Regarding the current financial
turmoil….
Suppose Uncle Sam were the monopoly supplier of steel in the
same way that he is the monopoly supplier of money. A (largely) independent
board of Very Smart People meets monthly to determine the nation’s
steel supply. If this board gets matters correct, the resulting price
of steel prompts producers and consumers to use steel wisely. But if
the board guesses wrongly and, say, increases the steel supply too
much, the market will overuse steel. Products that would have been
better made with aluminum or plastic, or not made at all, will instead
be made with steel. And production plans made in anticipation of a
continuing ‘easy steel’ policy will be disrupted if the board changes
course.
Unless this steel board gets things right with
superhuman regularity, the structure of the economy will be become
grossly distorted over time. In addition, producers and investors will
be forever anxious about upcoming decisions of the steel board.
We
avoid this fate because steel is supplied by markets, with competitive
producers and consumers adjusting daily to new information about
changing opportunities and costs of using and manufacturing steel. No
one worries about getting the steel supply right, for markets do that
job remarkably well.
Unfortunately, the same isn’t true for
money. Its supply is determined consciously by a board. Unable to
know and adjust to changes in people’s demand for money – and subject
always to political pressures to grease the economy with the snake oil
of easy money – the Federal Reserve distorts the economy with its
inevitably mistaken decisions on the supply of money. Asset bubbles
are part of the price we pay for this primitive way of supplying money.
Markets
should supply money just as they supply steel – and experience (for
example, Scotland and Canada in the 19th century) shows that they do so
when given the opportunity.



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