When the Trump administration took a 10 percent stake in semiconductor giant Intel last year, I argued that it was a costly mistake and an affront to American free enterprise. President Donald Trump disagreed. He even took a victory lap in June when Intel’s stock rose more than sixfold in the 10 months following the government’s intervention.
Look closer, though, and Intel’s inflated share price hardly vindicates the administration’s purchase. And the grand experiment that Intel kicked off isn’t just as bad as I warned. It’s worse.
The administration’s holdings are growing at breakneck speed. The running tally at the Cato Institute counts 31 government equity deals — spanning companies in steel, critical minerals, semiconductors, nuclear power, rocket motors and quantum computing — enacted by three different federal agencies acting under murky legal authority. The Commerce Department has based more than a dozen semiconductor and quantum computing deals on the Chips and Science Act, which does not expressly authorize federal shareholding. Some of the equity deals appear to have been coerced by the administration — or at least conditioned on the granting of a permit, subsidy or other government privilege. And more stakes are rumored to be on the way. In a single year, Washington went from one position to a diverse and questionable portfolio, with nary a vote from Congress or the American public.
These stakes have already corrupted American businesses. The Trump administration exercised its “golden share” of U.S. Steel last year to prevent the company from shutting down production at an antiquated Illinois plant. And when Apple CEO Tim Cook visited the White House in August 2025 to lobby for a tariff exemption, Trump and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick reportedly pressured Cook to manufacture Apple’s chips using Intel’s factories. Apple ultimately received the tariff carveout. Then, 10 months later, Trump announced (and took credit for) a deal between Apple and Intel that reportedly blindsided Intel’s own executives.
Two hours before his self-imposed midnight deadline, President Trump wrote online that he would pause aggressive action abroad for three days, giving negotiators time to finalize some unspecified deal. Iran? No, Canada. Mr. Trump’s reprieve Tuesday for 50% tariffs on $20 billion of imports—hockey sticks, building materials, and other items Americans want to buy—is welcome. But what a way to treat an ally and neighbor.
Any deal will have to be evaluated on its own terms, and if Mr. Trump steps back from raising prices on consumers with new border taxes, that’s progress. Yet his attitude of constant haggling over everything that isn’t nailed down, and some things that were supposed to be, isn’t helpful. Mr. Trump has put into doubt the future of his own U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement. Someone should tell him the biggest beneficiaries of free North American trade are Republican states, especially Texas.
After Mr. Trump renegotiated the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement, renaming it USMCA, he called it the “best agreement we’ve ever made.” That was in 2020. But now USMCA is up for renewal for 16 more years, and Mexico and Canada want to re-sign. Mr. Trump last month declined, at least for now. U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer cited “shortcomings” in the text and singled out “our trade deficits with these countries.” But trade deficits aren’t a measure of prosperity, which is why most economists ignore them.
Texas shows why. The Lone Star State buys more from Mexico than it sells, and it has prospered. Texas traded $303 billion in goods with Mexico in 2025, which is more than the U.S. trades with any single country except Canada and China. Mexico was the state’s largest foreign export market in the first quarter, 27% of the total. Texas exports energy products to Mexico but also machinery, equipment, plastics, aerospace items, auto parts and beverages. Thirty-five percent of Texas foreign trade was with Mexico in 2025.
Texas isn’t alone. Mexico bought 26% of exports from Kansas and Nebraska each in the first quarter. For a majority of American states, the North American neighbors together are the first or second largest export market. Almost 70% of what Michigan exports goes to one of the two USMCA partners. For Nevada, it’s 41% and Maine and Iowa 50%.
Before Nafta, Mexican and Canadian agricultural markets were protected from U.S. competition. Today Mexico is the largest export market for U.S. producers in 13 agriculture categories including pork, poultry, dairy, cheese, apples, pears, wheat, corn and rice. It’s No. 2 for American beef, soy, baked goods, vegetables, prepared foods and condiments.
“Since USMCA was enacted in 2020, Mexico and Canada have collectively scaled up imports of U.S. agricultural goods by $20 billion, totaling $60 billion in 2024,” Democrats on the House Agriculture Committee wrote in a July letter calling for the pact’s renewal. Farmers already hit by Mr. Trump’s trade wars with China now have to worry about sales north and south. It’s bad politics for Republicans trying to win Iowa, to pick one pivotal Senate race.
Texas and other red states have also benefited from integrated manufacturing under Nafta and the USMCA. The web of supply chains that spans the continent allows for joint production across all three countries. With the U.S. leading in research, technology and branding, it assigns production of sophisticated components to its skilled workers and sends intermediate goods to Mexico or Canada for finishing.
This lets American companies preserve high-paid jobs at home while competing globally. It’s the main reason U.S. auto makers have stayed even remotely competitive against foreign models. When Mexico adds value to a Texas-made component and sends it back to the U.S., it completes a production cycle that makes American workers better off. Oh, and don’t forget consumers, who get access to higher-quality goods at better prices, everything from fresh food to medical devices to cars.
The global spread of capital now carries a threat to which progressives remain oblivious: Businesses and employees increasingly can move to avoid taxes and regulations. California Gov. Gavin Newsom has learned the lesson of capital’s growing mobility. He opposes a state wealth tax on the ballot in California, and is seeking cover by supporting a federal wealth tax, a likely nonstarter in Congress and at the White House as it would clearly throttle economic growth. Mr. Mamdani will soon have to concede the point or fade rapidly in political relevance.
Governments’ basic competitive problem is that they are landlocked and are competitors for capital that is footloose on a global scale. Their dilemma? Higher taxation of wealth easily transmutes into lower total revenue and economic decline. No wonder so many governments have yielded to the threat and now bid for capital projects with tax concessions and other benefits to attract and hold on to capital.
Progressives and socialists might score political points in coming elections, but their gains will be checked not so much by the right as by states and nations that see development opportunities in other governments’ hostile treatment of capital and wealth.
Christian Britschgi reports on yet another example of the economic destructiveness of labor unions.
Here’s the abstract of a new paper by David Neumark and Emma Wohl:
We provide the first direct estimates of the effects of minimum wages on low-wage workers in families at different points of the distribution of income-to-needs, using data from the Survey of Income and Program Participation, which oversamples low-income families. We find adverse – rather than beneficial – effects of minimum wages on the employment, hours, and earnings of initially-employed low-wage workers in poor and low-income families. Although we do not find a gradient indicating more adverse effects on the poorest low-wage workers, the adverse effects for poor and low-income low-wage workers help explain why minimum wages do not reduce poverty.
Charging people different amounts based on their online browsing habits would offend many consumers, but it’s unclear how often that occurs. Competition is the best check on personalized pricing: If a business takes it too far, other businesses would gladly take its customers.
Perhaps that’s why government, which faces no competition, has implemented arguably more aggressive personalized pricing than the private sector.
The individual income tax — the largest price Americans pay for the federal government — is calibrated through different rates, deductions and credits to a taxpayer’s individual circumstances. The personal information collected by the Education Department’s Free Application for Federal Student Aid form allows universities to charge families at exactly the level they are willing to pay. Welfare and public housing programs are keyed closely to the recipient’s means and family characteristics.


Perhaps the scariest aspect of our times is how many people think in talking points, rather than in terms of real world consequences.
Indeed, few developing nations have grown rapidly over time without simultaneous increases in both exports and imports, and virtually all developing countries that have grown rapidly have done so under open trade policies or declining trade protection.
Nations trade with each other because they benefit from it. Other motives may be involved, of course, but the basic economic motivation for international trade is that of gain. The gain from international trade, like the gain from all trade, exists because specialization increases productivity. We are familiar with fruits of specialization and the division of labor in trade between regions of a single country, or between persons in a town, but we may not perceive that the same benefits exist in international trade. The political boundaries that divide geographic areas into nations do not change the fundamental nature of trade and the benefits it confers on the trading partners.
The social function of economic science consists precisely in developing sound economic theories and in exploding the fallacies of vicious reasoning. In the pursuit of this task the economist incurs the deadly enmity of all mountebanks and charlatans whose shortcuts to an earthly paradise he debunks. The less these quacks are able to advance plausible objections to an economist’s argument, the more furiously do they insult them.
