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Colin Grabow describes and decries the return of mercantilism. Two slices:

America’s maritime industry offers a useful lesson in the limits of economic nationalism. The United States is the world’s second-largest manufacturing country and is renowned for its competitiveness and innovation. Yet in 2024, American shipyards accounted for just 0.04 percent of global commercial shipbuilding. Not 4 percent, or even four-tenths of a percent, but four one-hundredths of a percent. This is not a recent stumble. The past decade’s high-water mark for US commercial shipbuilding, achieved in 2016, was a paltry 0.53 percent of global output.

The malaise extends to domestic shipping as well: Fewer than 100 oceangoing cargo ships serve the transportation needs of the world’s largest economy. These ships are invariably kept in service well past their normal lifespan because the cost of replacement is so punishing.

Such is the legacy of more than a century of aggressive protectionism. The Jones Act, the 1920 law requiring that cargo shipped between American ports travel on vessels that are American-built, American-flagged, American-owned, and American-crewed, is premised on the idea that such restrictions foster a robust merchant fleet and thriving shipyards. The reality, however, is a maritime industry that is expensive, shrinking, and largely irrelevant. A law ostensibly designed to build an industry has instead helped entomb it, all while inflicting high costs on the broader economy. This should not be a surprise.

Indeed, the lesson that mercantilist restrictions impoverish rather than enrich was supposed to be the American Revolution’s central economic inheritance. The Declaration of Independence itself did not settle for mere abstractions in its demand for liberty, instead itemizing specific abuses and taking aim at King George for “cutting off our trade with all parts of the world” and “imposing taxes on us without our consent.”

These were not rhetorical flourishes but responses to a mercantilist system that treated the colonial economy as an instrument of British enrichment rather than a domain of human freedom.

It would be a mistake, however, to view the Founders as simply reacting to the observed harm of British policy. They had an intellectual framework for understanding why that policy was wrong. In March 1776, just months before the Declaration, Adam Smith published The Wealth of Nations, perhaps the most thorough demolition of mercantilist theory ever written. The Founders read it. Thomas Jefferson called it “the best book extant” in political economy, and James Madison included it on a list of essential books for Congress.

Why they assigned the book such importance is easy to grasp: Smith gave philosophical coherence to what colonists had experienced as practical oppression.

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Enthusiasm for industrial policy and strategic tariffs has spread across both parties. Trump is not the disease but its most candid expression. The mercantilist instinct, the belief that governments can allocate economic activity more wisely than the people conducting it, has never been fully extinguished. It persists in the Jones Act, heavy tariffs meant to benefit particular industries such as steel and autos, and “deals” with other countries that aim to reduce imports in a benighted obsession with balanced trade.

That instinct is now making a bid for the center of American economic policy.

Mercantilist restrictions did not fail because governments executed them poorly. They failed because the premise was wrong. Two hundred and fifty years after the Revolution, that premise has returned—dressed in new language and justified by new anxieties, but recognizable in its essentials. The Founders knew what it looked like. And they wrote a declaration that led to a new nation, in no small measure because of it. The question now is whether we remember why.

Matt Yglesias tweets: (HT Scott Lincicome)

Postliberals will really be like “you believe in GDP growth? that pales in comparison to my strategy, robust communities with real human flourishing” and then not create robust communities but everyone gets poorer thanks to bad economic policy.

The Editorial Board of the Washington Post reports on what every sensible economist back in 2010 warned would happen as a result of Obamacare: One consequences of this abominable legislation is high and rising health-care costs for Americans. A slice:

If it wasn’t obvious before that the famous bill passed to make health care more affordable has done anything but, it should be now: Individual plans on the Affordable Care Act exchanges are projected to spike by about 14 percent in 2027, according to recent insurer filings.

The ACA imposed a wide array of mandates on health insurance. Those mandates are expensive. To make up for the increase in costs, the ACA distributes subsidies so consumers don’t feel the impact of the increase.
Many of these subsidies are “advance” subsidies that go directly from the federal government to insurers based on the customer’s income. That means insurers can raise premiums without customers having to pay more.

As of 2025, 93 percent of enrollees in the exchanges received subsidies, up from 86 percent in 2021. If nearly everyone on the exchanges needs subsidies, that’s a clear sign that the product being sold is not affordable.

George Will writes about the seeming itch of each major U.S. political party to ensure that the other wins elections. A slice:

[Graham Platner’s] reputation is in tatters. So should be the reputations of all those national figures who tried to put him in the Senate from Maine. The Platner debacle is just a smidgen of the Everest of evidence for two propositions:

The Democratic Party no longer has a knack for its business, which supposedly is politics. In America, this means cobbling together majority coalitions from a politically and culturally diverse continental nation. The second proposition is that the nation cannot have just one healthy party. When one welcomes contamination by the extremism and stupidity on its side of the spectrum, the other, relishing the collapse of standards, does likewise.

Platner’s campaign was born of the cynicism that permeates the Democrats’ devotion to identity politics. Never mind that Platner is a lout whose work résumé is thinner than his record of sponging off his parents. Rather than assess him as — Heaven forfend! — an individual, Democrats anointed him the embodiment of a category: the working class. He could be their favorite thing, a victim. He could make vivid their simpleminded binary of “oppressors” and “oppressed.” Oblivious of their insult to America’s working class, Democrats wonder why what once was their base has abandoned them.

Republicans, however, should shed any post-Platner delusions of moral superiority. Ten years ago, they turned the louche star of the “Access Hollywood” tape, and the payer of hush money to his porn star paramour, into a president. Conjured from the populism of celebrity worship, he today is frighteningly out of his depth, dumbstruck that his son-in-law, in tandem a New York real estate crony, cannot pacify Iran and end the war against Ukraine.

America’s still-multiplying embarrassments are rank weeds fertilized by the manure of populism. And by populism’s inherent, aggressive disdain for the importance of character in politics. Populism is almost everything rejected by America’s unsentimental Founders, who, a few days ago, the nation briefly, and often uncomprehendingly, celebrated.

The clear-eyed Founders, steeped in sobering histories of short-lived republics, constructed a sophisticated constitutional architecture that blends democracy and distrust. They built a bulwark against populism because they believed this: Majorities must rule in the end, but their opinions must be mediated — and cooled — by being filtered through institutions. Those institutions must be occupied by people possessing “republican virtue,” an attribute not evenly distributed among “the people.”

What animated the Founding was the antonym of American populism. Populism celebrates popular passions incited by, and channeled swiftly into action by, an unconstrained executive.

Matthew Hennessey offers a clear-eyed look at modern American politics. Here’s his conclusion:

Next time you’re tempted to get romantic about politics, remember: It’s all showbiz.

Dan Greenberg rightly rejects Andy Craig’s myopic case for packing the U.S. Supreme Court. Two slices:

Ultimately, Craig’s insistence that the Court has rendered itself illegitimate rests on an idiosyncratic reading of a few of the Court’s decisions. I think judicial integrity and “the Court’s own professed methodology” allow for a far wider range of results—partly because it is unsophisticated to reduce the Court’s own professed methodology to a slogan. Anyone is entitled to disagree with the Court’s decisions, but political disagreements aren’t evidence of a lack of integrity—they are just a fact of life. In short, Craig’s arguments about the Court’s illegitimacy fail.

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Craig’s broader argument—that the Court is illegitimate because it is insufficiently independent—is also undercut by the Court’s decision on tariffs. Craig tries to explain that problem away by describing the tariff decision as consistent with “longstanding Republican policy preferences.” That conflates the typical voter’s partisan identification (relatively static over time) with the typical voter’s policy preferences (relatively plastic): it misunderstands, e.g., the strange new respect Republicans exhibited for tariffs that coincided with Trump’s rise. And of course Craig’s insistence that the Court is insufficiently independent will require increasingly elaborate counter-explanations when the Court’s repeated refusals to allow the president to deploy National Guard troops in states with governors who do not want them there—and the Court’s repeated refusals to allow the president to deport detainees—are considered. In short, Craig’s denunciation of “what this Court does when its side’s power is directly at stake” is hard to reconcile with the real world’s record.

Of course, there will be Democratic politicians who will find the charge that the Court has become compromised persuasive, and there will be Democratic voters who will find it persuasive as well. (People often find propositions persuasive when those propositions are useful.) But Craig’s case that the Court has been compromised will likely be unpersuasive to a neutral observer who is familiar with the whole of the Court’s record. Once partisanship is removed from the scales, Craig’s case for the Court’s legitimacy crisis is thin on evidence.

Daniel Freeman patiently reveals the ravages of rent control. Here’s his conclusion:

None of the above points is particularly controversial among economists – which is a rare thing. If you want to get a good overview of the huge amount of empirical evidence that has formed this consensus, I recommend Konstantin Kholodalin’s paper analysis of almost every study conducted around the world on the impact of rent control. Or if you’re short of time, the IEA briefing, Rent Control: Does it Work?.

Stephen Kotkin writes about the remarkable Benjamin Franklin.

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Quotation of the Day…

is from Alexander Hamilton’s Report on the Subject of Manufacturers, which was submitted to the U.S. House of Representatives on December 5th, 1791:

To cherish and stimulate the activity of the human mind, by multiplying the objects of enterprise, is not among the least considerable of the expedients, by which the wealth of a nation may be promoted. Even things in themselves not positively advantageous, sometimes become so, by their tendency to provoke exertion. Every new scene, which is opened to the busy nature of man to rouse and exert itself, is the addition of a new energy to the general stock of effort.

DBx: Hamilton here identifies yet another good reason for economic freedom: Such freedom maximizes the possibilities for – and encourages – the use of human imagination and creativity at figuring out how to improve one’s (and one’s family’s) life by improving the lives of one’s fellow human beings. Creating new products or new and better ways of supplying existing products is excellent exercise for the human mind.

And if trade is free, the scope for applying this entrepreneurial creativity is larger than if trade isn’t free.

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Some Links

The Progressive Policy Institute’s Ed Gresser testifies against the Trump administration’s proposed Section 301 “Forced Labor” tariffs. A slice from PPI’s announcement of the testimony:

Just as the Trump administration’s IEEPA tariffs last year rested on a bad-faith claim of ‘international emergency,’ its 301 proposal this year uses an important human rights as a pretext for breaching the Constitutional separation of powers and raising costs for Americans. This proposal does not meet the standards of Section 301 required to implement tariffs, as it neither offers evidence of actual trade in forced-labor goods nor demonstrates any ‘burden’ on U.S. commerce.

The Editorial Board of the Wall Street Journal isn’t favorably impressed by the consequences of Trump’s tariffs punitive taxes on Americans’ purchases of imports. A slice:

But the President is right that his tariffs are at work—in destroying U.S. jobs and raising prices. The U.S. has lost some 75,000 manufacturing jobs since January 2025, including 25,900 in motor vehicle and parts production. Manufacturing jobs have been declining since early 2023, so not all of these job losses stem from Mr. Trump’s border taxes. Some auto job losses are probably an overhang from the electric-vehicle fiasco.

Still, there’s no question his tariffs are raising costs for U.S. manufacturers. At the same time, foreign retaliation has hurt America’s farmers and depressed purchases of agriculture equipment. A slowdown in trade has also dented demand for semi-trucks.

Mr. Trump’s Section 232 national security tariffs on autos and parts have cost $35.2 billion through April of this year, and his steel and aluminum tariffs another $17.5 billion, according to U.S. government data. Mr. Trump and his advisers claim that foreigners pay his border taxes, but the evidence shows that U.S. companies, workers and consumers are picking up most of the tab.

The Anderson Economic Group estimates that auto tariffs on Canada and Mexico alone added about $1,600 to the cost of each car made in the U.S. last year. While auto makers absorbed some of the Trump tariff costs, they also passed on a large share to customers.

A March report by Cox Automotive found that tariffs drove a 10.4% increase in the average suggested retail price of a new car. Sticker prices rose by an estimated $5,000 to $8,900 for imported vehicles and about $1,600 to $2,000 for U.S.-made cars. Auto dealers—most of which are small businesses—absorbed about 4.5% of the manufacturer’s price increase.

Dealers have shed 6,100 jobs since Mr. Trump became President. Cause and effect? Manufacturers have also added fees to avoid raising base prices. Cox says GM and Ford charge “destination fees” of $2,795 for full-size trucks and SUVs. GM has increased such fees by 40% (about $800) on its Chevrolet Silverado. Call it the Trump tax.

Auto makers have also reduced imports, and in some cases discontinued sales, of entry-level models because the tariff costs render them unaffordable. One result is that younger and middle-class Americans are struggling to afford new cars, especially on the heels of the Biden inflation.

Many are driving clunkers for longer—and paying more for repairs if they break down—or buying used cars. New vehicle sales have averaged 15.9 million in the first half of this year, down from the 17 to 18 million in the five years before the pandemic. When people buy fewer cars, auto makers don’t need as many workers.

Scott Atlas is on to something by noting that the ease of life in late 20th-century and early 21s century America for young people gave many of them a distorted view of economic reality. A slice:

My generation—the baby boomers—made a catastrophic mistake. We watched our parents sacrifice, we struggled to move up, and we vowed our children would have it easier. When that time came, we gave them trophies for showing up. We meant well. But in freeing them of the need to struggle, we deprived them of something essential. We raised a generation insulated from failure, from consequence, from the experience of working for something, failing and trying again.

The result is visible in major American cities, where young voters are electing socialist candidates who spew hatred of those who achieve greatness. These movements aren’t about creating opportunity. They’re about grievance, redistribution and the conviction that your own failures are the result of someone else’s success. It is a politics of envy dressed up as justice.

The hallmark of today’s young generation is the selfie. A photo of yourself, taken and posted for the approval of others. That says everything. And when the world doesn’t deliver the validation young people have been told they deserve simply for existing, the explanation is always the same: The system is rigged, the deck is stacked, someone else has too much.

Economically ignorant and arrogant progressives in Europe detest air-conditioning; at least some economically ignorant and arrogant progressives in the U.S. wish to coercively mandate air-conditioning. A slice from a Washington Post editorial:

The rising cost of housing is squeezing Americans’ take-home pay, and a major cause of the problem is overregulation. For an example, look at Spokane, Washington, whose city council will vote next week on whether to give renters a “right to cooling.”

The measure, dreamed up by faculty and law students with the Gonzaga Institute for Climate, Water, and the Environment, would require landlords to provide “adequate cooling” in “each bedroom” of every rental unit. If they fail to do so, a tenant could install his own cooling equipment of up to $500 at the landlord’s expense.

Air conditioning is a world-changing invention, and state law already allows tenants to install an AC unit without permission. But the new mandate could mean expensive upgrades to thousands of units in the city. The regulatory burden would be paid for by higher rents.

Nonprofit organizations that provide low-income rentals are most at risk. Leaders from affordable housing groups warned against the plan at a city council meeting last month. Sarah Lickfold, whose organization provides transitional living for women with kids, laid out the tradeoff: “We cannot keep adding to the requirements of affordable housing providers and expect to meet our community’s housing needs.”

Corey DeAngelis identifies some of the hypocrites who oppose oppose school choice yet who send their own children to private schools. A slice:

Randi Weingarten and Becky Pringle, presidents of the American Federation of Teachers and the National Education Association, respectively, sent a letter last month to Democratic governors urging them not to opt into President Donald Trump’s new federal tax creditboosting school choice.

Weingarten and Pringle’s message was unequivocal: Keep the money inside the traditional public school system and shut down a path that would let families direct their resources elsewhere.

At the same time, Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Arizona) is leading an effort to repeal that program. But over half of the lawmakers backing Kelly’s bill, the Keep Public Funds in Public Schools Act, have had the privilege of opting out of public schools: They either attended private school growing up or sent their children to private schools.

That includes at least 19 out of the 34 total sponsors and co-sponsors of the bill. The figure reveals a pattern of lawmakers who benefited from educational options they now want to keep out of reach for many families across the country.

Tweeting about J.D. Vance and the many MAGAnites who oppose measuring GDP, Scott Lincicome observes this:

Not just Vance, btw. Almost all the GDP Truthers – left and right – attack it bc they love anti-growth policies.

Tyler Cowen talks with Nobel-laureate economic historian Joel Mokyr.

My intrepid Mercatus Center colleague, Veronique de Rugy, ponders Ambrogio Lorenzetti’s Allegory of Good and Bad Government. A slice:

Nearly 700 years old, the series of fresco paintings includes a depiction of a bustling city that illustrates the effects of good government, as well as representations of the decay that results from arbitrary and unjust rulers. The visual treatise on political economy holds important lessons for us today.

Lorenzetti’s city isn’t thriving because its government is energetic or ambitious. It’s thriving because a wise government knows its place.

The people creating its wealth aren’t politicians. They’re merchants opening shops, artisans practicing their crafts, builders raising new homes, farmers bringing goods to market, families walking safely through the streets, and a couple getting married. Prosperity comes from their voluntary cooperation. The government appears as the guardian of the rules that make prosperity possible: justice, security, predictable laws, and limits on arbitrary power.

That distinction is everything. America did not become the richest nation in history because Washington, D.C., was exceptionally good at directing the economy. It thrived because its institutions largely prevented Washington from interfering. The rule of law and constitutional limits have allowed millions of individuals to make sound decisions that no central authority could possibly coordinate.

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Quotation of the Day…

is from page 59 of the late Gordon Wood’s marvelous 1991 book, The Radicalism of the American Revolution:

In such a small-scale society [as colonial North America], privacy as we know it did not exist, and our sharp modern distinction between private and public was as yet scarcely visible. Living quarters were crowded, and people who were not formally related – servants, hired laborers, nurses, and other lodgers – were often jammed together with family members in the same room or even in the same bed.

DBx: And by the world standards of the day, residents of Britain’s North American colonies were among the richest people then alive. Ponder this reality when you next hear some Democratic Socialist or collectivist pundit or professor announce, from the comfort of their cubby or study – having slept the previous night with no unwelcome strangers – that “capitalism has failed.”

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Some Links

George Will continues to argue eloquently against all government restrictions on contributions to political campaigns and on the spending of such contributions. Two slices:

Any adequate history of human shortsightedness, which would pretty much encompass all of human history, would mention America’s half-century dalliance with “campaign finance reform.” The Supreme Court recently issued another decision distancing itself, but not nearly enough, from its original 1976 sin of not invalidating limits on coordinated expenditures by parties when it invalidated expenditure limits on candidates.

Academia has been egregious in diminishing the First Amendment, but this began in Congress. All campaign finance laws are written by incumbent legislators, and, unsurprisingly, serve their interests. Ostensibly responding to Watergate, but primarily codifying its members’ interests, Congress imposed limits on the quantity, content and timing of political (campaign) speech, the First Amendment’s core concern. Limits on campaign contributions and spending magnify the importance of incumbents’ many communications advantages.

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Campaign regulations and their rationales about “appearance” breed the sort of cynicism they are supposed to combat. Consider the following:

The largest political spending that today could raise quid pro quo “appearance” probably is by teachers unions, whose support goes almost entirely to Democrats. But do we want corruption sniffers trying to establish where politics ends and corruption begins? Does a recipient’s opposition to school-choice programs cause a union’s contributions, or do the contributions flow to the recipient because he or she opposes school-choice programs? Supporting a party or candidate because one supports particular policies is called politics.

Quid pro quo corruption has long been illegal. Restricting speech in order to deter such corruption also should be illegal. It is, under the First Amendment (“Congress shall make no law …”) properly construed.

Actually, any doctrine that permits limits on contributions and spending for political advocacy is inconsistent with the constitutional proscription of laws abridging freedom of speech. The court could have spared the country much trouble if in 1976 it had responded to Congress’s speech-rationing regime with a three-word opinion: “You’re kidding, right?”

Who says that capitalism impoverishes workers? A slice from a Wall Street Journal report:

Cashier Tony Barzar unloaded his lunch in the breakroom, clocked in and headed for the checkout, just as he has for much of the past four decades.

That day, like most days, the 60-year-old Barzar was assigned to the self-checkout area, a cluster of six registers. At 9:02 a.m., the first shoppers were ready to ring themselves up.

“Right here, ma’am!” Barzar said, gesturing for a customer in line to move to an open register. “How ya doing today, sir? Find everything alright?” he said to another as he circled the registers with a scanning gun.

Long-tenured workers like Barzar are Costco’s secret weapon. They are reliable and experienced, able to speed shoppers through a checkout line and serve as mentors to newer workers, passing down the company’s unique culture, Costco executives say.

Barzar’s pay and benefits reflect his value to the company. He earns $32.90 an hour, and the holdings in his 401(k) have boosted his retirement savings to over $1 million, he said. His Costco-sponsored healthcare has a regular visit co-pay of $15, and a specialty visit co-pay of $25, well below the national average. In 2009, Barzar’s family bought a three-bedroom, two-bath house with a pool, and they have been able to travel to Europe twice over the past decade.

As a younger person, “I didn’t think me and my family would reach where we sit now,” he said. “I could retire, but what would I do? Costco has been good to me.”

Costco has long paid more than most U.S. retailers to help keep turnover low, a strategy the company’s founders believed would reduce costs associated with training new hires and lead to better customer service. Turnover after one year of employment at Costco is around 7%, a fraction of industry averages.

Research generally supports the idea that happy employees stay longer and lead to happier customers. In one 2023 study, consulting firm McKinsey looked at online reviews of over 100 retailers by both customers and employees. Retailers with the top 25% highest employee-satisfaction scores were more than twice as likely to fall in the top 25% of customer-satisfaction scores, said the firm.

Here’s the abstract of an important new paper by my Mercatus Center colleague Jack Salmon:

This paper examines the differential effects of tax-based versus spending-based fiscal consolidations on debt sustainability and economic growth using narrative consolidation data for 17 advanced economies from 1978 to 2016. The Adler et al. (2024) dataset, published as International Monetary Fund (IMF) Working Paper 24/210, provides a comprehensive revision of the Alesina et al. (2015, 2019) narrative data, extending coverage to 17 countries including the Netherlands and updating shock magnitudes throughout the sample period. Macroeconomic outcome variables are drawn from World Bank, Organisation of Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), and IMF primary sources. The narrative shock sample is bounded in 2016 to ensure the three-year debt outcome window remains pre-pandemic; local projections use shocks through 2014 to guarantee all five horizons avoid COVID contamination.

Employing country and year fixed-effects panel regressions with clustered standard errors, local projections methods, and linear probability models, this paper reveals that spending-based consolidations are associated with higher probabilities of debt reduction and more favorable growth outcomes than tax-based consolidations. A one-percentage-point tax-based consolidation reduces GDP growth contemporaneously by 0.59 percentage points, versus 0.29 percentage points for spending-based consolidations. Local projections reveal that tax-based consolidations impose increasingly negative effects over time (reaching −2.94 percentage points cumulatively five years after the event), while spending-based consolidations generate a trajectory that turns positive after two years and reaches +1.81 percentage points after five years. Tax-based consolidations reduce the probability of substantial debt reduction by 9.5 percentage points and of debt stabilization (debt-to-GDP ratio does not increase over three years) by 12.4 percentage points. Spending-based consolidations significantly raise the probability of substantial debt reduction by 11.1 percentage points. These results are robust to heterogeneity by initial debt level.

The Editorial Board of the Washington Post criticizes Trump for using subsidies for the purpose of “compensating farmers partly for the damage from his own policies.” A slice:

While farmers have struggled to deal with Trump’s trade and Iran policies, the subsidies go beyond cushioning farms in a rough period. Net farm income is still above the 20-year average. If Congress manages to pass the extra $11 billion, government payment to farms would be at a record high. The handouts come on top of existing government supports such as crop insurance.

Scott Lincicome tweets:

New rule: Every wonky argument “rethinking free trade” – and defending Trump 2.0 trade policy – due to alleged “national security” concerns must conclude with–

“So, that’s why we tariffed bananas and Canadian aluminum”

“Warren’s plan to ‘fix’ Social Security would be largest tax increase in over 40 years” – so explains Reason‘s Eric Boehm.

Greg Lukianoff explains that “the government’s flagrant violations of the First Amendment threaten the heart of the American experiment.” Two slices:

The administration has aggressively pursued everyday Americans for expressing their grievances with the government. These flagrant violations of the First Amendment should frighten Americans of every political stripe, because they threaten the very heart of the American experiment: the freedom to criticize our representatives vociferously and petition our government for change.

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Then there is social worker Colleen Fagan. In January, Fagan was at an apartment complex in Portland, Maine, observing federal immigration enforcement operations. The agents did not like being watched. They scanned her face with a smartphone and took down her license plate number. When Fagan asked why they were doing this, a masked agent answered: “Cause we have a nice little database. And now you’re considered a domestic terrorist.”

Yet everything these Americans did is protected by the First Amendment. The Constitution protects the people’s right to criticize the government, whether by writing an email or posting to social media or observing police in action. As the Supreme Court wrote in 1987 in City of Houston v. Hill: “The freedom of individuals verbally to oppose or challenge police action without thereby risking arrest is one of the principal characteristics by which we distinguish a free nation from a police state.”

The purpose of the government’s intimidation tactics is clear: not only to terrorize the immediate critic into silence but also to send a message to others. In other words, to build the foundation of a police state.

The Editorial Board of the Wall Street Journal agrees that “the Smithsonian lost America’s plot.” Two slices:

One of the better causes of the second Trump Administration is its effort to purge the progressive political takeover of America’s national cultural institutions. A case in point is the new White House report on the bad historical turn taken by the Smithsonian Institution’s National Museum of American History.

The press is attacking the report as an attempt to censor independent museum curation, but that’s not how we read it. The 162-page “Saving America’s Story,” produced by the White House Domestic Policy Council, lays out in persuasive detail how the museum offers a largely critical view of American history that “no longer treats the American story as a shared national inheritance to be taught or celebrated.”

Instead, the museum offers the message, captured in one exhibit, that when they founded the U.S., “early leaders envisioned a country that promised opportunity and freedom—but only for some.”

The report isn’t a cheerleading document seeking to hide America’s warts. What it seeks is a history of the U.S. that doesn’t resemble the 1619 Project in its partisan bias.

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The Smithsonian American Art Museum and Smithsonian Learning Lab created a poster that says, “Whiteness as a concept is foundational to the history of the United States, actively shaping this country’s social, cultural, political and economic structures.” Whiteness? This is today’s leftwing identity politics imposed on the past.

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Quotation of the Day…

… is from page 81 of Eamonn Butler’s excellent 2021 book, An Introduction to Trade & Globalisation:

Because a country’s balance of payments with the world is the result of so many different factors and may be perfectly benign, the mere existence of a deficit is a bad excuse for protectionism. A country’s deficit with any single other country is an even worse excuse – though politicians use it often. US President Donald Trump, for example, cited his country’s trade deficits with China and Mexico as reasons to renegotiate deals and raise import barriers.

DBx: Indeed so.

Take the following to the bank: Anyone who talks about one country’s trade deficit or trade surplus with another country or region as if that “deficit” or “surplus” has even the slightest relevance for policy, or as if that “deficit” or “surplus” signifies a problem or a boon, is someone who is either utterly ignorant of the economics of trade, or is someone who assumes that you, the audience, is utterly ignorant of the economics of trade. Either way, such a someone isn’t to be trusted to comment on, and much less to have power over, trade policy.

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Hamilton Was No Trumpian

In the print edition of tomorrow’s Wall Street Journal, Phil Gramm and I defend Alexander Hamilton against the uninformed charge that he would support Trump’s tariffs. Two slices:

Since Hamilton can’t defend himself, we’d like to defend him against the claim that he would support Mr. Trump’s protectionism. In Hamilton’s 1791 Report on the Subject of Manufactures, he made the case for government encouragement of American manufacturing in a world dominated by European powers that, he worried, could easily refuse to export their manufactured goods to America in exchange for American agricultural products. As Hamilton explained, “if Europe will not take from us the products of our soil, upon terms consistent with our interest, . . . there is no other expedient, than to promote manufacturing establishments” at home. Promotion of U.S. manufacturers could be provided by protective tariffs or, even better in Hamilton’s view, by subsidies.

Messrs. Bessent and Greer claim that the Trump administration is simply reviving the Hamiltonian trade policy that created the American economic colossus. But in the 21st century, when the average trade-weighted tariff rate of Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development member countries was below 3% and almost identical to that of the U.S., and the OECD found that the nontariff barriers of U.S. trading partners aren’t significantly higher than America’s nontariff barriers, it’s highly doubtful that Hamilton would support Trump policies. Hamilton in essence rejected Mr. Trump’s tariffs when he argued in his report that “if the system of perfect liberty to industry and commerce were the prevailing system of nations, the arguments which dissuade a country in the predicament of the United States, from the zealous pursuits of manufactures would doubtless have great force.”

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Especially noteworthy is Hamilton’s conviction that among the greatest forces fostering U.S. industrialization was its trade deficit and resulting capital surplus, while Mr. Trump sees the U.S. trade deficit as a crisis and net foreign lending and investment in the U.S. as a “hemorrhaging of America’s lifeblood.” Hamilton described net inbound foreign capital as “a precious acquisition . . . a most valuable auxiliary, conducing to put in Motion a greater Quantity of productive labour, and a greater portion of useful enterprise than could exist without it.” During the country’s first century, we routinely ran trade deficits as the British and Dutch invested heavily in America. They grew wealthy on those investments, and so did America.

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Some Links

Reflecting on World Cup visitors’ amazement at American affluence, Rick Reilly rightly renews his pride in being American – pride, that is, in the American people acting privately, not politically. A slice:

Suddenly, I was — dare I say it? — proud of my country.

True, Trump’s perpetual lying has wrecked lives, his doorknob-brained tariffs have emptied Americans’ wallets, his thug ICE army has terrified plenty of good, hardworking people. But he can’t ruin ranch.

That got me thinking about other wonderful things in America that are Trump-proof. Like free coffee refills in giant mugs. I’ve been everywhere twice and I’ve never seen that anywhere else. Like 80,000 people sardined into a college football stadium packed with marching bands and cheerleaders and foot-long hot dogs, all over a goofy-shaped leather ball. Like barbecue — God-sent, delicious, smoky barbecue — piled too high for your Chinet plate and swimming in sweet Carolina sauce.

And CVS! What do you need this instant? Toothpaste, a Mother’s Day card and a splint? They’ve got ’em, and 100,000 other things. You think you’d find that in Europe? More likely it’s a mini-mart no bigger than the CVS chips aisle.

Paul Meany applauds this reality:

Free market capitalism is the system in which nothing is fixed permanently in place. Status, wealth, occupation, and opportunity are all made contestable by competition, entrepreneurship, and free markets. That dynamism is precisely what has drawn generations of immigrants to America.

Jon Hartley argues that Alexis de Tocqueville deserves a statue in Washington, DC. A slice:

Tocqueville looked at our “habits of the heart,” society’s ingrained cultural norms, moral beliefs, religion, and civic values. He saw the merits of a Constitution that protects individual rights from the tyranny of the majority. He also saw that the engines of American exceptionalism were its vibrant local ecosystems. He was mesmerized by America’s unique genius for association, meaning the tendency of ordinary citizens to band together to build schools and churches and to solve community problems without waiting for a king or a federal bureaucrat.

Those organic community bonds have fractured in our modern era. Since the early 20th century, the administrative state has expanded, attempting to manage local issues from the environment to education. This accumulation of centralized power mirrors the “soft despotism” Tocqueville feared, which reduces an energetic, industrious people into dependents managed by a bureaucratic class that is unaccountable even to the executive.

Jeffrey Degner reminds us of the now-obscure American founder – John Taylor of Caroline – who had an especially astute understanding of the realities of government. A slice:

Long before Buchanan and Tullock fully articulated the Public Choice school of thought and state capture had its name, Taylor warned that political power would attract organized interests seeking special privileges. Furthermore, in An Inquiry into the Principles and Policy of the Government of the United States, he argued that “faction” was not primarily caused by differences among people. Instead, it came from government-created opportunities for favored groups to profit through legislation. He also articulated how conflicts are fomented by government-granted economic privileges. These were the result of “mercantilist economic interference.”

The Editorial Board of the Washington Post rightly criticizes a Democratic proposal to raise the national minimum wage. A slice:

“We can afford it. It’s not like we can’t pay a $25 minimum wage,” [Sen. Chris] Murphy [D-CT] said on “Meet the Press” last Sunday. “We just choose not to because we’ve become okay with dozens and dozens of people in this country making hundreds of billions of dollars.”

Who’s “we”? Businesses have to cover the cost of higher wages somehow — hiking prices, shrinking hours, laying off workers or hiring fewer are all on the table. A higher minimum wage also increases the incentive for automation.

Some states already know the effects of raising the minimum wage beyond what the market can bear. California set a $20 wage for fast-food employees in 2024. That eliminated 18,000 jobs within a year, according to an analysis in the National Bureau of Economic Research.

Murphy claimed that “plenty of economic analysis” shows his plan will “create more jobs than you’re gonna lose.” Yet the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office estimated a $17 minimum in 2029 would put 700,000 people out of work. Imagine the damage of a $25 floor.

Wall Street Journal columnist Jason Riley decries collectivism’s cancerous effects on families. A slice:

But socialists such as Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels dismissed the traditional family as a tool of oppression that advanced the patriarchy by exploiting the domestic labor of women. Similar thinking informs today’s politicians and policymakers who want to expand the welfare state to address economic inequality. For them, nuclear families in general, and fathers in particular, were an obstacle to central planning schemes. Ultimately, the state is promoted as the best provider and dads are seen as superfluous, if not part of the problem. The upshot is that preserving the family and its autonomy is less important to socialists than preserving their own ability to tell other people how to live their lives.

One of the real-world experiments with this approach is the black family, which has been in disarray for more than a half-century and is the subject of an important new book, “The Vanishing Black Family: How Welfare and Feminism Made Marriage Optional and Children Vulnerable.” The author is Delano Squires, a black husband and father who focuses on marriage and parenthood at the Heritage Foundation. He spent more than a decade employed by the District of Columbia in a program aimed at reducing gun violence. The book offers something many others can’t, which is scholarly analysis alongside the astute observations of a practitioner who has lived and worked with the people he’s discussing.

Mr. Squires contends that many of the social and economic problems in low-income black communities stem from the sad fact that some 70% of black children are born to unwed parents and nearly 45% live with a single mother. “Progressives talk a lot about racial disparities in household incomes but never seem to include family structure in their calculations,” he writes. Asians are the highest earners, followed by whites, Hispanics and blacks. Similarly, Asians have the highest marriage rates, followed by whites, Hispanics and blacks. Maybe it’s no coincidence.

My intrepid Mercatus Center colleague, Veronique de Rugy, talks with Phil Magness and my GMU Econ colleague Vincent Geloso about inequality.

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Quotation of the Day…

… is from page 22 of Pierre Lemieux’s excellent 2018 book, What’s Wrong With Protectionism? [original emphasis; footnote deleted; link added]:

The mercantilists of the 16th and 17th centuries thought that a country should export as much as possible and import as little as possible. This is an economic error. Just as individuals sell goods or labor in order to buy something, countries export in order to import. As James Mill wrote nearly 200 years ago, “The benefit which is derived from exchanging one commodity for another, arises, in all cases, from the commodity received, not from the commodity given.”

DBx: Pictured here is James Mill (1773-1836).

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Here’s another note to a regular correspondent who, in his words, knows “for sure President Donald Trump is right about trade.”

Mr. McKinney:

Thanks for passing along U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer’s recent Congressional testimony – testimony from which, you claim, I “may finally learn the truth how President Trump is rescuing the US from foreigners taking advantage of us for decades.”

Sigh.

I could go through Greer’s piece and identify each of its many errors, not the least of these being his main point that U.S. trade deficits are a problem that must be solved. In reality, these “deficits” reflect net capital inflows into the U.S. – capital inflows drawn overwhelmingly by the U.S. economy’s strength. These deficits are not, contrary to what Greer and Trump repeatedly insist, caused by foreigners having “rigged the global economy” to abuse Americans. According to UNCTAD’s hot-off-the-press “World Investment Report 2026,” the U.S. continues to lead the world as a recipient of inbound foreign direct investment, receiving in 2025 83 percent more such investment than was received by second-place Singapore (and 164 percent more than fourth-place China).

Also contributing to U.S. trade deficits is the dollar’s continued role as the global reserve currency. This role is one that Trump – inconsistently with his obsession with eliminating U.S. trade deficits – wants the dollar to continue to play.

I could, as I say, pick apart Greer’s testimony flaw by flaw, misunderstanding by misunderstanding, half-truth by half-truth. But instead, I’ll share with you this new music video by Jason Stills showing World Cup visitors to America being gobsmacked by the prosperity enjoyed by ordinary Americans.

If Trump, Greer, and the MAGA choir were correct that we Americans have been abused for decades by trade with foreigners, these visitors to America would have found us to be a relatively poor people – a people worthy more of pity rather than of our visitors’ astonishment at the wealth that for us is mundane yet for our visitors is jaw-droppingly enormous.

Sincerely,
Don

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