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	<title>Comments on: Neocons Especially Should Pay Careful Attention to This Research</title>
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	<description>where orders emerge</description>
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		<title>By: bartman</title>
		<link>http://cafehayek.com/2008/09/neocons-especia.html/comment-page-1#comment-29883</link>
		<dc:creator>bartman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Sep 2008 20:05:19 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>&lt;p&gt;UN resolutions? That&#039;s thin gruel, Joe. If the US really gave a tinker&#039;s damn about enforcing UN resolutions, we would have invaded Israel many times over.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;It was convenient justification for Bush to eradicate his (and his daddy&#039;s) personal bete noire.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;5000 US dead, untold hundreds of thousands of Iraqi dead and over a quarter trillion dollars to satisfy one man&#039;s grudges.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>UN resolutions? That&#39;s thin gruel, Joe. If the US really gave a tinker&#39;s damn about enforcing UN resolutions, we would have invaded Israel many times over.</p>
<p>It was convenient justification for Bush to eradicate his (and his daddy&#39;s) personal bete noire.</p>
<p>5000 US dead, untold hundreds of thousands of Iraqi dead and over a quarter trillion dollars to satisfy one man&#39;s grudges.</p>
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		<title>By: Per Kurowski</title>
		<link>http://cafehayek.com/2008/09/neocons-especia.html/comment-page-1#comment-29882</link>
		<dc:creator>Per Kurowski</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Sep 2008 08:58:12 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>&lt;p&gt;The problem is that most, instead of looking to help create the conditions for a sustainable democracy to prosper, are mostly trying to impose their own democracy on others.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;In Iraq the sine qua nom condition for having a sustainable democracy is an oil revenue sharing system that hinders the concentration of oil wealth in the hands of governments and bureaucrats. The Iraq Study Group Report, 2006, even mentioned to “redistribute a portion of oil revenues directly to the population on a per capita basis”… but who has heard a word on that truly democracy empowering proposal since?&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;http://perkurowski.blogspot.com/2007/08/pleasewhile-you-are-busy-leaving-iraq.html&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The problem is that most, instead of looking to help create the conditions for a sustainable democracy to prosper, are mostly trying to impose their own democracy on others.</p>
<p>In Iraq the sine qua nom condition for having a sustainable democracy is an oil revenue sharing system that hinders the concentration of oil wealth in the hands of governments and bureaucrats. The Iraq Study Group Report, 2006, even mentioned to “redistribute a portion of oil revenues directly to the population on a per capita basis”… but who has heard a word on that truly democracy empowering proposal since?</p>
<p><a href="http://perkurowski.blogspot.com/2007/08/pleasewhile-you-are-busy-leaving-iraq.html" rel="nofollow">http://perkurowski.blogspot.com/2007/08/pleasewhile-you-are-busy-leaving-iraq.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: LowcountryJoe</title>
		<link>http://cafehayek.com/2008/09/neocons-especia.html/comment-page-1#comment-29881</link>
		<dc:creator>LowcountryJoe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Sep 2008 22:54:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://localhost/wordpress/?p=3066#comment-29881</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;&lt;i&gt;&gt;&gt;The Iraq War was all about Bush&#039;s personal dislike for Saddam, little more.&lt;&lt;&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Which time, bartman?  Because this most recent time, I thought it was about enforcing U.N. Security Council resolutions...namely that Saddam had kicked out weapons inspectors for the second time in five years.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>&gt;&gt;The Iraq War was all about Bush&#39;s personal dislike for Saddam, little more.&lt;&lt;</i></p>
<p>Which time, bartman?  Because this most recent time, I thought it was about enforcing U.N. Security Council resolutions&#8230;namely that Saddam had kicked out weapons inspectors for the second time in five years.</p>
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		<title>By: bartman</title>
		<link>http://cafehayek.com/2008/09/neocons-especia.html/comment-page-1#comment-29880</link>
		<dc:creator>bartman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Sep 2008 21:29:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://localhost/wordpress/?p=3066#comment-29880</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;Nice attempt at the big lie, Ray. Iraq was not a threat to the US, and would likely never have become one. The only &quot;international terrorism&quot; it was involved in was funnelling money to Palestinians fighting Israel.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;That was Israel&#039;s problem, but not America&#039;s.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The Iraq War was all about Bush&#039;s personal dislike for Saddam, little more. However, you appear to be a military man, so I could understand why you need a large underlying narrative to justify and rationalize the deaths of so many of your military brothers and sisters. If I saw many people I cared for sacrifice themselves for folly, I&#039;d either go nuts or have to convince myself it was somehow for the good.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nice attempt at the big lie, Ray. Iraq was not a threat to the US, and would likely never have become one. The only &quot;international terrorism&quot; it was involved in was funnelling money to Palestinians fighting Israel.</p>
<p>That was Israel&#39;s problem, but not America&#39;s.</p>
<p>The Iraq War was all about Bush&#39;s personal dislike for Saddam, little more. However, you appear to be a military man, so I could understand why you need a large underlying narrative to justify and rationalize the deaths of so many of your military brothers and sisters. If I saw many people I cared for sacrifice themselves for folly, I&#39;d either go nuts or have to convince myself it was somehow for the good.</p>
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		<title>By: David Gagnon</title>
		<link>http://cafehayek.com/2008/09/neocons-especia.html/comment-page-1#comment-29879</link>
		<dc:creator>David Gagnon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Sep 2008 15:48:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://localhost/wordpress/?p=3066#comment-29879</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;I have always consider that the democratization of Iraq and Afghanistan was a collateral effect of the invasion but not the primary reason of the invasion.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have always consider that the democratization of Iraq and Afghanistan was a collateral effect of the invasion but not the primary reason of the invasion.</p>
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		<title>By: LowcountryJoe</title>
		<link>http://cafehayek.com/2008/09/neocons-especia.html/comment-page-1#comment-29878</link>
		<dc:creator>LowcountryJoe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Sep 2008 12:35:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://localhost/wordpress/?p=3066#comment-29878</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;Semper Fidelis, Teufel Hunden.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Semper Fidelis, Teufel Hunden.</p>
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		<title>By: Ray G</title>
		<link>http://cafehayek.com/2008/09/neocons-especia.html/comment-page-1#comment-29877</link>
		<dc:creator>Ray G</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Sep 2008 11:52:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://localhost/wordpress/?p=3066#comment-29877</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;Our present war in Iraq is not meant to democratize the Middle East. &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;We, as a country - as represented by our elected officials, ascertained correctly that Iraq was a sponsor of international terrorism. They did have the material for making WMD, they did have the training facilities (disembodied fuselages and such) and so on. &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;When these same elected officials speak of democratizing effects, they are &quot;selling the war&quot; to the public. The public - including academia, especially academia and their penchant for unrealistic theorizing - has a very poor understanding of the realities of war and all that necessitates it&#039;s existence. &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Thus all wars need to be sold to the public. &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;A true intervention would be a military foray where there was no viable threat. An objective look at the facts of Iraq&#039;s involvement in sponsoring international terrorism completely invalidates the fallacy that our war in Iraq is &lt;i&gt;intervention.&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;In the real world - that which goes on every day outside the walls of those ivory towers - war is going to happen. There will always be yet another dictator willing to create, sponsor or influence an international threat. &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Utopian dreamers of both Libertarian and Left wing identity are safe to blather on about how America could be perfectly secure without a strong military presence in the world only as long as those rough men are in fact a strong military presence in this world.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Semper Fidelis&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Our present war in Iraq is not meant to democratize the Middle East. </p>
<p>We, as a country &#8211; as represented by our elected officials, ascertained correctly that Iraq was a sponsor of international terrorism. They did have the material for making WMD, they did have the training facilities (disembodied fuselages and such) and so on. </p>
<p>When these same elected officials speak of democratizing effects, they are &quot;selling the war&quot; to the public. The public &#8211; including academia, especially academia and their penchant for unrealistic theorizing &#8211; has a very poor understanding of the realities of war and all that necessitates it&#39;s existence. </p>
<p>Thus all wars need to be sold to the public. </p>
<p>A true intervention would be a military foray where there was no viable threat. An objective look at the facts of Iraq&#39;s involvement in sponsoring international terrorism completely invalidates the fallacy that our war in Iraq is <i>intervention.</i></p>
<p>In the real world &#8211; that which goes on every day outside the walls of those ivory towers &#8211; war is going to happen. There will always be yet another dictator willing to create, sponsor or influence an international threat. </p>
<p>Utopian dreamers of both Libertarian and Left wing identity are safe to blather on about how America could be perfectly secure without a strong military presence in the world only as long as those rough men are in fact a strong military presence in this world.</p>
<p>Semper Fidelis</p>
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		<title>By: E. Barandiaran</title>
		<link>http://cafehayek.com/2008/09/neocons-especia.html/comment-page-1#comment-29876</link>
		<dc:creator>E. Barandiaran</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Sep 2008 06:31:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://localhost/wordpress/?p=3066#comment-29876</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;Don,&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;I agree with you a lot. In particular I share your view about the global benefits of trade. I disagree with you, however, about your view on US intervention in other countries. You seem to be against any intervention, but you like the Federal governvent to help New Orleans, Louisiana, or any other state in case of natural and man-made disasters (you may be very selective about man-made disasters, but this is not my point), and most likely you agree that soldiers should kill at least looters in these disasters.  &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;I think you are not consistent. As much as you celebrate the global benefits of  trade of goods and services, you should celebrate the global benefits of US intervention (I live in Spain, I&#039;m not American, and I don&#039;t care about other governments because their ability to intervene in other countries is very limited). Some people may argue that only in extreme cases such  intervention passes a c/b analysis from the US viewpoint or that it is illegal (whatever this means in international law). Indeed a US intervention should be thoroughly assessed, but it should be very much part of the &quot;negotiation&quot; with any of your enemies. In particular, forget about any domino effect. As Gordon Tullock likes to say about the deterrence effect of the death penalty: there is at least one that will not do it again. US intervention should have this limited goal. &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;For an appropriate context for US intervention in today&#039;s international order, I suggest to read Thomas F. Madden&#039;s Empires of Trust.  &lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Don,</p>
<p>I agree with you a lot. In particular I share your view about the global benefits of trade. I disagree with you, however, about your view on US intervention in other countries. You seem to be against any intervention, but you like the Federal governvent to help New Orleans, Louisiana, or any other state in case of natural and man-made disasters (you may be very selective about man-made disasters, but this is not my point), and most likely you agree that soldiers should kill at least looters in these disasters.  </p>
<p>I think you are not consistent. As much as you celebrate the global benefits of  trade of goods and services, you should celebrate the global benefits of US intervention (I live in Spain, I&#39;m not American, and I don&#39;t care about other governments because their ability to intervene in other countries is very limited). Some people may argue that only in extreme cases such  intervention passes a c/b analysis from the US viewpoint or that it is illegal (whatever this means in international law). Indeed a US intervention should be thoroughly assessed, but it should be very much part of the &quot;negotiation&quot; with any of your enemies. In particular, forget about any domino effect. As Gordon Tullock likes to say about the deterrence effect of the death penalty: there is at least one that will not do it again. US intervention should have this limited goal. </p>
<p>For an appropriate context for US intervention in today&#39;s international order, I suggest to read Thomas F. Madden&#39;s Empires of Trust.  </p>
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		<title>By: maximus</title>
		<link>http://cafehayek.com/2008/09/neocons-especia.html/comment-page-1#comment-29875</link>
		<dc:creator>maximus</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Sep 2008 22:27:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://localhost/wordpress/?p=3066#comment-29875</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;&quot;Some of our finest physicians are, too. They&#039;re of the sort that work for Kaiser.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
When I was unfortunate enough of having to use Kaiser healthcare the treatment you received was the best arguement against adopting a single payer system. They were the shining example of what that type of system would look like. Good for treatment with leeches or a good bloodletting.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&quot;Some of our finest physicians are, too. They&#39;re of the sort that work for Kaiser.&quot;</p>
<p>When I was unfortunate enough of having to use Kaiser healthcare the treatment you received was the best arguement against adopting a single payer system. They were the shining example of what that type of system would look like. Good for treatment with leeches or a good bloodletting.</p>
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		<title>By: LowcountryJoe</title>
		<link>http://cafehayek.com/2008/09/neocons-especia.html/comment-page-1#comment-29874</link>
		<dc:creator>LowcountryJoe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Sep 2008 20:51:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://localhost/wordpress/?p=3066#comment-29874</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;&gt;&gt;Are (sic) best trading partners are Communist or dictators of some sort as in the Saudi Royal family.&lt;&lt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Some of our finest physicians are, too.  They&#039;re of the sort that work for Kaiser.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&gt;&gt;Are (sic) best trading partners are Communist or dictators of some sort as in the Saudi Royal family.&lt;&lt;</p>
<p>Some of our finest physicians are, too.  They&#39;re of the sort that work for Kaiser.</p>
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		<title>By: muirgeo</title>
		<link>http://cafehayek.com/2008/09/neocons-especia.html/comment-page-1#comment-29873</link>
		<dc:creator>muirgeo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Sep 2008 20:38:06 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>&lt;p&gt;Democracy? Are best trading partners are Communist or dictators of some sort as in the Saudi Royal family. &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Anyone who thinks we&#039;ve been promoting democracies isn&#039;t thinking like a real life capitalist. It&#039;s a jungle out there and ideologies die for profit.  &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Democracy? Are best trading partners are Communist or dictators of some sort as in the Saudi Royal family. </p>
<p>Anyone who thinks we&#39;ve been promoting democracies isn&#39;t thinking like a real life capitalist. It&#39;s a jungle out there and ideologies die for profit.  </p>
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		<title>By: shecky</title>
		<link>http://cafehayek.com/2008/09/neocons-especia.html/comment-page-1#comment-29872</link>
		<dc:creator>shecky</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Sep 2008 18:25:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://localhost/wordpress/?p=3066#comment-29872</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;The whole notion of promoting democracy is bogus. Democracy is a largely symbolic abstraction Americans conflate with prosperity. Democracy was always a tough sell. Prosperity sells itself. Easiest path to prosperity is freer trade. &lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The whole notion of promoting democracy is bogus. Democracy is a largely symbolic abstraction Americans conflate with prosperity. Democracy was always a tough sell. Prosperity sells itself. Easiest path to prosperity is freer trade. </p>
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		<title>By: vidyohs</title>
		<link>http://cafehayek.com/2008/09/neocons-especia.html/comment-page-1#comment-29868</link>
		<dc:creator>vidyohs</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Sep 2008 16:49:04 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>&lt;p&gt;Egads this was clumsy:&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The question of whether it is worth the expenditures in life and wealth to promote an act that will only get not probable or highly unlikely results is, in my opinion, very unwise&lt;br /&gt;
Posted by: vidyohs &#124; Sep 6, 2008 9:42:36 AM&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;I meant that the expenditures were unwise not the question.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Egads this was clumsy:</p>
<p>The question of whether it is worth the expenditures in life and wealth to promote an act that will only get not probable or highly unlikely results is, in my opinion, very unwise<br />
Posted by: vidyohs | Sep 6, 2008 9:42:36 AM</p>
<p>I meant that the expenditures were unwise not the question.</p>
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		<title>By: Mesa Econoguy</title>
		<link>http://cafehayek.com/2008/09/neocons-especia.html/comment-page-1#comment-29871</link>
		<dc:creator>Mesa Econoguy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Sep 2008 12:48:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://localhost/wordpress/?p=3066#comment-29871</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;&lt;i&gt;Countries only “catch” about 11 percent of their geographic neighbors’ average changes in democracy; the modesty of this spread rate is consistent over time. Our analysis extends back to 1850, but 150-plus years ago, like today, changes in countries’ democracies were only mildly contagious.&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;I think this is like saying “steam engines move only 3% of goods to market.”&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Clearly, you need to take into account trade liberalization, a relatively new innovation, so 11% is a bogus number.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Just sayin’…..&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Countries only “catch” about 11 percent of their geographic neighbors’ average changes in democracy; the modesty of this spread rate is consistent over time. Our analysis extends back to 1850, but 150-plus years ago, like today, changes in countries’ democracies were only mildly contagious.</i></p>
<p>I think this is like saying “steam engines move only 3% of goods to market.”</p>
<p>Clearly, you need to take into account trade liberalization, a relatively new innovation, so 11% is a bogus number.</p>
<p>Just sayin’…..</p>
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		<title>By: LowcountryJoe</title>
		<link>http://cafehayek.com/2008/09/neocons-especia.html/comment-page-1#comment-29870</link>
		<dc:creator>LowcountryJoe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Sep 2008 09:53:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://localhost/wordpress/?p=3066#comment-29870</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;It&#039;s clear.  There should be no intervention anywhere.  If a country like Iraq (in August of &#039;90) should invade a country like Kuwait, why should we get involved?  Right?  No involvement, then no U.N. resolutions and if no resolutions, no enforcement issues and if no enforcement issues, no image and signaling issues.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#39;s clear.  There should be no intervention anywhere.  If a country like Iraq (in August of &#39;90) should invade a country like Kuwait, why should we get involved?  Right?  No involvement, then no U.N. resolutions and if no resolutions, no enforcement issues and if no enforcement issues, no image and signaling issues.</p>
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		<title>By: vidyohs</title>
		<link>http://cafehayek.com/2008/09/neocons-especia.html/comment-page-1#comment-29869</link>
		<dc:creator>vidyohs</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Sep 2008 09:42:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://localhost/wordpress/?p=3066#comment-29869</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;Interesting presentation; however, since I have seen too many instances of people working side by side in the same field where one innovates and is happy with his change/progress, yet the man working besides him sees his neighbor&#039;s innovation and realizes that there were further dimensions and benefits to be gained and takes his neighbor&#039;s innovations and expands them to give himself greater benefit.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;With that in mind I would not have worded sentence one of this two sentence paragraph conslusion the way it is.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&quot;If U.S. interventions fail to enhance democracy in the countries where they take place, pro-democracy spillovers obviously cannot spread throughout the greater regions these countries are part of. If the evidence from past attempts is any indicator, the prospect of using falling dominoes to democratize the globe looks pretty dim.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Because something has not happened before or has only happened extremely rarely is not proof that it &quot;cannot&quot;.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The word &quot;cannot&quot; is too definite to be justified. &quot;Not probable&quot; or &quot;highly unlikely&quot;, would be much better since it is speculation at best. For the author to say &quot;cannot&quot; accords himself a vision and knowledge he just does not have.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The question of whether it is worth the expenditures in life and wealth to promote an act that will only get not probable or highly unlikely results is, in my opinion, very unwise&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Interesting presentation; however, since I have seen too many instances of people working side by side in the same field where one innovates and is happy with his change/progress, yet the man working besides him sees his neighbor&#39;s innovation and realizes that there were further dimensions and benefits to be gained and takes his neighbor&#39;s innovations and expands them to give himself greater benefit.</p>
<p>With that in mind I would not have worded sentence one of this two sentence paragraph conslusion the way it is.</p>
<p>&quot;If U.S. interventions fail to enhance democracy in the countries where they take place, pro-democracy spillovers obviously cannot spread throughout the greater regions these countries are part of. If the evidence from past attempts is any indicator, the prospect of using falling dominoes to democratize the globe looks pretty dim.&quot;</p>
<p>Because something has not happened before or has only happened extremely rarely is not proof that it &quot;cannot&quot;.</p>
<p>The word &quot;cannot&quot; is too definite to be justified. &quot;Not probable&quot; or &quot;highly unlikely&quot;, would be much better since it is speculation at best. For the author to say &quot;cannot&quot; accords himself a vision and knowledge he just does not have.</p>
<p>The question of whether it is worth the expenditures in life and wealth to promote an act that will only get not probable or highly unlikely results is, in my opinion, very unwise</p>
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