A nice piece by William Easterly in the WSJ on what poor nations learned from the myth of the Great Depression.
Learning the wrong lessons
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where orders emerge
A nice piece by William Easterly in the WSJ on what poor nations learned from the myth of the Great Depression.
Previous post: Frozen Conventional Wisdom
Next post: Arnold and Bill

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So, if you look at the stock market as a time machine, we just went back to January 2004.
Correction, we're going to party like it's 1999. The stock market time machine actually went to April of 1999- that was the first 10,480 peak.
"Sherman, set the way-back machine to 1999"
"Gosh Mr. Peabody, are we going to visit Bill Clinton?"
"Pretty much, Sherman, pretty much…"
But what else can the developing countries think when you all keep on insisting that what we had were free markets?
A regulatory system that uses minimum capital requirements for banks based on the risk perceptions of the regulator and empowers some few agencies to measure these risks, is far from a free system, in fact, at its core, never before has the financial world been so regulated. You even set up AAA signs that guided so much capital flow into the lands of good mortgages to the subprime sector so that you completely distorted them into lousy mortgages to the subprime sector.
Are you afraid of telling the regulators they had no idea what they were up to trying to live our their teenage bedroom fantasies of a world without risks and banks never defaulting in their little mutual admiration club headquartered in Basel with the clubhouse of IMF in Washington?
At this moment the most urgent discussion is not about free markets or government interventions. At this moment what most needs to be discussed is transparency, truth and accountability.
In the Financial Times, "Brussels stiffens bank capital requirements", October 2, it is reported that there is legislation coming that will "require credit rating agencies to register and meet standards if they wish to operate in Europe." Does this mean that now, at long last, we will be able to really fully trust the credit rating agencies and follow them anywhere? Come on, are the regulators incapable of learning?
Reasonably they could think "Wow, look at how well the Americans are doing compared to us!"
I mean, how much of a step up is a trailer in a park compared to a house made out of corrugated aluminium without water or HVAC? Fairly huge. It seems to me that most "leaders" of these countries just want an excuse to have more power, or at least are comfortable enough and isolated from their people enough that they really think the difference is not that great.
Hammer – it's hammer time! U Cant touch this!
Speaking of the wrong lessons … We saw the stock market tank after the House defeated the first bailout bill, so fearing further diminishment of our rents, we told our Congressmen to pass the second one, while CNN "explained" every market move in terms of the unquestionable assumption that "the market" wanted a bailout.
Now the deal is done, and the market didn't roar back. What's up with that? We didn't buy gains in our 401ks with this trillion bucks? I want my money back!
Here is Bill Bonner ( that hilarious, libertarian gloom and doomer, writing about the ghosts of the Great Depression
I love the idea of "capitalism with seatbelts, helmets, and airbags".
Reminds me of the Gordon Tullock Airbag ™. A six inch spike coming straight out of the stearing wheel. Everyone would drive REALLY safely then. As it is, airbags and safety features led to an increase in wreckless driving.
Same with the economy, without the role of pain in the market place, we'll keep touching the stove. The worst part is, no one is even mentioning Barney Frank, Christopher Dodd, Maxine Waters, and Franklin Raines going to jail.
Congress will be emboldened to lean on private companies to enforce the next "social good" they get in their heads.
I doubt it, but I love the Gordon Tullock Airbag. Can I get one?
that will definitely be a day to celebrate.
Martin,
Much like hockey helmets, I don't think anyone individually wants a Tullock airbag. But of course we should mandate EVERYONE has one. =)
The airbag mandate leading to actuarial data on increased damage was mentioned in one of the EconTalk podcasts. I believe they were agnostic about human damage- at the time I found a reference that it had increased, but I cannot remember it.
That WSJ piece is depressing! "Development" is so frustrating. Ethiopia is always on the cusp of famine – hardly surprising when the country has no private sector.
Correlation is not causation. What else happened at the same time? The population aged maybe? We started driving more top-heavy SUVs? More cell phones and similar distractions? All of these factors explain a rise in automobile accidents better than "I've got an air bag now, so what the hell. Let's drive into that tree and see what happens."
The theory is laughably implausible on its face. It suggests that nothing ever gets any safer, which clearly isn't true.
It is possible that accidental deployments and similar events could cause accidents, but that's not the same theory.
Thank you Russ Roberts for again pointing out that it is indeed possible for a society to have a majority in opinion and all of those be dead wrong. Once again we see that it is possible for a person to be highly educated and be dead wrong in opinion. It is possible for a person to be filthy rich and be dead wrong. It is possible for a person to have ultimate power and be dead wrong. It is possible for a person to be highly intelligent and be dead wrong.
I am not in the majority, not highly educated, not filthy rich, have no power, but I am intelligent enough to know that I am absolutely correct when I state that "Government is the enemy, always has been the enemy, always will be the enemy, and we do best when we have least."