seth: "I agree that USPS is a poor competitor, but it seems to meet the basic needs of its users relatively well."
Not sure how to reply to this. Let's see:
1. Have you ever waited in line 40 minutes at a USPS counter? It happens frequently. Ever see that at a FedEx counter? You certainly didn't when I used queuing models to determine staffing levels for those counters.
2. For 10 years I shipped 15 heavy parcels a week from Dallas to a single address in Memphis. The 8 or 10 times I tried USPS, I discovered I could never predict arrival times, which would vary from 3 days to 5 weeks. FedEx Freight delivered the same 15 parcels overnight for only 20% more.
3. Any idea how many letters USPS delivers to the wrong address? In my neighborhood it must be 20%, despite our frequent complaints to the Postmaster.
4. Isn't it obvious that FedEx overnight letters were a $2 billion success because USPS was just not reliable?
I'm surprised to read anyone would describe USPS service as "meeting the basic needs". Really surprised. You must have had a very different experience than I have.
LCJ -
RE: "I don't believe you. And I view anything typed by you with suspicion. Sorry, but from my point of view, you've done this to yourself… it was not fair of me to call you out and incite a response from you"
What response is there to incite?!?!?!? I've never come close to supporting single payer, and I'm skeptical of any public plan. Is this how we're going to play this game – randomly attribute positions to people and insist we don't believe them if they refuse to admit it? There's no shame in supporting single-payer… why would I deny it? Trust me – I don't support single-payer for exactly the reasons I stated for agreeing with Friedman, above.
Informative and productive. That was a really a good stuff for hair restoration. Going for hair surgery with quality doctors and better surgeons is also a good option for hair loss treatment for both men and woment
GilJune 23, 2009 at 8:22 am
Is the moral of the story that people have to take a leap of faith? Which is to say let the health system be a free market in the way other services are? The usual retort is that if a cancer cure was found but was rather expensive such that few could afford it then people say "subsidise it so everyone might be cured" but then it would be said that "making it artificially cheap doesn't allow research into production-efficiency hence it will stay expensive but seem cheap with subsidising". Alternatively, in the field of movie players the release of a Blu-Ray player doesn't cause people to clamour for subsidisation so everyone might enjoy it rather it has to find its own level.
JohnJune 23, 2009 at 8:27 am
Is the moral of the story that people have to take a leap of faith?
No Gil, the moral of the story is that when government policy creates a problem, that more government is NOT the answer.
It's a good article and I agree with Friedman that third-party payment is an important problem and that health savings accounts are an important part of the solution…
But he REALLY fudges the issue that as the OECD economy with one of the least socialized health systems, we somehow still have one of the highest cost systems. I don't say he fudges this one to besmirch Friedman – I think he recognizes that himself ("I must confess that despite much thought and scouring of the literature, I have no satisfactory answer"). It's refreshing compared to other economists who think they are sure they know why we spend so much despite having such a relatively free system.
So I completely agree that Friedman is on the right track, but I don't think there's an airtight case against some sort of public plan until we figure out why it hasn't seemed to spell disaster in other countries.
And I should say – I'm not sold on a public plan. I just think Friedman has made a good case for (1.) being wary of third party payers and (2.) in favor of MSA's. He just hasn't made quite as good a case against public plans as he has for those other two things, and he seems to admit it quite candidly.
DavidJune 23, 2009 at 10:04 am
Daniel, we already have a public plan. In fact, we have two: Medicare and Medicaid. From what I've heard, waiting for care in "universal" care countries can take months. The government can keep costs down relative to the private market by shifting costs to the private market. The cost rationing also leads to the wait time issues in countries with universal care. With prices capped, supply won't increase. The rest of the world has benefitted greatly from having a "relatively free" healthcare market in the US. It seems that most of the medical innovation taking place in the world comes from the US, even with the FDA. I view it as a freeloader scenario. Government programs are also notoriously opaque when it comes to accounting (how does SS compare to Madoff?), and I don't trust the government to be a responsible steward of either my money or my medical care.
David -
Right. When I said "public plan" I was refering to the plans now being discussed, not Medicare and Medicaid. There is still a huge paradox that Friedman points out and that we really can't just ignore if we want a real solution.
DavidJune 23, 2009 at 10:39 am
I'm not sure why not having an "airtight case against some sort of public plan" provides impetus to create another public plan. We do already have two public plans and we are still in our current situation. Both of our public plans, but Medicare in particular, are fiscal trainwrecks.
LowcountryJoeJune 23, 2009 at 10:39 am
DK and other healthcare-as-an-entitlement proponents,
In 2007, over 980 billion dollars (or .98 trillion) of the 1.95 trillion spent on healthcare was done by the federal government alone; this did not include the states' spending on healthcare. As Friedman pointed out in his piece, "We are headed toward completely socialized medicine—and, if we take indirect tax subsidies into account, we’re already halfway there."
But the crux of Friedman's piece lies in these paragraphs:
The Changing Meaning of Insurance
Employer financing of medical care has caused the term insurance to acquire a rather different meaning in medicine than in most other contexts. We generally rely on insurance to protect us against events that are highly unlikely to occur but that involve large losses if they do occur—major catastrophes, not minor, regularly recurring expenses. We insure our houses against loss from fire, not against the cost of having to cut the lawn. We insure our cars against liability to others or major damage, not against having to pay for gasoline. Yet in medicine, it has become common to rely on insurance to pay for regular medical examinations and often for prescriptions.
This is partly a question of the size of the deductible and the copayment, but it goes beyond that. "Without medical insurance" and "without access to medical care" have come to be treated as nearly synonymous. Moreover, the states and the federal government have increasingly specified the coverage of insurance for medical care to a detail not common in other areas. The effect has been to raise the cost of insurance and to limit the options open to individuals. Many, if not most, of the "medically uninsured" are persons who for one reason or another do not have access to employer-provided medical care and are unable or unwilling to pay the cost of the only kinds of insurance contracts available to them.
If the tax exemption for employer-provided medical care and Medicare and Medicaid had never been enacted, the insurance market for medical care would probably have developed as other insurance markets have. The typical form of medical insurance would have been catastrophic insurance (i.e., insurance with a very high deductible).
If the above quoting isn't compelling enough, consider that insurance such as property or life insurance is paid for by the insured through premiums. And these premiums reflect the risk of events being triggered by those who are in the same insurance risk pool, the differentiations in the premium's amounts being closely linked by the increased or decreased risks of each individual who is insured within the risk pool.
If the government gets involved in providing insurance (if not outright healthcare), the premiums that individuals will pay will have nothing to do with risks [expected consumption of healthcare resources by the insured] but will have everything to do with the so-called ability to pay for the premiums.
In other words, the wealthy, no matter how much they consume in healthcare, will pay an incredibily large portion of the premium for the amount that they use while the less wealthy will free ride off their [the wealthy's] generosity that the state has coerced them into.
This is morally repugnant and is state-sanctioned theft merely for political expediency and to retain political seats come election time. In my opion, the people who support this probably fall into four camps: those that feel guilty about having so much while other have not as much; those that will benefit without incurring the seen costs; those that enjoy seeing the state consolidate power at the expense of private industry; and those that are divorced from reality and are naive enough to see healthcare as somehow different that any other service industry and that, because of this, advocate for making this an entitlement that only government can provide efficiently. And, the voting people that support this are more numerous than those voters who do not support it and generallty will not find themselves paying the true cost of it; Alexis de Tocqueville had this correct!
GilJune 23, 2009 at 10:41 am
Geez John. Another variant to my earlier would be DVD makers had to figure how to make DVDs and DV players cheap if they wanted a serious market. Once a DVD player was expensive but now it isn't. How did that happen? Oh well two problems with medicine is the way that a life-threatening scenario can occur at any point in life and at times when some can least afford it, also life-threatening conditions that were untreatable a few generations ago are now treatable.
But then who's to say healthcare hasn't come down over the years? No one should die of gangrene in this day&age and bubonic plague and leprosy are both highly treatable.
LCJ -
RE: "DK and other healthcare-as-an-entitlement proponents,"
You're confusing me with someone else. Never thought this. Don't think it now. It's an absurd approach.
JohnJune 23, 2009 at 10:50 am
Gil,
I'm sorry, I misunderstood.
I don't think the dvd analogy works well because I don't think economy of scale applies to health care.
Or maybe it does and someone can enlighten me.
DavidJune 23, 2009 at 11:11 am
Daniel: So you oppose the creation of another public plan? I see lots of good arguments against it and nothing but "feel good" arguments for it.
David -
As I said I'm not sold on it. I don't know what to think about it. I certainly am opposed to single-payer, less decided on other public plans. The most convincing argument for a public plan to me seems to be the monopoly power of the current private insurance market, which would also explain how we have one of the least socialized systems but ridiculous cost inflation. Some sort of public plan seems like it could help with that. But of course – we know that you don't actually need multiple companies in an industry to provide competition, because of the threat of entry. So I'm no 100% sold on it, but there seems to be a case. I'm certainly not wildly enthusiastic for the idea.
I think the health savings accounts and the elimination of the tax priveleges of employer benefits are far more important to lead the effort with. I've voiced my support for the elimination of the tax privelege several times on here at this point.
John DeweyJune 23, 2009 at 11:48 am
It's taking all my courage to disagree with someone as brilliant as Milton Friedman. But I'll give it a shot.
Of course Friedman is correct that government subsidization of health care – both favorable trax treatment and Medicare – distort normal market functioning. But he is not only criticizing government intervention in his essay.
Why does third-party payment mean that costs will not be controlled? Insurance companies have every incentive to hold the line on costs. Anyone who has worked in the health care industry the past 30 years knows that they do.
We rely on insurance companies to negotiate on our behalf. Their experts are much more likely than we are to understand the value of procedures and to know the alternatives available to various treatments.
DavidJune 23, 2009 at 11:54 am
John: Third parties can't control costs as well because consumers will over consume. Think of it like an all-you-can-eat buffet. With insurance, the marginal cost of healthcare to the individual is extremely low. There is little incentive to economize on consumption and insurance has to pay for it. This drives up demand for health care and necessarily increases prices as well, even with cost-cutting done by insurance companies. There is also the tax-exempt status of medical insurance offered through employers, so people don't see premium increases as all that bad. There are a lot of reasons why third parties can't spend your money as wisely or as frugally as you can.
JohnJune 23, 2009 at 12:04 pm
David,
I got all that.
In fact I get it better than some because I have employer provided insurance for myself and my wife, but they will not cover my stepson.
So for him I purchase catastrophic insurance (because his father is an irresponsible jerk) and pay for normal stuff out of pocket.
I was trying to figure out Gil's point about dvds.
John DeweyJune 23, 2009 at 12:12 pm
Friedman argues that employer-provided medical care is thoroughly illogical. Is it? Even if the favorable tax treatment of employer-provided health insurance were removed, wouldn't employees still desire that their employers offer health insurance benefits?
Employers – especially large ones – enjoy purchasing power we cannot hope to attain as individuals. Certainly, we could band together with groups other than our coworkers to achieve the same purchasing power. But why go to all that trouble? Our employers are perfectly willing to do so on our behalf.
Employers, of course, have an incentive to keep workers healthy. as I see it, there is nothing illogical about assisting employees in obtaining quality health care.
What is illogical about group insurance coverage?
John DeweyJune 23, 2009 at 12:21 pm
david: "Third parties can't control costs as well because consumers will over consume."
Why would third parties allow overconsumption? I've seen no arguments provided that managed care does not control costs – except where government interference prevents that control.
david: "There are a lot of reasons why third parties can't spend your money as wisely or as frugally as you can."
I disagree. Insurance companies have expertise about medical care which individuals simply do not have. They use that expertise to negotiate the most cost-effective treatments on our behalf. Furthermore, insurance companies will be much more objective in exercising control than we can hope to be.
DavidJune 23, 2009 at 12:45 pm
Most insurance plans encourage overconsumption of health care because the marginal cost of consumption is so low. I paid $125 out of my HSA when I went to an immediate care facility for a health issue. However, last year when I was on a traditional plan, the same visit cost me $20. There are a lot more things I'm willing to go to the doctor for when it only costs me $20 per trip than there are when it costs me $125 per trip. I don't know how else I can make that more clear to you. It's pretty simple.
Insurnace companies have expertise at negotiating rates for procedures. They *do not* have any ability to control the amount of health care consumed by their customers. This is where they fail to keep costs down. There's nothing that an insurer can do to keep me from going to the doctor every time I have a cold, and because I'm using the doctor so much his or her time becomes legitimately more valuable. No matter how good your negotiation skills are, you cannot out-negotiate supply and demand.
Why does third-party payment mean that costs will not be controlled? Insurance companies have every incentive to hold the line on costs. Anyone who has worked in the health care industry the past 30 years knows that they do.
Did insurance companies have anything to do with mandated coverage?
Seems to me that mandated coverage requires companies to sell coverage that people would not otherwise purchase because they deem it unlikely that they would use it, making mandated provisions into profit centers.
MarcusJune 23, 2009 at 12:55 pm
Not to change the subject but I just thought I'd point out that we also have the company store for savings, the 401k, which is also given favorable tax treatment over what individuals can do on their own.
I like the defined contribution concept but I despise that my employer chooses my investment options. As time goes on, every time our 401k provider adds a new fund it has been a high cost (>1% expense ratio) fund.
I appreciate the link and Friedman's non-inflammatory style.
I agree with Daniel. I too was disappointed by Friedman's head scratching on why the US spends a higher percent of GDP on health care. I think he touches on the answer and he's probably right.
U.S. health care is largely third party paid, which is the same as other countries. The difference is that the other countries have made value trade-offs (e.g. wait times, quality of doctor) that the U.S. has not yet made.
The funny thing is that it doesn't appear that these value trade-offs show up in "outcomes" data in terms of two oft quoted stats – infant mortality and life expectancy – from which I can make a couple conclusions.
First, these stats may not good measures of health care quality.
Second, better access to health care may have a negative impact on the health of citizens. I think Russ made this observation on podcast. Maybe that's due to avoiding mistakes of doctors and picking up infections in hospitals or it's due to people taking better care of themselves because it's tougher to get care.
It might be a little of both. All I know, is if I were to choose to be treated between the U.S. and a country with socialized medicine, I'd pick the U.S. That's probably the truest measure of health care quality of all.
Seth -
I think that's right on target on two fronts – (1.) your point that the greater spending is not showing up in any outcome data (which public plan proponents readily point out), and (2.) that Europeans make different tradeoffs than we do… and may cut in other margins (which public plan proponents are less willing to point out).
I don't think that kills any support for a public plan. I wouldn't support a single-payer system that eliminates all market forces deciding those tradeoffs – but given the cost trajectory that we're experiencing in the U.S., it seems to me to be eminently responsible to say "maybe making the cost/wait time trade off is worth considering". If health expenditures weren't growing so much faster than GDP, this might be a moot point. But they are, and it's worth a discussion.
DavidJune 23, 2009 at 1:48 pm
Making the cost/wait time decision for people is just a candy coated talk for taking control of the health care market. I don't see a way for the government to control that tradeoff without taking over the market. That's why there are a lot of black market health clinics in Canada and people coming to the US from across the socialized medicine world in order to get their treatment sooner. I think we should leave the rationing to the individual whose health is in question.
JohnJune 23, 2009 at 1:50 pm
I wouldn't support a single-payer system that eliminates all market forces deciding those tradeoffs – but … "maybe making the cost/wait time trade off is worth considering"
You wouldn't support X but X is worth considering…?
"I don't think that kills any support for a public plan."-Daniel K.
Agreed.
What kills my support for a public plan is that I'd rather have individuals make those value trade-offs, rather than a small group of people who don't know much because that has proven in other industries to provide solutions to meet the most needs.
On another note, some time ago I mentioned that a public/private option in health care is similar to the parcel delivery model we have in U.S. Postal Service and FedEx/UPS.
What I didn't recongize before is that the USPS, though subsidized, is still largely (about 95% I think) funded through first party payments, i.e. the people who use the service.
For clarity, in my previous post, I meant that individuals making value trade-offs has proven to work better than a small group of people making those trade-offs for everyone else.
John -
Re: "You wouldn't support X but X is worth considering…?"
I'm confused by the question. I don't support single payer, and I don't think I've said that we should consider single-payer. What's the issue???
I've only heard a handful of people even talking about a single-payer system. I'm not sure single-payer is what's being discussed here, John. A possible public plan is.
John DeweyJune 23, 2009 at 2:30 pm
david: " I don't know how else I can make that more clear to you."
I don't think you can. As I said before, I understand your point but I disagree with it.
david: "Insurnace companies have expertise at negotiating rates for procedures. They *do not* have any ability to control the amount of health care consumed by their customers."
I completely disagree. And the basis for my disagreement is:
- my wife's 35 years work in health care;
- the experience of my several relatives who are physicians and who deal with insuarnce reimbursements every day.
IMO, David, managed care works. It would work even better if government would leave it alone.
DavidJune 23, 2009 at 2:55 pm
Let me show you how managed care cannot control my health care expenditures. I don't like to get down to personal experience, since it can go either way, but you went there.
I used to have standard insurance until this year. This year, I switched to an HSA+HDHP plan with the intention of spending almost nothing on health care. Next year, I will probably switch to the regular insurance again. During that year, I will spend down my HSA to cover my very low deductibles and consume health care like there's no tomorrow. I have some conditions which I don't need to treat, especially not with doctors and pharmaceuticals, but which I can treat using them. There's also a marginally better outcome when I go to the doctor and get a prescription (which I wish I could simply write for myself). My prescriptions also last me for many months. So, I will probably alternate between the HDHP and traditional insurance plans for quite some time.
John, I guessed that you have some interest in keeping the status quo. I also work with health care industry clients, specifically insurance companies. I deal directly with customer service and claims processing for several of the largest insurance companies in the US on a daily basis. I know how they work, and I know how people use them. That's what I'm paid to do. The status quo has been good for me too, but that doesn't mean I think it's good.
JohnJune 23, 2009 at 3:18 pm
John, I guessed that you have some interest in keeping the status quo.
Not really. The status quo means my employer pays for a portion of my insurance, but won't allow me to cover my stepson. So I have a separate policy for him. The policy I have for myself and my wife is very expensive thanks to state regulations. I am not allowed to purchase insurance outside this state because Nanny tells me it's bad.
I'd be more than happy to take the money that my employer contributes to my plan and choose how to spend it myself.
But alas the tax structure makes that highly unlikely.
All these obstacles created by government, all these choices made for my by government, all these problems created by government, and it seems the only solution that we will see involves more government.
It's enough to drive a person insane!
MethinksJune 23, 2009 at 3:28 pm
An article about Obama's healthcare reform from this weekend's WSJ written by a doctor.
I was referring to the employment of your wife and relatives, but that's ok
I agree about all of the government regulations. I believe health care would be much cheaper (and better) without them, and I'm solidly against increasing the role of government in health care, especially given the "success" of the programs we already have.
John DeweyJune 23, 2009 at 3:53 pm
David: "John, I guessed that you have some interest in keeping the status quo."
Were you referring to me, John Dewey, or to the commentor who uses only the first name, John? I assume you meant me, as the rest of your reply seemed to be addressing the points I made.
My interest in keeping the status quo is that I believe the health care system in the U.S. is providing excellent care. As I see it, the system of employer-based insurance has taken care of my family very well for over three decades. I don't believe I'm either overpaying or overusing.
My interest in preserving the status quo has nothing to do with my wife's employment. She'll have the same well-paying job regardless of who pays for health care. She'll also retire sometime in the next 5 years. Her interests are, like mine, the interests of a health care consumer rather than those of a health care industry employee.
LowcountryJoeJune 23, 2009 at 3:53 pm
>>You're confusing me with someone else. Never thought this. Don't think it now. It's an absurd approach. ~ DK<<
I don't believe you. And I view anything typed by you with suspicion. Sorry, but from my point of view, you've done this to yourself.
With that out there, it was not fair of me to call you out and incite a response from you if I wasn't interested in seeing, what I felt would be, disingenious feedback while trying to pin you down on an issue.
John DeweyJune 23, 2009 at 4:13 pm
seth: "What I didn't recongize before is that the USPS, though subsidized, is still largely (about 95% I think) funded through first party payments, i.e. the people who use the service."
I was a planner and engineer for FedEx for 14 years. My opinion about that industry may be considered both informed and biased.
The primary revenue source for USPS is payments for delivery of non-priority mail. FedEx and UPS are prohibited from competing with USPS for that revenue. If not for email, USPS would have continued to be fat and happy with that monopoly.
USPS does compete with FedEx and UPS in the delivery of express/priority mail and parcels. FedEx and UPS have long argued that USPS has a government-granted advantage. USPS uses its government-granted monopoly profits from non-priority mail to subsidize its non-monopoly products. Even so, USPS is still a poor competitor in those non-monopoly markets.
I agree that USPS is a poor competitor, but it seems to meet the basic needs of its users relatively well.
I don't think that would be the case if larger portions of its operating budget were paid by a third party.
To be clear, I'm not for government health care, but I think we need better arguments against it than what we have now.
Friedman's realization that we are 50% of the way to socialization of health care, without much to show for it, and recognition that third parties don't spend money as carefully as first parties might be those arguments if they're true and can be articulated well.
brotioJune 23, 2009 at 9:52 pm
We have more than Medicare and Medicaid to compare to in the US. Here's an interesting article about how marvelous government-run health care is in the United States:
{ 46 comments }
seth: "I agree that USPS is a poor competitor, but it seems to meet the basic needs of its users relatively well."
Not sure how to reply to this. Let's see:
1. Have you ever waited in line 40 minutes at a USPS counter? It happens frequently. Ever see that at a FedEx counter? You certainly didn't when I used queuing models to determine staffing levels for those counters.
2. For 10 years I shipped 15 heavy parcels a week from Dallas to a single address in Memphis. The 8 or 10 times I tried USPS, I discovered I could never predict arrival times, which would vary from 3 days to 5 weeks. FedEx Freight delivered the same 15 parcels overnight for only 20% more.
3. Any idea how many letters USPS delivers to the wrong address? In my neighborhood it must be 20%, despite our frequent complaints to the Postmaster.
4. Isn't it obvious that FedEx overnight letters were a $2 billion success because USPS was just not reliable?
I'm surprised to read anyone would describe USPS service as "meeting the basic needs". Really surprised. You must have had a very different experience than I have.
LCJ -
RE: "I don't believe you. And I view anything typed by you with suspicion. Sorry, but from my point of view, you've done this to yourself… it was not fair of me to call you out and incite a response from you"
What response is there to incite?!?!?!? I've never come close to supporting single payer, and I'm skeptical of any public plan. Is this how we're going to play this game – randomly attribute positions to people and insist we don't believe them if they refuse to admit it? There's no shame in supporting single-payer… why would I deny it? Trust me – I don't support single-payer for exactly the reasons I stated for agreeing with Friedman, above.
Informative and productive. That was a really a good stuff for hair restoration. Going for hair surgery with quality doctors and better surgeons is also a good option for hair loss treatment for both men and woment
Is the moral of the story that people have to take a leap of faith? Which is to say let the health system be a free market in the way other services are? The usual retort is that if a cancer cure was found but was rather expensive such that few could afford it then people say "subsidise it so everyone might be cured" but then it would be said that "making it artificially cheap doesn't allow research into production-efficiency hence it will stay expensive but seem cheap with subsidising". Alternatively, in the field of movie players the release of a Blu-Ray player doesn't cause people to clamour for subsidisation so everyone might enjoy it rather it has to find its own level.
Is the moral of the story that people have to take a leap of faith?
No Gil, the moral of the story is that when government policy creates a problem, that more government is NOT the answer.
Not that I would expect you to understand.
I'm glad you posted this. When people email me about potential healthcare fixes I often refer them to this article. It really is a classic.
On a related note, Dr. Boudreaux, I posted this last night and thought you might like it:
Healthcare: Moral Equivalent of Slavery?
"Healthcare: Moral Equivalent of Slavery?"
Do you mean the idea of healthcare being a basic right as equivalent to being entitled to the labor of others?
>> 'Do you mean the idea of healthcare being a basic right'
John, the author of the column I commented on claimed that the fact that some people don't have health 'insurance' is the moral equivalent of slavery.
It's a good article and I agree with Friedman that third-party payment is an important problem and that health savings accounts are an important part of the solution…
But he REALLY fudges the issue that as the OECD economy with one of the least socialized health systems, we somehow still have one of the highest cost systems. I don't say he fudges this one to besmirch Friedman – I think he recognizes that himself ("I must confess that despite much thought and scouring of the literature, I have no satisfactory answer"). It's refreshing compared to other economists who think they are sure they know why we spend so much despite having such a relatively free system.
So I completely agree that Friedman is on the right track, but I don't think there's an airtight case against some sort of public plan until we figure out why it hasn't seemed to spell disaster in other countries.
And I should say – I'm not sold on a public plan. I just think Friedman has made a good case for (1.) being wary of third party payers and (2.) in favor of MSA's. He just hasn't made quite as good a case against public plans as he has for those other two things, and he seems to admit it quite candidly.
Daniel, we already have a public plan. In fact, we have two: Medicare and Medicaid. From what I've heard, waiting for care in "universal" care countries can take months. The government can keep costs down relative to the private market by shifting costs to the private market. The cost rationing also leads to the wait time issues in countries with universal care. With prices capped, supply won't increase. The rest of the world has benefitted greatly from having a "relatively free" healthcare market in the US. It seems that most of the medical innovation taking place in the world comes from the US, even with the FDA. I view it as a freeloader scenario. Government programs are also notoriously opaque when it comes to accounting (how does SS compare to Madoff?), and I don't trust the government to be a responsible steward of either my money or my medical care.
David -
Right. When I said "public plan" I was refering to the plans now being discussed, not Medicare and Medicaid. There is still a huge paradox that Friedman points out and that we really can't just ignore if we want a real solution.
I'm not sure why not having an "airtight case against some sort of public plan" provides impetus to create another public plan. We do already have two public plans and we are still in our current situation. Both of our public plans, but Medicare in particular, are fiscal trainwrecks.
DK and other healthcare-as-an-entitlement proponents,
In 2007, over 980 billion dollars (or .98 trillion) of the 1.95 trillion spent on healthcare was done by the federal government alone; this did not include the states' spending on healthcare. As Friedman pointed out in his piece, "We are headed toward completely socialized medicine—and, if we take indirect tax subsidies into account, we’re already halfway there."
But the crux of Friedman's piece lies in these paragraphs:
If the above quoting isn't compelling enough, consider that insurance such as property or life insurance is paid for by the insured through premiums. And these premiums reflect the risk of events being triggered by those who are in the same insurance risk pool, the differentiations in the premium's amounts being closely linked by the increased or decreased risks of each individual who is insured within the risk pool.
If the government gets involved in providing insurance (if not outright healthcare), the premiums that individuals will pay will have nothing to do with risks [expected consumption of healthcare resources by the insured] but will have everything to do with the so-called ability to pay for the premiums.
In other words, the wealthy, no matter how much they consume in healthcare, will pay an incredibily large portion of the premium for the amount that they use while the less wealthy will free ride off their [the wealthy's] generosity that the state has coerced them into.
This is morally repugnant and is state-sanctioned theft merely for political expediency and to retain political seats come election time. In my opion, the people who support this probably fall into four camps: those that feel guilty about having so much while other have not as much; those that will benefit without incurring the seen costs; those that enjoy seeing the state consolidate power at the expense of private industry; and those that are divorced from reality and are naive enough to see healthcare as somehow different that any other service industry and that, because of this, advocate for making this an entitlement that only government can provide efficiently. And, the voting people that support this are more numerous than those voters who do not support it and generallty will not find themselves paying the true cost of it; Alexis de Tocqueville had this correct!
Geez John. Another variant to my earlier would be DVD makers had to figure how to make DVDs and DV players cheap if they wanted a serious market. Once a DVD player was expensive but now it isn't. How did that happen? Oh well two problems with medicine is the way that a life-threatening scenario can occur at any point in life and at times when some can least afford it, also life-threatening conditions that were untreatable a few generations ago are now treatable.
But then who's to say healthcare hasn't come down over the years? No one should die of gangrene in this day&age and bubonic plague and leprosy are both highly treatable.
David -
Re: "I'm not sure why not having an "airtight case against some sort of public plan" provides impetus to create another public plan."
It doesn't
LCJ -
RE: "DK and other healthcare-as-an-entitlement proponents,"
You're confusing me with someone else. Never thought this. Don't think it now. It's an absurd approach.
Gil,
I'm sorry, I misunderstood.
I don't think the dvd analogy works well because I don't think economy of scale applies to health care.
Or maybe it does and someone can enlighten me.
Daniel: So you oppose the creation of another public plan? I see lots of good arguments against it and nothing but "feel good" arguments for it.
David -
As I said I'm not sold on it. I don't know what to think about it. I certainly am opposed to single-payer, less decided on other public plans. The most convincing argument for a public plan to me seems to be the monopoly power of the current private insurance market, which would also explain how we have one of the least socialized systems but ridiculous cost inflation. Some sort of public plan seems like it could help with that. But of course – we know that you don't actually need multiple companies in an industry to provide competition, because of the threat of entry. So I'm no 100% sold on it, but there seems to be a case. I'm certainly not wildly enthusiastic for the idea.
I think the health savings accounts and the elimination of the tax priveleges of employer benefits are far more important to lead the effort with. I've voiced my support for the elimination of the tax privelege several times on here at this point.
It's taking all my courage to disagree with someone as brilliant as Milton Friedman. But I'll give it a shot.
Of course Friedman is correct that government subsidization of health care – both favorable trax treatment and Medicare – distort normal market functioning. But he is not only criticizing government intervention in his essay.
Why does third-party payment mean that costs will not be controlled? Insurance companies have every incentive to hold the line on costs. Anyone who has worked in the health care industry the past 30 years knows that they do.
We rely on insurance companies to negotiate on our behalf. Their experts are much more likely than we are to understand the value of procedures and to know the alternatives available to various treatments.
John: Third parties can't control costs as well because consumers will over consume. Think of it like an all-you-can-eat buffet. With insurance, the marginal cost of healthcare to the individual is extremely low. There is little incentive to economize on consumption and insurance has to pay for it. This drives up demand for health care and necessarily increases prices as well, even with cost-cutting done by insurance companies. There is also the tax-exempt status of medical insurance offered through employers, so people don't see premium increases as all that bad. There are a lot of reasons why third parties can't spend your money as wisely or as frugally as you can.
David,
I got all that.
In fact I get it better than some because I have employer provided insurance for myself and my wife, but they will not cover my stepson.
So for him I purchase catastrophic insurance (because his father is an irresponsible jerk) and pay for normal stuff out of pocket.
I was trying to figure out Gil's point about dvds.
Friedman argues that employer-provided medical care is thoroughly illogical. Is it? Even if the favorable tax treatment of employer-provided health insurance were removed, wouldn't employees still desire that their employers offer health insurance benefits?
Employers – especially large ones – enjoy purchasing power we cannot hope to attain as individuals. Certainly, we could band together with groups other than our coworkers to achieve the same purchasing power. But why go to all that trouble? Our employers are perfectly willing to do so on our behalf.
Employers, of course, have an incentive to keep workers healthy. as I see it, there is nothing illogical about assisting employees in obtaining quality health care.
What is illogical about group insurance coverage?
david: "Third parties can't control costs as well because consumers will over consume."
Why would third parties allow overconsumption? I've seen no arguments provided that managed care does not control costs – except where government interference prevents that control.
david: "There are a lot of reasons why third parties can't spend your money as wisely or as frugally as you can."
I disagree. Insurance companies have expertise about medical care which individuals simply do not have. They use that expertise to negotiate the most cost-effective treatments on our behalf. Furthermore, insurance companies will be much more objective in exercising control than we can hope to be.
Most insurance plans encourage overconsumption of health care because the marginal cost of consumption is so low. I paid $125 out of my HSA when I went to an immediate care facility for a health issue. However, last year when I was on a traditional plan, the same visit cost me $20. There are a lot more things I'm willing to go to the doctor for when it only costs me $20 per trip than there are when it costs me $125 per trip. I don't know how else I can make that more clear to you. It's pretty simple.
Insurnace companies have expertise at negotiating rates for procedures. They *do not* have any ability to control the amount of health care consumed by their customers. This is where they fail to keep costs down. There's nothing that an insurer can do to keep me from going to the doctor every time I have a cold, and because I'm using the doctor so much his or her time becomes legitimately more valuable. No matter how good your negotiation skills are, you cannot out-negotiate supply and demand.
Why does third-party payment mean that costs will not be controlled? Insurance companies have every incentive to hold the line on costs. Anyone who has worked in the health care industry the past 30 years knows that they do.
Did insurance companies have anything to do with mandated coverage?
Seems to me that mandated coverage requires companies to sell coverage that people would not otherwise purchase because they deem it unlikely that they would use it, making mandated provisions into profit centers.
Not to change the subject but I just thought I'd point out that we also have the company store for savings, the 401k, which is also given favorable tax treatment over what individuals can do on their own.
I like the defined contribution concept but I despise that my employer chooses my investment options. As time goes on, every time our 401k provider adds a new fund it has been a high cost (>1% expense ratio) fund.
I appreciate the link and Friedman's non-inflammatory style.
I agree with Daniel. I too was disappointed by Friedman's head scratching on why the US spends a higher percent of GDP on health care. I think he touches on the answer and he's probably right.
U.S. health care is largely third party paid, which is the same as other countries. The difference is that the other countries have made value trade-offs (e.g. wait times, quality of doctor) that the U.S. has not yet made.
The funny thing is that it doesn't appear that these value trade-offs show up in "outcomes" data in terms of two oft quoted stats – infant mortality and life expectancy – from which I can make a couple conclusions.
First, these stats may not good measures of health care quality.
Second, better access to health care may have a negative impact on the health of citizens. I think Russ made this observation on podcast. Maybe that's due to avoiding mistakes of doctors and picking up infections in hospitals or it's due to people taking better care of themselves because it's tougher to get care.
It might be a little of both. All I know, is if I were to choose to be treated between the U.S. and a country with socialized medicine, I'd pick the U.S. That's probably the truest measure of health care quality of all.
Seth -
I think that's right on target on two fronts – (1.) your point that the greater spending is not showing up in any outcome data (which public plan proponents readily point out), and (2.) that Europeans make different tradeoffs than we do… and may cut in other margins (which public plan proponents are less willing to point out).
I don't think that kills any support for a public plan. I wouldn't support a single-payer system that eliminates all market forces deciding those tradeoffs – but given the cost trajectory that we're experiencing in the U.S., it seems to me to be eminently responsible to say "maybe making the cost/wait time trade off is worth considering". If health expenditures weren't growing so much faster than GDP, this might be a moot point. But they are, and it's worth a discussion.
Making the cost/wait time decision for people is just a candy coated talk for taking control of the health care market. I don't see a way for the government to control that tradeoff without taking over the market. That's why there are a lot of black market health clinics in Canada and people coming to the US from across the socialized medicine world in order to get their treatment sooner. I think we should leave the rationing to the individual whose health is in question.
I wouldn't support a single-payer system that eliminates all market forces deciding those tradeoffs – but … "maybe making the cost/wait time trade off is worth considering"
You wouldn't support X but X is worth considering…?
"I don't think that kills any support for a public plan."-Daniel K.
Agreed.
What kills my support for a public plan is that I'd rather have individuals make those value trade-offs, rather than a small group of people who don't know much because that has proven in other industries to provide solutions to meet the most needs.
On another note, some time ago I mentioned that a public/private option in health care is similar to the parcel delivery model we have in U.S. Postal Service and FedEx/UPS.
What I didn't recongize before is that the USPS, though subsidized, is still largely (about 95% I think) funded through first party payments, i.e. the people who use the service.
For clarity, in my previous post, I meant that individuals making value trade-offs has proven to work better than a small group of people making those trade-offs for everyone else.
John -
Re: "You wouldn't support X but X is worth considering…?"
I'm confused by the question. I don't support single payer, and I don't think I've said that we should consider single-payer. What's the issue???
I've only heard a handful of people even talking about a single-payer system. I'm not sure single-payer is what's being discussed here, John. A possible public plan is.
david: " I don't know how else I can make that more clear to you."
I don't think you can. As I said before, I understand your point but I disagree with it.
david: "Insurnace companies have expertise at negotiating rates for procedures. They *do not* have any ability to control the amount of health care consumed by their customers."
I completely disagree. And the basis for my disagreement is:
- my wife's 35 years work in health care;
- the experience of my several relatives who are physicians and who deal with insuarnce reimbursements every day.
IMO, David, managed care works. It would work even better if government would leave it alone.
Let me show you how managed care cannot control my health care expenditures. I don't like to get down to personal experience, since it can go either way, but you went there.
I used to have standard insurance until this year. This year, I switched to an HSA+HDHP plan with the intention of spending almost nothing on health care. Next year, I will probably switch to the regular insurance again. During that year, I will spend down my HSA to cover my very low deductibles and consume health care like there's no tomorrow. I have some conditions which I don't need to treat, especially not with doctors and pharmaceuticals, but which I can treat using them. There's also a marginally better outcome when I go to the doctor and get a prescription (which I wish I could simply write for myself). My prescriptions also last me for many months. So, I will probably alternate between the HDHP and traditional insurance plans for quite some time.
John, I guessed that you have some interest in keeping the status quo. I also work with health care industry clients, specifically insurance companies. I deal directly with customer service and claims processing for several of the largest insurance companies in the US on a daily basis. I know how they work, and I know how people use them. That's what I'm paid to do. The status quo has been good for me too, but that doesn't mean I think it's good.
John, I guessed that you have some interest in keeping the status quo.
Not really. The status quo means my employer pays for a portion of my insurance, but won't allow me to cover my stepson. So I have a separate policy for him. The policy I have for myself and my wife is very expensive thanks to state regulations. I am not allowed to purchase insurance outside this state because Nanny tells me it's bad.
I'd be more than happy to take the money that my employer contributes to my plan and choose how to spend it myself.
But alas the tax structure makes that highly unlikely.
All these obstacles created by government, all these choices made for my by government, all these problems created by government, and it seems the only solution that we will see involves more government.
It's enough to drive a person insane!
An article about Obama's healthcare reform from this weekend's WSJ written by a doctor.
The myth of prevention.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204005504574235751720822322.html
I was referring to the employment of your wife and relatives, but that's ok
I agree about all of the government regulations. I believe health care would be much cheaper (and better) without them, and I'm solidly against increasing the role of government in health care, especially given the "success" of the programs we already have.
David: "John, I guessed that you have some interest in keeping the status quo."
Were you referring to me, John Dewey, or to the commentor who uses only the first name, John? I assume you meant me, as the rest of your reply seemed to be addressing the points I made.
My interest in keeping the status quo is that I believe the health care system in the U.S. is providing excellent care. As I see it, the system of employer-based insurance has taken care of my family very well for over three decades. I don't believe I'm either overpaying or overusing.
My interest in preserving the status quo has nothing to do with my wife's employment. She'll have the same well-paying job regardless of who pays for health care. She'll also retire sometime in the next 5 years. Her interests are, like mine, the interests of a health care consumer rather than those of a health care industry employee.
>>You're confusing me with someone else. Never thought this. Don't think it now. It's an absurd approach. ~ DK<<
I don't believe you. And I view anything typed by you with suspicion. Sorry, but from my point of view, you've done this to yourself.
With that out there, it was not fair of me to call you out and incite a response from you if I wasn't interested in seeing, what I felt would be, disingenious feedback while trying to pin you down on an issue.
seth: "What I didn't recongize before is that the USPS, though subsidized, is still largely (about 95% I think) funded through first party payments, i.e. the people who use the service."
I was a planner and engineer for FedEx for 14 years. My opinion about that industry may be considered both informed and biased.
The primary revenue source for USPS is payments for delivery of non-priority mail. FedEx and UPS are prohibited from competing with USPS for that revenue. If not for email, USPS would have continued to be fat and happy with that monopoly.
USPS does compete with FedEx and UPS in the delivery of express/priority mail and parcels. FedEx and UPS have long argued that USPS has a government-granted advantage. USPS uses its government-granted monopoly profits from non-priority mail to subsidize its non-monopoly products. Even so, USPS is still a poor competitor in those non-monopoly markets.
John Dewey – Thanks for the perspective.
I agree that USPS is a poor competitor, but it seems to meet the basic needs of its users relatively well.
I don't think that would be the case if larger portions of its operating budget were paid by a third party.
To be clear, I'm not for government health care, but I think we need better arguments against it than what we have now.
Friedman's realization that we are 50% of the way to socialization of health care, without much to show for it, and recognition that third parties don't spend money as carefully as first parties might be those arguments if they're true and can be articulated well.
We have more than Medicare and Medicaid to compare to in the US. Here's an interesting article about how marvelous government-run health care is in the United States:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090615/ap_on_go_ot/us_health_care_s_forgotten
Can in the US any 18 year old finishing secondary school go to medical school, if he/she would wish so ?
In other words, do you have artificial restrictions on the supply side of medical doctors?
If yes: abolish them
If no: your health cost will always be hijacked by the chosen few.