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Oren Cass Continues to Err Grievously About Trade

Here’s a letter to a Facebook friend.

Keith:

Thanks for sending along Oren Cass’s and Daniel Kishi’s attempt to rationalize Trump’s punitive taxes – a.k.a. tariffs – on Americans’ purchases of imports. As you realize, their essay is filled with several fallacies, both factual and theoretical.

Let me address here the fallacy that you explicitly highlight, which is revealed in these two passages meant to justify Trump’s new rationale for raising tariffs on imports from countries that allegedly do too little to combat “forced labor”:

Capital moves not to where labor is most productive but to where it is most easily exploited. Cheap labor paid in proportion to its output is just unproductive labor; what the capitalists want is productive workers they can still pay poorly….

The new forced-labor tariffs are the leading edge of a larger ambition: a trade policy that makes capital compete on how productively it employs workers, not on how easily it can exploit them, and that restores a level playing field for Americans.

In other words, the Trump administration’s new tariffs, we are to believe, are an attempt not merely to reverse the pattern of global capital going to countries where worker productivity is high but worker pay is low, but also to ensure that more of that capital moves to the U.S. where it will employ American workers.

Overlook the fact that increasing the amount of foreign capital invested in the U.S. would increase U.S. trade deficits – the same deficits that both Oren and the president often bemoan. That Oren and Mr. Kishi seemingly are unaware of this contradiction is reason enough to dismiss their brief for the tariffs.

Instead, note that their tale is contradicted by facts.

In all but one of the ten years 2015 through 2024, the country that received the largest amount of foreign-direct-investment capital is the United States. (The U.S. ranked second in the pandemic year of 2020, receiving slightly less FDI than China.) Over that ten-year period, the U.S. received a total of $2.95 trillion in FDI, which is twice the amount receive by second-place China, and 20% of all FDI.

Further, as examination of the top-ten recipients of FDI reveals (see attached), nearly all of these countries – places such as Canada, the U.K., France, Germany, and the Netherlands – are wealthy, high-wage countries.

The U.S.’s #1 position isn’t unique to those ten years. Over the 50-year period since the U.S. began running annual trade deficits (in the mid-1970s), the country that received the most FDI is the U.S. By far. Its 20% to 25% percent of all FDI over this half-century is at least double the amount of FDI received during those years by the country that received the second largest amount of FDI, the U.K.*

These data are neither esoteric nor difficult to access. And they refute, as surely as economic data can refute any claim, Oren’s and Mr. Kishi’s assertion that global capital has been avoiding the U.S. and other high-wage countries in order to take advantage of low-wage “forced labor.”

Sincerely,
Don

* Data gathered, with Claude’s help, from various issues of UNCTAD’s World Investment Report.

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Some Links

The Editorial Board of the Wall Street Journal decries Trump’s latest round of tariffs punitive taxes on Americans’ purchases of imports. Two slices:

Courts keep knocking down President Trump’s border taxes, but he keeps imposing them, no matter the economic or (soon) the political harm. His tariff fixation is as unmovable as Bernie Sanders’s loathing for the rich.

The U.S. Trade Representative last week teed up new tariffs of 10% to 12.5% on some 60 countries. After the Supreme Court struck down the President’s emergency tariffs in February, the Administration invoked Section 122 to impose a 10% across the board tariff. A federal court last month ruled those tariffs unlawful, and they are also time-limited to 150 days.

So Mr. Trump is dusting off Section 301, which lets him impose tariffs in response to “unfair foreign acts, policies, or practices affecting U.S. commerce.” The first Trump Administration used the law to slap tariffs on China as punishment for its mercantilist policies, including intellectual property theft and forced technology transfers.

But rather than perform detailed investigations for each country, the trade office simply declares that they all engage in unfair trade practices by failing to “impose and effectively enforce a forced labor import prohibition.”

“This creates a dynamic where American workers are forced to compete globally on an unlevel playing field,” says U.S. Trade Rep. Jamieson Greer. Sorry, forced labor isn’t why companies manufacture products outside the U.S. Other countries have comparative advantages, but we know there’s no point informing the President about David Ricardo.

…..

Mr. Trump’s tariff obsession is a self-defeating act. There’s been no surge in domestic manufacturing, and they are contributing to rising prices. They are also unpopular, especially in the farm belt. That’s presumably why he reduced the Section 232 tariff rate on farm equipment recently to 15% from 25%.

Tariffs are a major reason voters aren’t happy with Mr. Trump and Republicans on the economy and inflation. A recent Fox News poll showed that 71% of voters disapprove of his handling of the economy, including 42% of those who voted for the President and 67% of whites without college degrees. Good luck in November, Republicans.

Also decrying Trump’s latest, throw spaghetti-on-the-wall-and-hope-that-some-of-it-sticks tariffs is the National Taxpayer Union’s Bryan Riley. Two slices:

Either way, Section 301 tariffs are intended to secure the removal of foreign barriers, not to impose long-term tariff increases on Americans. President Trump and former US Trade Representative (USTR) Robert Lighthizer imposed the biggest Section 301 tariffs in history to encourage China to modify its investment and intellectual property policies during President Trump’s first term. Unfortunately, those tariffs failed to achieve their stated goals. The tariffs were supposed to expire after four years, but the Biden Administration took the unprecedented action of extending them, and the Trump Administration is now considering whether to extend them again.

…..

According to Greer, “The failure of our most important trading partners to address the importation of goods made with forced labor is unacceptable. This creates a dynamic where American workers are forced to compete globally on an unlevel playing field.”

His statement may appear to be relatively innocuous. In reality, it represents a massive power grab designed to give USTR unlimited control over imports.

If allowed to stand, the new template for future tariffs will be:

  1. Announce: “The failure of our most important trading partners to ______ is unacceptable. This creates an unlevel playing field.”
  2. Fill in the blank with anything that can be dreamed up.
  3. Assert the stated foreign action is unreasonable and burdens US commerce.

Section 301 then gives USTR blanket authority to impose duties, limitations, or even import prohibitions, unless the courts or Congress intervene. Future USTRs, regardless of political party, may inherit essentially unlimited tariff power

A reasonable response would be for Congress to change our trade laws to require a vote on Section 301 tariffs. After all, in 1776, the American colonists declared their independence in part to escape the authority of a King who cut off our trade with all parts of the world.

Another skeptic of Trump’s latest excuse for tariffing Americans is Jim Bacchus. A slice:

But there is scant logic in some of the distinctions the administration has made in doing so. Especially, nothing appears to have been done to set tariffs at different levels for different countries, depending on the seriousness of the alleged human rights violations. Tariffs of 10 percent will be imposed on a group of countries that have supposedly imposed a partial prohibition on imports made by forced labor, while tariffs of 12.5 percent will be applied on a group of countries that have not imposed any legal prohibition at all. But there has seemingly been no attempt to distinguish between these countries based on the extent of their actual imports of products tainted by forced labor.

If justifiable distinctions have been made here based on human rights failures, why is the same tariff of 12.5 percent being applied to imports from China and Switzerland? In addition, why have countries such as Afghanistan, Belarus, and Myanmar—where the United States has identified significant abuses of forced labor—been excluded from these new tariffs? And is it only a coincidence that these new tariffs seem for some reason to add up to sums approaching the previous Trump tariffs that were struck down by the Supreme Court of the United States in its ruling under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act of 1977 and by other federal courts since?

It can, of course, be assumed that the president and his trade team do oppose forced labor. Their record thus far supports that assumption. But all these questions about these new tariffs suggest that they are being applied more as a means of finding a new way to help replace the tariffs that the courts have ruled illegal than as a means of combating the human rights abuses of forced labor.

Travis Fisher and David Simon cheer this fact: “The doomslayers are shaping America’s energy policy.” A slice:

The important lesson is more philosophical than technical. The shale revolution was not centrally planned into existence. It emerged from decentralized experimentation, private investment, risk-taking, and a government that respects property rights and otherwise gets out of the way. In other words, it emerged from the exact kind of society Simon believed produced human progress.

Few public officials understand that lesson better than Secretary of Energy Chris Wright.

Long before entering government, Wright argued that abundant energy is the foundation of modern human flourishing. Clean cooking, refrigeration, transportation, clean water systems, modern medicine, industrial production, and computing power all depend on enormous amounts of energy.

The optimistic worldview shared by [Julian] Simon and Wright has taken decades to reach the mainstream and influence policymakers. However, today, it looks like the future.

A Trump administration lawyer believes that the executive branch has the legal authority to bulldoze the Statue of Liberty.

George Will writes wisely. Two slices:

Jonathan Alpert, a therapist uneasy about the professional company he keeps, writes in “Therapy Nation” that between 2011 and 2023, the number seeking mental health treatment “skyrocketed” from 31.6 million to 59.2 million — about 1 in 6 Americans. Alpert believes in therapy, but blames the booming “therapy industry” for a “therapy-obsessed culture” of dependence, self-absorption, self-pity, complaining, blaming, venting and cultivated misery. Proudly fragile as victims of their circumstances, more and more Americans regard every discomfort as a “trauma” (the Greek root of the word is “wound”) to be healed by therapy laced with pharmacology. Resilience wanes and the concept of responsibility blurs.

…..

The English language has been infused with such categories from one precinct of the therapy profession. It teaches that disagreeable character traits are jumbles of curable “disorders” for which the individual is not responsible. Before this enlightenment, people had to make do with primitive categories. For example, someone with [Graham] Platner’s array of disorders would have been diagnosed as: a jerk.

GMU Econ alum Romina Boccia and Ivane Nachkebia warn that the looming crisis for Social Security is real and major.

Bob Graboyes tells of “a menagerie of 80 VPs, Speakers, Presidents Pro Tem, and Secretaries of State and Treasury who were first-in-line to inherit the White House from 47 presidents.”

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Quotation of the Day…

… is from page 63 of Thomas Sowell’s 1999 book, Barbarians Inside the Gates:

The worry has been that Microsoft would be “unfair” to competitors or use its “market power” to “monopolize” the industry or do other equally vague and often undefinable things. At the heart of all this is a confusion between injuring competitors and injuring competition.

When competition is working as a process, some competitors are almost certain to be hurt. Those for whom equality is not just an ideal but a dogma cannot accept this. Sinister theories are one result of their attempts to reconcile their dogma with a reality that repeatedly mocks it.

DBx: Yes. And today, such sinister theories are spun not only by economically uninformed progressives, but also by economically uninformed “national conservatives.”

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A Full Interview by Stossel

Thanks again to John Stossel for interviewing me a couple of months ago – and to his excellent team for somehow making me appear to be more articulate than I am. This is the full-length interview, which has just been released.

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Unsustainable Piketty, et al.

Here’s a letter to the Guardian.

Editor:

I was struck by a realization upon reading Jonathan Watts’s uncritical endorsement of Thomas Piketty, et al.’s, newly released “Global Justice Report: A Plan for Equality & Prosperity Within Planetary Boundaries” (“‘Happiness is not just about GDP’: ambitious plan or utopia?” June 4).

Progressives love to boast of their devotion to “sustainability.” Advertisers seeking their patronage trumpet certain foods and other consumer goods as being “sustainably grown” or “sustainably sourced” – advertisements that exploit progressives’ economically naïve conviction that the normal practice of businesses in market economies is to myopically disregard access to inputs tomorrow in order to unsustainably maximize sales today. Indeed, Messieurs Piketty and Co. share this naïve conviction: their report predicts that myopic market forces will inflict severe damage on the environment – damage that’s avoidable only by adopting their scheme for soaking the rich and harshly restricting economic growth.

This prediction is ironic. There’s nothing unsustainable about free-market activities, for the greatest protector of the environment and surest insurance against resource depletion are secure, tradeable property rights.

But if anyone wants an unambiguous example of a genuinely unsustainable policy, look no further than the scheme endorsed by Messieurs Piketty and Co. Such seizure of wealth and government central economic planning will kill golden-egg-laying geese and destroy the capital that’s necessary for ordinary workers to earn wages high enough to afford these workers the modern luxury of caring about the environment. The end result would be massive poverty, a pathetically puny tax base, and a dirtier and more dangerous environment.

Soak-the-rich taxation and economic central planning, under whatever guise, have always been, and will always be, unsustainable.

Sincerely,
Donald J. Boudreaux
Professor of Economics
andMartha and Nelson Getchell Chair for the Study of Free Market Capitalism at the Mercatus Center
George Mason University
Fairfax, VA 22030

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Some Links

Jack Butler remembers the late Gordon Wood. A slice:

But Wood, who died in a car accident Sunday at 92, was far more than a chronicler of this country’s founding. He did more than any other academic, and perhaps more than anyone in the past 50 years, to sustain the memory and importance of the Revolution and its principles.

Wood was born in Concord, Mass., where one of the first battles of the American Revolution was fought. He became known to the world in 1969 with his first book, “The Creation of the American Republic, 1776-1787.” It won the Bancroft Prize, one of the history profession’s highest honors.

With 1991’s “The Radicalism of the American Revolution,” Wood achieved a popular renown unusual for an academic. His thesis, defended in careful, scholarly and erudite fashion, is also right there in the title and spelled out early and plainly in the Pulitzer Prize-winning book. Our revolution “did not just eliminate monarchy and create republics; it actually reconstituted what Americans meant by public or state power and brought about an entirely new kind of popular politics and a new kind of democratic officeholder.”

Also remembering Gordon Wood is AEI president Robert Doar.

Gordon Wood on what the Declaration meant for America.

Here at Cafe Hayek, I featured many passages from Gordon Wood’s books as “Quotations of the Day.”

GMU Econ alum David Hebert is correct:

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and others argue that tariffs and industrial policy can restore America’s strength. In reality, diversified supply chains and open markets provide greater resilience than economic nationalism.

Here’s Ilya Somin – a colleague over in GMU’s Scalia School of Law – writing about the court ruling against the Trump administration’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee. A slice:

Earlier today, in the case of California v. Mullin, the US District Court for the District of Massachusetts issued a decision striking down the Trump Administration’s $100,000 fee on applications for H-1B visas (which are used by tech firms, research institutions, and other organizations to hire immigrant workers and researchers with a variety of specialized skills). Judge  Leo Sorokin ruled that the plan is illegal because it usurps Congress’s power to tax.

Inspired by new research conducted by Richard Burkhauser and Kevin Corinth, the Washington Post‘s Editorial Board explains that poverty in America fell dramatically not because of government’s “war on poverty,” but because of market-driven economic growth. A slice:

Eighty-four years is a good, healthy life in America. How much progress has been made in reducing poverty over one person’s lifespan?

A lot, according to new research from Richard Burkhauser of the Civitas Institute and Kevin Corinth of the American Enterprise Institute. They have assembled the longest poverty data series that accounts for taxes, transfer payments and health insurance, stretching 84 years from 1939 to 2023.

It provides some astonishing good news. Over that entire time span, no matter what baseline they chose, the absolute poverty rate fell by at least three-quarters. When including the value of health insurance, poverty fell by up to 97 percent.

The transformation was especially massive for African Americans. In 1939, 93.3 percent of Black children were in poverty. By 2023, it was 5.7 percent.

The story most Americans are familiar with would credit the reduction to the modern welfare state after President Lyndon B. Johnson announced the War on Poverty in his 1964 State of the Union address.

Burkhauser and Corinth’s research allows this claim to be tested. They find that poverty was already in rapid decline from 1939 to 1963, before the federal government’s war against it began. That decline was almost entirely due to rapid economic growth causing incomes to rise.

Writing in the New York Times, Stephen Rose and Scott Winship reveal what progressives get wrong about America’s middle class. A slice:

It’s a common refrain: The middle class is hollowing out; Americans overall are increasingly falling short financially while a few are getting exceedingly rich. There’s even a scoreboard of inequality. We’ve persuaded ourselves that many families can no longer achieve the American middle-class dream the way their parents once did. It’s a political hot button, too — both parties claim to be fighting to preserve Middle America.

But there’s another, much better way the middle class can shrink — when everyone moves up and gets richer. A nation can become so much richer that the ranks of the poor, the working class and the middle class all thin out. The “hollowing out” message requires a curious definition of progress: By its logic, if everyone’s income doubles, the same number of families fail to reach the middle class as in the past.

Thinking about the middle class in this way obscures progress because it mixes inequality with people’s living standards, and those are two different things. In a recent report, we measured class using constant, inflation-adjusted thresholds. The “core” middle class shrank, but so did the classes below the middle — the poor, the near poor and the lower middle class.

In 1979, 36 percent of families were in the middle class. At first, it looks ominous that by 2024, a smaller number — 31 percent — could claim that status. But it’s worrisome only if you overlook that over the same period, the upper middle class grew to 31 percent of families from 10 percent. Meanwhile, the number of Americans falling short of the middle class — once more than half — dropped to 35 percent of all families.

The traditional middle class shrank because so many families became better off over time, not because more people fell short. At the same time, inequality rose, too. The higher up the income ladder a family reached, the more disproportionate the improvement. Rather than the rich getting richer and the poor getting poorer, rich and poor alike grew richer — albeit at much different rates.

One objection we received to these analyses is that they would have looked very different if we had considered wealth rather than income. That’s because income reflects the remuneration people receive in a year while wealth — assets owned less debts owed — reflects resources accumulated over time. But our forthcoming research finds that the share of families whose wealth earned them upper-middle-class status increased, just as the income numbers indicate, while the proportion of families whose wealth fell short of the middle declined.

My intrepid Mercatus Center colleague, Veronique de Rugy, is understandably troubled by “a growing popular instinct that treats the accumulated wealth of others as a kind of commons, a shared resource somehow misallocated to private parties who did nothing to earn it, resulting in a faulty income distribution that needs to be corrected.” A slice:

What is being abandoned is the principle that legitimate production creates legitimate ownership. Jeff Bezos did not find his wealth lying in a field. Musk did not inherit a pile of cash. Nor did these men steal their fortunes from others. Their fortunes were built through sustained judgment, risk, and entrepreneurial effort in markets where consumers voluntarily chose to spend (or not to spend) their money. (Or at least mainly so; see below.) The causal chain from effort to wealth is visible and traceable. Yet the popular conclusion is that the endpoint of that chain is somehow provisional, held subject to democratic revision whenever a current majority finds the accumulation distasteful.

A free society cannot function on such logic. Once you establish that democratic majorities may vote to claw back wealth they find excessive, you have crossed a line we had refused to cross before. The same moral grammar that justifies a wealth tax on ten-figure fortunes also justifies, with equal coherence, a wealth tax on seven-figure ones. The argument rooted in “too much” has no natural stopping point, because “too much” is always defined by whoever is doing the taking.

This discomfort is not eased by acknowledging that some large fortunes benefited from government-granted privileges and cronyism.

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Quotation of the Day…

is from page 244 of Deirdre McCloskey’s superb forthcoming book, Equality of Permission [original emphasis]:

I have called primary liberalism “adultism.” Primary liberalism alone among political philosophies does not treat citizens as children. The conservative wants to police and dominate the bad children called citizens. The left progressive wants to subsidize and dominate the sad children called citizens. Bad or sad, all citizens are made into figurative children, and then serfs.

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Some Links

Phil Magness exposes yet another of Quinn Slobodian’s misleading uses of out-of-context or truncated quotations. (HT Scott Lincicome)

Megan McArdle wisely warns of the ill-consequences of the U.S. government’s massive indebtedness. A slice:

The outsize debt was barely sustainable even with the abnormally low interest rates between the 2008 financial crisis and the pandemic. But with 30-year Treasury yields at their highest level in almost two decades, it is not. Interest costs alone exceeded 3 percent of GDP in 2025, more than the government spent on Medicaid or defense. That has helped push the annual budget deficit to almost $2 trillion, or 5.8 percent of GDP. Unless something is done, those numbers will get even worse as the boomers finish retiring and entitlements eat more and more revenue.

There is only one way this kind of profligacy can end: in a fiscal crisis that forces Congress and the president to hike taxes and cut spending, very probably at the worst possible time, when the economy is already nose-diving for some other reason. And here’s the thing: Everyone knows this. There’s a reason you yawn when you’re asked to think about the national debt — it’s because you’ve heard this all a zillion times before. This slow-moving disaster has been on the horizon for decades. We’ve all decided not to think about it until we make landfall on whatever hellscape we’re approaching.

Clark Packard and Alfredo Carrillo Obregon explain that “the Trump administration’s WTO filing exposes the bad faith behind its Section 122 tariffs.” A slice:

On June 2, the Trump administration submitted a document to the World Trade Organization’s (WTO) Balance-of-Payments Committee supposedly justifying its Section 122 tariffs. The filing is revealing—not for what it gets right but for what it exposes about the administration’s bad faith legal theory. To establish that the United States is experiencing a “large and serious” balance-of-payments (BoP) deficit—as Section 122 requires and Article XII of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) permits—the administration points to the current account deficit, driven by the trade deficit, as the “most appropriate measure” of a BoP deficit. The argument does not just strain the domestic statute, but it also flatly contradicts how a BoP deficit has been defined in international trade law for decades. By openly and deliberately flouting the GATT, the administration is also exposing its use of Section 122 in a way that undermines the congressional intent when the provision passed—and the larger statute it is a part of.

L.A. retreats on the minimum wage.” A slice:

In related news, a Carl’s Jr. franchisee that operates 59 restaurants in California in April filed for bankruptcy, blaming the state’s $20 an hour minimum wage for fast-food workers. California Gov. Gavin Newsom cries misinformation whenever we report on the damage caused by the state law, but attacking the messenger won’t help his citizens.

A recent study by the University of California at Santa Cruz also found the $20 minimum had resulted in “higher menu prices for consumers, reductions in employee working hours, widespread elimination of overtime, and loss of benefits for employees,” and more losses “being driven by automation and the adoption of labor replacement technologies.”

Maybe if workers donated as much to Democratic campaigns as unions do, Mr. Newsom would care more about them.

Here’s Jack Nicastro on Samuel Adams (the man, not the beer).

Art Carden ponders “commerce and warehouse clubs.” A slice:

[Sol] Price is an overlooked innovator who deserves a prominent place, alongside Sam Walton, J.C. Penney, the Kresge family, and Charles Walgreen, among the people who changed how Americans shop and who developed a whole sector based on creating value by getting Price’s “six rights” right. The right combination of “rights,” of course, does not exist independently of the process used to find it. It must be discovered, and for that, Price needed liberty—and the much broader space over which people can search for the best they can offer.

How did Price do it? He imagined a future no one else did, and he risked resources to make it a reality. It was a risky proposition. Pretty frequently, people imagine a future and discover that it doesn’t comport with reality.

Price and his people were in a position to make discoveries. Just like the inventor of Tabasco sauce was able to make major inroads using a bunch of surplus cologne bottles, one of Price’s buyers, who was working with a supplier to see what they could sell in large quantities in bulk, remembered that one of the vodka manufacturers they had worked with had used extremely large plastic bottles. It occurred to him that they could package mouthwash the same way.

Using public-choice insights, Ryan Yonk and Thomas Savidge make clear “why political conflict intensifies and rhetoric becomes more divisive as government power grows.”

Jason Willick ponders “what James Madison would say about Bill Pulte.” A slice:

There’s a basic constitutional lesson here: Be wary of giving the government powers you wouldn’t want your enemies to wield. Warrantless surveillance is one such power, and Pulte’s planned elevation illustrates the lesson perfectly.

Here’s the abstract of young Caroline Su’s new paper “How High-Skill Immigration Restrictions Eroded Regional Productivity: Evidence from the 2017 BAHA Executive Order”: (HT Tyler Cowen)

This paper estimates the regional economic impact of high-skill immigration restrictions by analyzing the 2017 “Buy American, Hire American” (BAHA) policy as a quasi-experimental policy shock. By significantly tightening H-1B visa adjudication, BAHA caused new employment petition denial rates to double from 7% to 17%, while STEM-specific rejections tripled to 31%. Using a difference-indifferences framework, this study finds that states highly dependent on H-1B talent experienced a statistically significant 2.8% relative decline in value-added output. This implied a productivity loss totaling roughly $218 billion across the most affected regions. While concurrent tax cuts and deregulation likely offset the impact on employment and wages, the loss of specialized STEM expertise adversely impacted total factor productivity. These findings suggest that policies based on conventional employment metrics may overlook the “hidden damage” to productivity and innovation that drives the broader economy, thereby underestimating the true economic cost of immigration restrictions.

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Quotation of the Day…

… is from Alexander Hamilton’s Report on Manufacturers, which was submitted to the U.S. House of Representatives on December 5th, 1791:

Neither will it follow that an accumulation of debt is desirable, because a certain degree of it operates as capital. There may be a plethora in the political as in the natural body; there may be a state of things in which any such artificial capital is unnecessary. The debt, too, may be swelled to such a size as that the greatest part of it may cease to be useful as capital, serving only to pamper the dissipation of idle and dissolute individuals; as that the sum required to pay the interest upon it may become oppressive and beyond the means which a government can employ consistently with its tranquility to raise them; as that the resources of taxation to face the debt may have been strained too far to admit of extensions adequate to exigencies which regard the public safety.

Where this critical point is cannot be pronounced, but it is impossible to believe that there is not such a point.

And as the vicissitudes of nations beget a perpetual tendency to the accumulation of debt, there ought to be in every government a perpetual, anxious, and unceasing effort to reduce that which at any time exists as fast as shall be practicable consistently with integrity and good faith.

DBx: Keep in mind that this warning of excessive government debt was issued by a man who was not as fearful of such debt as were many others of his generation.

…..

It’s too bad that in today’s U.S. government there is nothing remotely close to “a perpetual, anxious, and unceasing effort to reduce” government indebtedness “as fast as shall be practicable consistently with integrity and good faith.” Too many politicians and pundits treat government debt as, if not a freebie, an easy and always-acceptable means of funding today’s government expenditures with little or no risk to the public fisc or to the well-being of future citizens-taxpayers.

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Protectionism Is Puerile

Here’s a follow-up email to a new correspondent.

Mr. B__:

Responding to my point that keeping existing automobiles longer is as much a ‘threat’ as are automobile imports to the production of new cars, you write that “if we stretch the life of our cars, it is only a one time negative impact on the demand for new cars.” My point, therefore in your view, is “limp.”

You’re overthinking my point, which is simply that imports are only one among countless substitutes for goods and services produced domestically.

A fall in the demand for domestically produced new cars is caused no more by increased automobile imports than by increased used-car sales. A fall in the demand for home-kitchen ranges and ovens is caused no more by increased imports of home appliances than by increased demand for dining out. A fall in the demand for domestically produced lumber is caused no more by increased lumber imports than by increased use of flooring and decking made of composite materials. A fall in the demand for domestically produced aluminum is caused no more by increased aluminum imports than by technological advances at recycling aluminum. A fall in the demand for domestically produced tires is caused no more by increased tire imports than by improved road and highway surfacing. A fall in the demand for domestically produced diapers is caused no more by increased diaper imports than by falling birth rates.

This list can be much extended.

National-security considerations aside, imports’ only distinguishing feature is that they are easily demonized. We (rightly) simply don’t think of criticizing our fellow citizens for, say, buying used cars instead of new cars, or building their decks with composite materials instead of with wood. But let those same fellow citizens buy imported cars or build their decks with imported lumber, and protectionists scream holy hell about the damage done to the U.S. auto industry and about the loss of jobs for sawmill workers. And politicians – left, center, and right – storm in, vocal cords ablaze, promising to “solve” this mirage of a “problem” with tariffs that allegedly will “protect” us Americans from the wiles and ruses of scurrilous, conniving, “unfair” foreigners.

I’m disturbed by just how cavalier protectionists are about restricting their fellow citizens’ economic freedom. But I’m at least equally disturbed by just how stubbornly puerile and ignorant are the intellectual arguments typically presented for protectionism as if these prove beyond any shadow of a doubt that protective tariffs enrich a nation.

Sincerely,
Donald J. Boudreaux
Professor of Economics
and
Martha and Nelson Getchell Chair for the Study of Free Market Capitalism at the Mercatus Center
George Mason University
Fairfax, VA 22030

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