Arnold Kling reflects on his first five weeks of teaching at UATX.
David Bahnsen is understandably unimpressed with Oren Cass’s economically uninformed criticisms of the U.S. financial sector.
Also understandably unimpressed with Oren Cass’s naivete about finance is Judge Glock. A slice:
On Friday, the writer Oren Cass published an essay in the New York Times claiming that the “financialization” of the American economy has ruined lives and businesses. His use of the term is at times vague, but he argues that financialization is the process of “making financial markets ends unto themselves,” with no positive impact on the “real economy.”
These arguments parrot those of decades of Marxist theorists, which have gained surprising heft and breadth in recent years. They emerge from a basic confusion about what finance does and how money circulates in an economy. At root, theories about financialization are another way to attack investors and businesses earning money—in other words, capitalism.
Finance has been around since the dawn of history. It just means providing or lending money that one expects to be paid back later, with some extra income for the trouble. Starting in the 1990s, however, Marxists such as Giovanni Arrighi claimed that under modern capitalism, traditional finance had been replaced by more esoteric and less fruitful types of financial engineering. In recent years, writers including David Graeber and Matt Stoller have claimed that the financial industry focuses on practices such as debt refinancing and stock buybacks that create no real wealth.
The economist Thomas Sowell once said that the most important question an economist could ask is, “And then what?” After a debt refinancing, does the money disappear into the ether? No: it goes back into a business that can then reinvest the money into developing new products, typically at better terms and rates. When a company buys back its stock, what happens to the money? It gets deposited in someone’s brokerage account, where it can be invested in other stocks and bonds. And then what? The money gets put into businesses that use it to develop new products. There is no separate “financial” economy that does not ultimately connect back to the so-called real one.
Critics of financialization lament that financial firms like hedge funds lend money to one another instead of to the “real” economy. But again, a thoughtful observer must ask: And then what? Those firms then lend to businesses or to consumers who buy products, as they have done from time immemorial. Banks have always borrowed money to lend money. Since the earliest days of the United States’s economy, they have also borrowed money from other banks. Financial chains involving more than one transaction are not new, and they do not destroy wealth or make it disappear.
Alan Reynolds reports that “Trump’s first-term tariffs crushed US manufacturing.” A slice:
Trump’s first year, 2017, ended on a promising note with a bold reduction of the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21% and a minor trim of the top personal rate to 37%. The prospect of growth-friendly taxation was already anticipated in the last quarter of 2017, with a 4.6% rate of GDP growth. In 2018, unfortunately, Trump’s attention shifted to nasty, unpredictable tariffs, which had a paralyzing effect on business plans and world investors.
US GDP growth gradually slowed to 3.3% in the first quarter of 2018, 2.1% in the second, 2.5% in the third, and 0.6% in the fourth.
The S&P 500 stock index fell from 2789.8 in January 2018 to 2567.3 by December, with most of that loss in the last quarter.
Meanwhile, USTR Lighthizer’s relatively painless recommended tariffs on washing machines and solar panels in late January escalated to a serious trade war by August.
The Editorial Board of the Wall Street Journal calls out Trump for his “crony Canadian Bridgegate.” A slice:
With President Trump, anything that isn’t nailed down might be grabbed and used as potential leverage. Amazingly, that includes a badly needed international bridge financed by Canada and almost finished. Threats by Mr. Trump to block traffic are bad for business, shoddy treatment of an ally, and bad politics too.
The Gordie Howe bridge will soon connect Detroit, Mich., with Windsor, Ontario. It’s crucial for commerce and will alleviate congestion at the nearby Ambassador bridge and the Windsor tunnel. Another transit link is a clear improvement, since Detroit-Windsor is a major North American commercial ecosystem, including for auto makers. Canada and Michigan will jointly own the bridge. This was negotiated a decade ago, and everyone accepted it, including Mr. Trump in a 2017 joint statement with Canada.
Yet the President suddenly intervened on Monday in an internet post. Mr. Trump complained that the bridge didn’t use enough U.S. steel and that Ontario reacted to his trade wars by boycotting American alcohol. He suggested China is conspiring to “terminate” Canadian ice hockey and “permanently eliminate” the Stanley Cup. “I will not allow this bridge to open until the United States is fully compensated,” Mr. Trump said, demanding that Canada show “the Fairness and Respect that we deserve.”
Then came news that shortly before Mr. Trump’s social post, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick had met Matthew Moroun, whose billionaire family runs the privately owned Ambassador bridge. Will it shock readers to learn Mr. Moroun isn’t a fan of the competing Gordie Howe project? The Journal reports, citing an anonymous official, that Mr. Lutnick came away skeptical of the new bridge, and he “made that clear” to Mr. Trump.
The intervention is another illustration of the Administration’s governance by cronyism.
Jeff Jacoby is right that FDR was right about the hazards to the public posed by public-sector labor unions. A slice:
In negotiations with the unions that represent public school teachers or other government employees, who represents the interests of the people paying the bills? The taxpayers who are required to fund public education and municipal services through their dollars don’t get a seat at the bargaining table. Instead, government officials negotiate with powerful and organized unions over how to allocate public funds. That institutional arrangement — one that blurs the line between those claiming public resources and those who are supposed to be their custodian — deserves a lot more scrutiny than it gets.
In the private sector, collective bargaining brings together parties with genuinely opposing interests. Workers seek higher pay and better benefits; management seeks to control costs and keep the enterprise viable. Each side knows it has something to lose by overreaching. If labor demands too much, jobs can vanish. If management refuses to compromise, strikes disrupt operations, customers are lost, and profits suffer. The discipline of the market imposes limits on both sides — and harshly enforces them.
None of that discipline exists when government bargains with public employees. There are no profits to share, no competitors to steal market share, no risk of bankruptcy if costs spiral out of control. There are only taxpayers’ dollars — dollars provided by people who have no voice at the bargaining table and no direct say in how those dollars are allocated. When government managers negotiate wages, benefits, and work rules with unions representing government workers, the state is effectively negotiating with itself over how to spend other people’s money.
That imbalance is compounded by politics. Public-sector unions are not passive participants in the democratic process; they are among its most sophisticated and ruthless players. They mobilize votes, fund campaigns, and make clear which officeholders are friends and which are adversaries. Officials on the government side of the bargaining table know that generosity today can be rewarded at the next election — while resistance can carry steep political costs. The incentives all run in one direction.
GMU Econ alum Romina Boccia makes the case that “to save Social Security, stop subsidizing wealthy retirees.”
Bob Levy remembers the Cato Institute’s co-founder and long-time president, Ed Crane. A slice:
Ed’s stewardship of Cato—as co-founder, visionary, energizer, policy expert, and source of inspiration—was flavored and enriched by his droll wit. No one but Ed could advise our donors to visit the Cato website to “greatly enhance the enjoyment of your otherwise drab lives.” And only Ed could recommend our Twitter feeds for those of our donors who have attention deficit disorder; or describe Wolfgang, the Crane family dog, as “a philosophical anarchist who believes there is no role for government in our dog-eat-dog world.”
On the other hand, when Ed wanted to make a serious point, he wasted no words. I recall a galling article some years ago in the New York Times admonishing Steve Jobs for not giving more of his money to charity. Ed’s caustic response: “Good point, what has Jobs ever done for mankind?” It’s that kind of trenchant commentary—coming from a truly talented writer—that was an Ed Crane trademark.
And yet style and delivery were just lubricants. Ed’s true legacy is his advocacy for a free society—from his days as a Berkeley student to his work on the Goldwater campaign, his efforts to reform Social Security and establish term limits, his voluminous writings and speeches and media appearances, and his prodigious fundraising capabilities, without which the success of the Cato Institute would not have been possible.