No Cause for Pessimism

by Don Boudreaux on April 13, 2008

in Current Affairs, Myths and Fallacies, Nanny State, Politics, Standard of Living

George Will has long been one of my favorite conservative columnists.  I often disagree with him, but even more often I agree with him.  And, boy, do I agree with the lesson he conveys in his column appearing in today’s Washington Post.  Will’s point is that to call today’s economic woes a "crisis" is to define the word "crisis" way, way down.  Here’s are the opening few paragraphs from this excellent column:

During presidential elections, when candidates postulate this or that
"crisis" for which each is the indispensable and sufficient cure,
economic hypochondria is encouraged, so a sense of suffering is
rampant. Recently the Wall Street Journal, like Joseph Conrad contemplating the Congo, surveyed today’s economic jungle and cried, "The horror! The horror!"

Declines in housing values and the stock market are causing some Americans to delay retirement. A Kansas City man had been eager to retire to Arizona but now, the Journal says, "figures he’ll stay put for another couple of years." He is 59.

So, this is a facet of today’s hydra-headed "crisis" — the man must
linger in the labor force until, say, 62. That is the earliest age at
which a person can, and most recipients do, begin collecting Social
Security.

The proportion of people aged 55 to 64 who are working rose 1.5
percentage points from April 2007 to February 2008, during which the
percentage of working Americans older than 65 rose two-tenths of one
percentage point. The Journal grimly reported, "The prospect of
millions of grandparents toiling away in their golden years doesn’t
square with the American dream."

Oh? The idea that protracted golden years of idleness are a
universal right is a delusion of recent vintage. Deranged by the
entitlement mentality fostered by a metastasizing welfare state,
Americans now have such low pain thresholds that suffering is defined
as a slight delay in beginning a subsidized retirement often lasting
one-third of the retiree’s adult lifetime.

George Will’s wisdom inoculates him from the pessimistic bias.

I would add only that government subsidies to Americans in their 60s and older (most notably, Social Security and Medicare) are not the only forces enabling Americans today to retire earlier than in the past.  The increasing wealth generated by the private sector is another reason — in fact, I suspect, the principal reason.

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  • vidyohs

    In the time of Jimmy Carter I bought a home in Erda, Utah and had a fixed rate of 15.5% interest making my house payment $607 a month on a 3 BR, full basement, all electric home. It were a stretch I tell you, especially on my lower middle class income wages.


    What frosted my testicles though was when I finally sold the home and got out from under that payment, I sold it to a young Mormon couple, subsidized by the state of Utah, who bought it for a third more than I paid for it (improvements doncha know) yet bought it at 7% interest and paid about half of what I had been.


    Life jusssssst ain't fair, and that's the way it is.


    I kicked a rock, cussed the system and never again wasted a single minute thinking about it until now, and I can't even get agitated enough to kick another rock.

  • Methinks

    Paleo,


    Yet, all journalists crave an utopic stationary state in which everyone has health insurance, a good job, a new car and has sex on weekends.


    Oh, surely not! In a career based on bitching and moaning, certainly utopia can never be utopian enough.

  • John Dewey

    "The increasing wealth generated by the private sector is another reason -- in fact, I suspect, the principal reason."


    I agree. The private sector provided returns on invested funds that averaged 13 percent the past 20 years. A tax-deferred investment of $10,000 in the S&P 500 in 1987 would have grown to $93,345 by the end of last year. In addition, private pensions and retirement fund contributions of employers have allowed millions to live as comfortably in idleness as they did during employment years.

  • paleologo

    Journalists are prone to hyperbole. We are always in a "crisis", even more so if it suits the electoral cycle. We are always in "transition", as it is inevitable. Yet, all journalists crave an utopic stationary state in which everyone has health insurance, a good job, a new car and has sex on weekends. Regarding the use of words, I recommend to anyone who has time to read Wittgenstein's remarks on language, especially when applied to illness.


    To any fan of George Will (I intend Don), I recommend the section of "Fooled by Randomness" by Nassim Taleb, illustrating the Will-Schiller debate, and the former's hindsight bias. Somehow, when I read Will's columns I find them trivially correct(yes, I agree but I am not surprised) or trivially wrong (he must be joking or else he was drunk). Sure, between him and Harold Myerson or Frank Rich, I'll take him sight unseen.




    I love to disagree with a surprising argument.

  • True but I guess we shouldn't be surprised, if you listen to most journalists "capitalism" has been in "crisis" for the last 30 years...

  • Is

    Grumpy? How about irate? My wife and I purchased our first home for half the value we were approved, put our money down, and locked in a fixed rate. Now, I have to subsidize someone that did not exercise restraint or common sense, not to mention they will continue to make bad decisions due to not feeling the repurcussions of their actions.

  • EconStudent

    I agree Noah. My wife and I bought a home within our price range, even though it isn't our dream house, so that we can afford it, build equity, and buy our dream house later. Now, seeing everyone get helped out is fairly annoying seeing as we were responsible in getting a fixed rate, FHA loan. Oh well, at least I can sleep at night knowing my taxes are supporting more irresponsibility.

  • noahpoah

    From the end of the column:


    The 96 percent of mortgage borrowers who are fulfilling their commitments, often by scrimping, may be grumpy bystanders if many of the other 4 percent -- those who found the phrase "variable rate" impenetrably mysterious -- are eligible for ameliorations of their obligations.


    Indeed. Talk of bailouts makes me very grumpy.

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