Phil Magness, on his Facebook page, shared a tweet by someone who believes that the New York Times, in its obituary of the consistently, wildly wrong Paul Ehrlich, was justified in describing Ehrlich’s mistaken predictions as “premature.”
Ehrlich in 1968 predicted that within a decade humanity would suffer massive worldwide starvation. 1968 was 58 years ago. It was before man landed on the moon. Before microwave ovens were commonplace. Before low-priced pocket calculators were a thing. Before Watergate. Before the Beatles broke up. Before most Americans owned color televisions.
For anyone in 2026 to attempt to justify describing Ehrlich’s whackadoodle, consistent-proven-spectacularly wrong predictions as “premature” is ridiculous. They were and remain wrong, not only in their specifics, but also on the broader point that Ehrlich incessantly sought to make.


