Comment of the week

by Russ Roberts on January 22, 2009

in Environment

This post discusses a study that claims that of the three year increase in life expectancy from 1978-2001, five months of the increase came from cleaner air, vindicating the investments made in making the air cleaner. Dave comments:

Of course we'll have no way of knowing how much the life expectancy
would have increased without the "expense" i.e. the redirecting of
resources that would otherwise have been invested and ultimately
resulting in more comfortable and healthier lives for everyone.

This accounts for 5 months out of three years. where did the other 2
years and seven months come from? Who gets the credit for that? The
short answer is from the very same things that result in pollution.

Don't think so? then how did that kidney get rushed from California to New York overnight?

Bravo, Dave.

Comments

{ 16 comments }

muirgeo January 22, 2009 at 6:59 pm

"The short answer is from the very same things that result in pollution.

Don't think so? then how did that kidney get rushed from California to New York overnight?"

So people with asthma have less liberty and rights then those with kidney failure?

I don't look at this as a cost issue as much as one of externalities that violate others liberty and personal rights.

I would assume for believers in liberty liberty comes even before profits.

And no,no,no… you don't just get to assume the other increases in life expectancy are a result of pure market forces.
If you are going to require a complete cost benefits analysis because we shouldn't assume the cleaner air dollars weren't well spent then you will be required the same of your own speculation on the markets influence on these trends.

And finally there's those 33 other more socialist countries with better longevity then us that should give you pause about your assumptions of market forces and longevity.

Yeah… lots of confounding factors… bottom line is reducing fine air particulates saves lives, particulates are an external ity of markets and markets need to include them in there cost regardless of baseless assumptions on cost;benefits analysis. Profits do not trump liberty.

DAVE January 22, 2009 at 7:24 pm

Muirgeo,

you obviously have a thing for positive rights, which is fine. I for one do not believe in a right to an asthma free life or a kidney for that matter, so we'd have to agree to disagree.

Stephen January 22, 2009 at 7:28 pm

Russ,
I agree with you that you can't say that a policy was worthwhile by focusing only on the benefits. That said, there is a good deal of evidence that there is still too much air pollution in the air, especially sulfur. It turns out that sulfur dioxide has a role in forming small particulates in the air that are deadly to some and hazardous to all. Whether the benefits of reducing sulfur are worth it depends critically on the value of a statistical life. The clean air interstate rule that President Bush implemented will, starting in 2009, reduce sulfur dioxide levels and is expected to have benefits 25 times compliance costs. Not only is the cost- benefit ratio good, the magnitude of the benefits is huge! Benefits are expected to be between $85-100 billion.
see: http://www.env-econ.net/2008/12/a-requiem-for-e.html

What bothered me about this post is that it seems to imply that the environmental regulation is a uniform bad or can't be measured because we will never know how the money would have otherwise been spent. If you don't like the way regulation is done currently, please argue for a more market oriented approach a la the the Property and Environmental Research Center (PERC). It is both more helpful and productive.

Andrew_M_Garland January 22, 2009 at 7:50 pm

muirgeo says: "There are 33 other, more socialist, countries with better longevity then us"

Healthcare outcomes are repeatedly cited to claim that the expense of US healthcare is wasted, and that only governments deliver quality care. This is supported by a biased interpretation of the statistics.


USA Healthcare is First – Infant Mortality is Low

John Stossel (Why the U.S. Ranks Low on WHO's Health-Care Study) analyzes that life expectancy is a lousy measure of a health-care system. We have far more fatal transportation accidents than other countries. Our homicide rate is 10 times greater than in the U.K., eight times greater than in France, and five times greater than in Canada.

When you adjust for these "fatal injury" rates, U.S. life expectancy is actually higher than in nearly every other industrialized nation. That doesn't show a health-care problem.

Randy January 22, 2009 at 11:39 pm

Another question to consider is whether the air is cleaner because of regulation. The standard assumption is that the air is cleaner because of the Clean Air Act, but air quality steadily improved until the Clean Air Act was passed and then the rate of improvement dropped dramatically. In all likelihood, has we continued to use common law rules instead of federally mandated rules, the air would be cleaner today than it is. In that case, the federal rules are making things worse than they would otherwise be. Listen to the Roberts/Yandle podcast at http://www.econtalk.org/archives/_featuring/bruce_yandle/ – 27k. They talk briefly about teh Clean Air Act vs. the common law.

muirgeo January 23, 2009 at 2:52 am

Muirgeo,

you obviously have a thing for positive rights, which is fine. I for one do not believe in a right to an asthma free life or a kidney for that matter, so we'd have to agree to disagree.

Posted by: DAVE

You obviously don't understand the difference between a negative and a positive right. The desire not to have to breath other peoples pollution in and have your life thus so shortened is a negative right not a positive one.

Gil January 23, 2009 at 5:21 am

Actually there's no real distinctin between negative versus positive rights. All rights place a duty on others. 'Don't use initiating force&fraud' = 'You must refrain from using force&fraud or face the consequences'. To argue for rights in a 'Robinson Crusoe' in the sense of one person alone is defunct since any perceived right Crusoe would perceive doesn't place a duty and besides freedom of speech is meaningless unless there's someone to listen to you.

Bill N January 23, 2009 at 7:19 am

The comment is pointed, but I think it misses the mark. A very strong argument can be made that health care delivery is only a small portion of life expectancy. http://healtharoo.blogspot.com/2007/09/notes-from-ebm-crusades.html Genetics and lifestyle issues dominate. That said, the broader point still holds.

The study makes a reasonably good case for correlation, but weaker case for causation. The evidence is indirect. It's not like they exposed lab rats to a specific pollutant and said "see, they can't take it".

geoih January 23, 2009 at 8:05 am

Quote from muirgeo: "… bottom line is reducing fine air particulates saves lives, …)"

Again a wild claim with no factual back up (which I think was the point of the original post).

The claim that lives are saved because of envirnmental regulations is inherently false, because there is no control to substantiate the claim wasn't caused by something else, wouldn't have happened without the regulations, or was simply a random occurrance.

It's one thing to say these laws are supported by politics or culture, but these correlations aren't scientific.

Randy January 23, 2009 at 9:12 am

Muirgeo,

"Profits do not trump liberty."

True. But a more inclusive form would be that "exploitation" does not trump liberty. So, no one has a right to exploit me by polluting the air I breath .and. no one has a right to exploit me by forcing my participation in an ideology.

Stephen January 23, 2009 at 11:04 am

Geoih,

"The claim that lives are saved because of environmental regulations is inherently false, because there is no control to substantiate the claim wasn't caused by something else"

This is just not true. I suggest that you read about the statistics of program evaluation, the early work of James Heckman is a great place to start.

I also suggest you google fine particulates (PM 2.5) or health impacts of sulfur dioxide. How we should deal with the problem of air pollution, if at all, is separate from the health impacts it causes. The health impacts in this case are large and significant. See:
http://www.pubmedcentral.nih.gov/articlerender.fcgi?artid=1280392

geoih January 23, 2009 at 2:06 pm

Quote from Stephen: "I suggest that you read about the statistics of program evaluation, the early work of James Heckman is a great place to start."

If there's no control, then what are you comparing to?

I know all about the health effects. I work in an environmental field. Everything being cited is aggregated and completely divorced from reality.

MnM January 23, 2009 at 8:50 pm

"You obviously don't understand the difference between a negative and a positive right."

Posted by: muirgeo | Jan 23, 2009 2:52:00 AM

You obviously didn't understand what he meant by "positive".

alex January 23, 2009 at 9:35 pm

Muirgeo,

Higher longevity in some "socialist" countries than the US, where the difference usually less than a few years, probably has nothing to do with socialism or capitalism. As many people have already noted when debating this very point, the high rate of violent death in the US retards our life span and explains the difference. Nothing do with "socialism."

Alex

muirgeo January 23, 2009 at 10:32 pm

If there's no control, then what are you comparing to?

I know all about the health effects. I work in an environmental field. Everything being cited is aggregated and completely divorced from reality.

Posted by: geoih

There are controls. You most likely have never looked at one of these studies. In areas where pollution levels have not changed over the same time deaths rates were not improved. likewise in areas that had greater reductions in pollution life times were improved even more then the study averages.

muirgeo January 23, 2009 at 10:35 pm

MnM

You obviously didn't understand what YOU meant when you said," You obviously didn't understand what he meant by "positive"".

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