2006 at 1:45 pm

That music you are listening to isn't nearly as good as it sounds.

Henri Hein April 7, 2006 at 9:42 pm

"Sell for the same price a higher quality product, through the savings of not wasting money on marketing. Watch the profits roll in as everyone clamors to get said product."

In the event, that's actually a pretty good business model.

I once spoke with the founders of AlphaSmart, a limited computer system used in classrooms. They grew to a $20 million business, without ever spending a buck on advertising.

Another more prominent example is Google. They grew huge without ever advertising, with lots of competing search engines with installed bases.

Henri Hein April 7, 2006 at 9:51 pm

Advertising is overrated.

The most potent advertising is word-of-mouth. (See my post above for a couple of examples). That's why marketers nowadays are all excited about "viral marketing," which is just attempting to formalise word-of-mouth.

A firm cannot compensate poor quality with advertising. Name a single instance where that worked.

The only place where marketing works is to differentiate interchangable products, such as Coke and Pepsi.

JohnDewey April 8, 2006 at 12:48 am

Henri Hein,

I understand your argument. But I think advertising has its place.

A firm could could save advertsing expenses and depend on word of mouth to spread its message. But why give up millions of revenue waiting for that to happen? A firm can create a superior product, but how will customers know it even exists without some form of marketing?

Consider once again the example of Volvo. The company may spend hundreds of millions adding safety features to its vehicles. Should it depend solely on Motor Trend and Car and Driver to get the message out? It just makes sense to spend a few million letting the public know why they should stop in at a Volvo dealership. Could they do that effectively without advertising?

Henri Hein April 8, 2006 at 1:08 pm

John,

"A firm can create a superior product, but how will customers know it even exists without some form of marketing?"

It happens. Word-of-mouth may be faster than you think. Even *before* the Internet age, rumors were known to spread super fast; product reputations travel almost as fast.

Take the Google example again: They grew to millions of customers in months, not years. I've never seen numbers in a formal study, but I would suspect such customer growth would look something like a Fibonacci curve.

Point taken on the Volvo example; I do think this is a good example of a company using advertising to differentiate their product. I also think it would not work if Volvo didn't have the product features to back it up.

JohnDewey April 8, 2006 at 9:41 pm

Henri,

I think we agree, then. Advertising is not always required, and often a waste of money. But for certain products in certain situations it may be critical to maximizing profits.

Dave Eaton April 9, 2006 at 10:45 pm

Concerning the comment about detergent above- as a chemist, I am in awe of the amount of technology (including molecular biology, in the case of cold-water enzymes used to destroy protein stains) in detergent. Vast improvements in the ability of detergent to adapt to water hardness, to be less polluting, etc have occurred. Chemistry is responsible for a lot of relatively silent, unsung advances in everyday products that are never directly advertised, but undoubtedly make the products better. Many of us are old enough to remember 'plastic' being used as a term of derision for products fabricated thereof; now, it is indispensible and superior to most alternatives in many applications, and usually goes without comment.

I agree with Half Sigma's point, if I understand it- what we generally encounter are steadily improving products and materials, with marketing making distinctions between reasonably similar offerings. I usually look at as many reviews as possible before buying stuff these days.

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