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My intrepid Mercatus Center colleague, Veronique de Rugy, reminds us that wealth taxes are failures. A slice:

When government grows to dominate ever-larger shares of the economy, and when politicians refuse to be responsible about what they spend, there’s a predictable next move: Insist that the problem is “the rich” not paying enough. Never mind that high earners already shoulder a disproportionate share of the tax burden. Never mind that relying on a small and mobile group of people for the bulk of your revenue makes public finances more volatile, not more stable.

No, once spending is treated as untouchable and restraint as politically impossible, it’s only a matter of time before politics demands more, more, more. More taxes and more distortion. This helps explain why wild new forms of wealth taxes are popping up.

California voters are heading toward a November ballot fight over a so-called one-time 5 percent tax on billionaires’ net worth, tied to residency on a date that’s already passed. Illinois lawmakers recently flirted with a tax on unrealized gains—think of stocks yet to be sold at fluctuating prices that only exist on paper—before retreating. And New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani wants a wealth tax to help close the city’s roughly $12 billion budget gap. Prominent progressive Democrats have explicitly endorsed national wealth taxes (e.g., proposals from Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren).

Different places, same impulse: Avoid hard fiscal decisions by squeezing a narrow group harder.

A wealth tax is not like the income or consumption taxes we’re used to. In theory, it’s a cut of a person’s entire stock of assets (less their liabilities). In its classic form, a wealth tax is assessed annually. Newer examples in the U.S. appear as onetime levies or use a “mark-to-market” system to tax unrealized gains, treating appreciation as income. However it’s packaged, the economic logic is the same.

Wealth taxes are also a uniquely blunt and damaging instrument. Across advanced economies, they have repeatedly been narrowed or even repealed after delivering disappointing revenue, tax avoidance, capital flight, and costly administrative battles. The international record is decisively negative no matter what convoluted arguments their supporters want to use in America.

Phil Gramm and Mike Solon wisely counsel resistance to the use of government to ease AI-caused job transitions. A slice:

A consensus has formed that while artificial intelligence may create new and better jobs, its threat to current job holders requires massive new government training programs, unemployment assistance, income supplement programs and even a guaranteed minimum income. Missing from this rush to expand the government’s social safety net is any recognition that previous efforts to cushion the transition from jobs of the past to jobs of the future have done little to benefit those making the transition—and have raised the cost for society as a whole.

Societal gains from technological change come from what the economist Joseph Schumpeter called “the wave of creative destruction.” The lost jobs and investments rendered unprofitable by new technology free up labor and capital that can be redeployed to produce new and higher-valued goods and services. The more seamlessly the transition from the old to the new, the greater the gain from the new technology. “American exceptionalism,” our ability to generate and sustain higher living standards, has come in part from developing new technology and benefiting from being the first to implement it, and in part from our ability to move labor and capital dislocated by the wave of creative destruction efficiently into higher and better uses.

On average, every month since 2000 some 5.1 million American workers were separated from their jobs or were laid off and more than 5.2 million new jobs were created. In 2025, three times as many Americans changed jobs as did workers in the European Union. So inefficient is the Chinese economy in dealing with creative destruction that most industrial subsidies in China are used to sustain noncompetitive businesses. In short, the U.S. channels the wave of creative destruction through the economic system more efficiently than any other country in the world, and we are constantly enriched by it.

Government programs have provided a cushion to displaced workers, but they have also impeded the transitions. The 1962 Trade Adjustment Assistance program, which provided training, job-search and income support to workers harmed by foreign trade, has provided benefits to more than five million people. Numerous public and private studies have highlighted TAA’s failure by comparing the transition of TAA beneficiaries with workers who lost their jobs during the same period but didn’t receive TAA. Studies by the Government Accountability Office, the Labor Department and the U.S. International Trade Commission agree that TAA is insufficient in supporting dislocated workers to re-enter the labor market. It didn’t improve earnings. Benefits were used mostly as income support, and nonparticipants were re-employed faster than those who participated in TAA.

The Washington Post‘s Editorial Board reports on the much-anticipated release of the Cato Institute’s American Abundance Index. A slice:

The resilience of the American worker is one of the most underreported stories of the 2020s. From red tape to import taxes, successive governments have erected barriers to success. Yet America’s workers have persevered and figured out ways to prosper.

A new American Abundance Index illustrates this. The project from Human Progress, an arm of the Cato Institute, reveals the steady rise of the average worker’s purchasing power. The premise of the index is simple: how many hours do you need to work, compared to the month or year before, to be able to afford the “basket of goods,” which is a standard set of household items and services that comprise the Consumer Price Index used to calculate inflation.
The “time price” is how many hours of work it takes to purchase the basket of goods. The “abundance” is how much of the basket one hour of work can buy. The story told by the index is a very good one: since recordkeeping began, “abundance” for average private sector workers comes out to a net increase of 13.8 percent.

Scott Lincicome, Clark Packard, and Alfredo Carrillo Obregon report on a lawsuit that “exposes how opaque enforcement compounds the US tariff complexity problem.” A slice:

First, as complex as the US tariff system in 2026 may seem from a 30,000-foot view—Cato’s tariff complexity flowchart below should give you an idea—it’s even more impenetrable for the companies and, especially, the small businesses that must interpret or navigate the system daily. The ambiguity and obscurity of the system’s rules amplify these costs, especially when applied to complex imports or, as the Express Fasteners case shows, when interpreted in a surprisingly protectionist way by CBP. If a company’s interpretation of these rules doesn’t align with CBP’s version, that compnay can face unexpected—and inflated—tariff liabilities and maybe even penalties for noncompliance.

Trump’s call to nationalize elections has the Editorial Board of the Wall Street Journal understandably wonder if Democrats might now see the wisdom and prudence of federalism. Two slices:

Republicans spent four years under President Biden opposing a Democratic push to nationalize elections, so naturally President Trump is now calling on the GOP to nationalize elections. Thankfully, Senate Majority Leader John Thune has a memory that begins before 2025 and foresight that extends past 2028.

“The Republicans should say, we want to take over, we should take over the voting in at least—many, 15 places,” the President told a podcast on Monday. “The Republicans ought to nationalize the voting.” Mr. Trump claimed illegal aliens are casting ballots in vast numbers, and that not only was 2020 stolen, but he won Minnesota three times. Minnesota is a reliably blue state that not even Ronald Reagan carried in 1984.

Voter fraud happens, and the price of freedom is vigilance, but the idea that noncitizens are swaying national elections isn’t borne out by the evidence. Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger ran an audit in 2024 of the state’s 8.2 million registered voters. It found 20 noncitizens, 11 of whom never cast a ballot, plus another 156 people whose status was unclear and who were sent for investigation.

“This is the most comprehensive citizenship check ever conducted in the history of Georgia,” Mr. Raffensperger said. As a reminder, Mr. Biden won the state in 2020 by 11,779 votes, which is a big enough number that if it were phony Mr. Trump’s campaign ought to have been able to find real evidence.

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Mr. Trump’s call to nationalize elections is a mistake for the GOP, since Democrats will be only too eager to try again, on their terms, the nanosecond they regain power. Instead Democrats should thank their lucky stars for America’s decentralized system. They say Mr. Trump is a budding authoritarian, yet the Constitution gives him little power over the 2026 midterms that could be a Republican wipeout.

On this, the 115th anniversary of Ronald Reagan’s birth, Daniel Rothschild wonders if hope remains for Reagan’s call for “informed patriotism.” A slice:

The phrase “informed patriotism” was a considered one: President Reagan’s call was not for cheap jingoism but for love of country “grounded in thoughtfulness and knowledge” and informed by an “appreciation of its institutions.” This is consistent with his lifelong view of American exceptionalism as something materially different from American superiority; our exceptionalism stems from the righteousness of our cause and integrity of our institutions, not anything inherent in the American soil.

Regrettably, the national pride of Reagan’s era has dimmed considerably. In 2025, the percentage who said they were “extremely” or “very” proud to be Americans dipped to an all-time low in the 25 years that Gallup has been asking this question. A third of Americans told pollsters that seeing the American flag makes them feel bad. The patriotic recession is acute among the young: One in three of those under 35 report they are only a little or not at all proud of their country, and Millennials and Zoomers are far less likely than their elders to believe that America is exceptional among nations.

Nor are Americans particularly well informed. A 2024 survey by the American Council of Trustees and Alumni found majorities of undergraduates ignorant of such basic questions as when the Constitution was written, the substance of the First Amendment, and what’s included in the Gettysburg Address. Last year, a U.S. Chamber of Commerce study found that Americans could only answer about half of a battery of basic civics questions. A 2018 report found that most American adults lacked basic knowledge of American history from the Revolution through World War II.

How did we get here? Much of the fault for today’s waning patriotism can be placed at the feet of the American left. A generation ago, the left generally advocated a “warts and all” approach to teaching American history and inculcating informed patriotism; teaching the treatment of Native Americans, slavery, Jim Crow, nativism, and empire was inherent to teaching the story of America. This narrative spent more time dwelling on America’s blemishes than conservatives would prefer, but it placed those deficiencies in the context of a creedal (though few on the left would say covenantal) nation with great aspirations.

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Quotation of the Day…

is from pages 150-151 of the 2005 Liberty Fund edition, edited by Bettina Bien Greaves and translated from the original German by Ralph Raico, of Ludwig von Mises’s 1927 book, Liberalism:

Liberalism is no religion, no world view, no party of special interests. It is no religion because id demands neither faith nor devotion, because there is nothing mystical about it, and because it has no dogmas. It is no worldview because it does not try to explain the cosmos and because it says nothing and does not seek to say anything about the meaning and purpose of human existence. It is no party of special interests because it does not provide or seek to provide any special advantage whatsoever to any individual or any group.

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Some Links

The Editorial Board of the Wall Street Journal pushes back on Trump’s baseless claims that his tariffs are an economic boon to Americans. Two slices:

Mr. Trump starts by torching a straw man—to wit, that critics were wrong to say tariffs would produce a recession. We can only speak for ourselves, but we never predicted that. We said tariffs are a tax that would hurt growth, but their overall impact would depend on whether tax reform and deregulation outweighed the tariff harm.

So far they have. Congressional Republicans last year spared the economy an enormous tax increase, and the Administration is taking aim at burdensome regulations. The artificial intelligence boom is boosting investment.

The question is: How much better would the economy be now without the tariffs and their on-again, off-again imposition? Prices on many goods would be lower, for one thing. Tariffs don’t cause general inflation, but they do raise relative prices. Mr. Trump says foreigners bear the costs of the import taxes. He claimed in his essay for us that researchers at Harvard had found that “foreign producers and middlemen, including large corporations that are not from the U.S.” pay “at least 80% of tariff costs.”

We published that claim because readers should know that’s what the President believes, but the paper he cites says something different. In an updated version released after Mr. Trump wrote, the authors note that the “retail pass-through” of the tariffs has been 24%—a measure of the extent to which a given tariff rate feeds through to consumer prices, given that the cost of the good at the border is only one part of the final price. This pass-through rate is higher than under Mr. Trump’s 2018-19 China tariffs.

But that doesn’t tell the full picture of how the tariff cost is distributed. The Harvard economists note in the same paragraph that U.S. consumers are bearing up to 43% of the tariff burden, with U.S. companies absorbing most of the rest. That aligns with other research, such as a recent paper from Germany’s Kiel Institute that found Americans pay 96% of the cost of tariffs. Foreign exporters either pass on the full cost of the tariffs to their U.S. customers, or they ship smaller quantities of goods.

Americans pay one way or the other—via higher prices or less choice. Mr. Trump admitted as much when he said last year that tariffs mean Americans might have to buy fewer dolls for their children at Christmas.

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Higher tariff costs imperil the investments of which Mr. Trump is so proud. Volkswagen’s chief executive recently warned that his company may ditch plans for a new Audi plant in the U.S. You can’t blame him, when his supply chain would be vulnerable to willy-nilly tariffs.

Voters elected Mr. Trump to revive economic growth and tame inflation. His biggest successes have come despite his tariffs, not because of them. He isn’t going to repeal them. But if he froze them in place now and declared victory, he’d have a better chance of persuading Americans that he’s fulfilling his promise.

The Washington Post‘s Editorial Board reports on some collateral damage inflicted on Americans by Trump’s tariffs punitive taxes on Americans’ purchases of imports. Two slices:

Trump’s tariffs are rupturing what has been one of the most efficient cross-border trade relationships in human history. He claims his tariffs have “created an American economic miracle” with low inflation and high economic growth. But Michigan, which the president carried in 2016 and 2024, is experiencing high unemployment, layoffs, inflation and deepening anxiety.

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Canada’s retaliatory tariffs have badly damaged the farming sector, a key element of Trump’s coalition. Canada was Michigan’s primary export market. Now its wheat exports are down 89 percent since 2024. Cherry exports are down 62 percent. Soybeans, mostly destined for China, are down 46 percent.

All this could hurt Republicans in November’s midterms. Michigan has open races for governor and Senate. The major GOP candidates have largely backed Trump’s “America First” trade policy as necessary for revitalizing the economy, despite intense short-term pain. Democrats have hammered Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers, a former congressman, for seeming to dismiss the economic anxiety by saying, “The shoe is going to pinch every once in a while.”

Among Michigan voters surveyed, tariffs are about as popular as an Ohio State bumper sticker at an Ann Arbor tailgate. “Made in America” increasingly feels like “Taxed in Michigan.”

Sanjai Bhagat makes the case for capitalism over socialism. A slice:

The capitalist system provides individuals with powerful economic incentives to work and innovate; this contributes to and stimulates their economy. One of the major flaws of the socialist system is its complete disregard for human incentives — resulting in an ongoing and significant negative impact on their economy, and more importantly, on the lives of their citizens.

George Will wisely warns: “The national debt is nearing $39 trillion. Dire consequences are coming.” Two slices:

In 2016, a budget expert was allotted 20 minutes to brief Donald Trump on those possible consequences. After five minutes, Trump said, “Yeah, but I’ll be gone.” He was perfectly in sync with the political mainstream he professes to supplant.

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The most probable, and most ominous, outcome would be a gradual crisis. In 2021, debt service consumed less than 10 percent of federal revenue. In 2025: 18 percent. By being gradual, a protracted crisis would mean a demoralized nation slowly accommodating perpetual economic sluggishness, waning investments in research and development, social stagnation, diminished contribution from the entrepreneurial energies of talented immigrants, and waning U.S. geopolitical influence.

A gradual crisis would be anesthetizing, rather than an action-forcing, cymbal-crash event that could stimulate recuperative reforms of U.S. political culture. Instead, this culture would become more toxic. Political power would be fought for, and wielded, with the desperate ruthlessness of a zero-sum competition in which one faction’s gains must equal other factions’ losses.

So, government would simultaneously become more powerful, more divisive and less legitimate. The currency is how everyone meets the government every day through the unstated — because presumably obvious — government promise that the currency it issues is trustworthy.

Nothing unsettles a middle-class nation more rapidly than inflation, a component of all of these crises. By it, people are reminded daily that the currency is failing as a store of value. This unnerves the public as much as crime, today’s deportation mayhem and other disorders. Inflation is disorder. Its quiet ubiquity is especially sinister, making everyone feel powerless.

“Dystopian” is the antonym of “utopian.” “Utopia” was derived from Greek roots to denote something imaginary — “nowhere.” The dystopian consequences of U.S. debt could someday be everywhere.

The great Bruce Yandle asks: “Will Adam Smith’s ‘Impartial Spectator’ soften Trump’s hardest foreign-policy edges?”

National Review‘s Dan McLaughlin rightly criticizes R.R. Reno for lionizing Woodrow Wilson and the exercise of unconstitutional executive powers. Two slices:

Reno is vague and euphemistic in exactly how he wishes to present Wilson as a role model other than to promote a general sentiment in favor of strongman government. We need “solidarity,” he writes, and “our history has . . . been marked by periods during which illiberal methods were employed to renew and buttress solidarity,” a process in which “Woodrow Wilson played a central role.” Wilson and FDR “sought to renew American solidarity, which required taming and restraining certain kinds of freedom, especially freedom of contract. (Roosevelt intimidated the Supreme Court to secure the overturning of Lochner.) In a word, Wilson and FDR administered strong doses of illiberalism.” This is, in unspecified ways, a good thing because the past gave us the present, and this makes it good.

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More to the point, Wilson and FDR changed the American constitutional system less by formal amendment than by usurpations that the judiciary and Congress either connived in or were cowed into accepting. The vast administrative state, the great expansion of federal power, and the shriveling of basic economic liberties against the federal leviathan resulted in a government that would have been shocking to the people who wrote and ratified the Constitution. By the end of the era of Wilson and FDR, the country was unrecognizable in many ways, and many American traditions were put to rout. To imitate this is a species of envy utterly unmoored from the sense of responsibility that we ought to feel toward what we leave to our posterity.

Barry Brownstein decries “theocrats, socialists, and the totalitarian impulse to plan.”

Jack Nicastro is correct: “The private sector handles hunger better than Mamdani could.”

Politicians routinely insult their fellow citizens’ intelligence. Here’s a recent example tweeted by Jonah Goldberg: (HT Scott Lincicome)

Trump in NBC News interview: “we have record low crime in the United States. Nobody has been able to say that for 125 years.” I ask everybody: What does that mean?

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Quotation of the Day…

is from page 3 of my GMU Econ colleague Bryan Caplan’s new book, You Have No Right to Your Culture [original emphasis; footnote deleted; link added]:

Most complaints about immigration are declarative: “Immigrants take our jobs.”  “Immigrants abuse the welfare state.”  “Immigrants won’t learn English.’  “Immigrants will vote for Sharia.”  One complaint, however, is usually phrased as a question: “But don’t people have a right to their culture?”  When people so inquire, their tone is usually conciliatory, as if to say, “Surely, even you will accept this.”  My considered judgment, however, is that this challenge is a true Trojan Horse.  No one, no one, has “a right to their culture.”

Why not?  Because culture is… other people!  Culture is who other people want to date and marry.  Culture is how other people raise their kids.  Culture is the movies other people want to see.  Culture is the hobbies other people value.  Culture is the sports other people play.  Culture is the food other people cook and eat.  Culture is the religion other people choose to practice.  To have a “right to your culture” is to have a right to rule all of these choices – and more. Though I dread hyperbole, the “right to your culture” is literally totalitarian, because you can’t ensure the preservation of your culture without totalitarian rule over the very fabric of life in your society.

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Some Links

GMU Econ alum Dan Mitchell adds his voice to those who rightly criticize Donald Trump’s recent attempt, in the Wall Street Journal, to justify his punitive taxes – a.k.a. tariffs – on Americans’ purchases of imports. A slice:

By the way, protectionist policies are not inflationary. They distort relative prices, but don’t cause overall increases. If you want to know who to blame for rising prices, look at the Federal Reserve.

Next, we have Trump claiming that he’s reduced red ink.

Joe Biden handed me a catastrophically high budget deficit… But with the help of tariffs, we have cut that federal budget deficit by a staggering 27% in a single year

This is another easily debunked assertion.

The budget deficit was just as high in 2025 as it was in 2024, as shown by this data from the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.

“On fuel costs, Californians in particular are getting hosed” – so reports the Washington Post‘s Dominic Pino. Three slices:

The most obvious place to start in explaining California’s problem is its gas tax. At 70.92 cents per gallon, it was the highest of any state in 2025, and more than double the median state. But Illinois was only 4.5 cents behind, and its prices were nowhere near California’s.

California and Washington are the only two states with economy-wide cap-and-trade programs. California’s program raises the price of gasoline by forcing gasoline suppliers to buy allowances. Those higher costs are eventually passed on to drivers. The California Legislative Analyst’s Office estimates that cap-and-trade raises the retail price of gasoline by 23 cents per gallon.

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California also does not have any inbound pipelines for crude oil or gasoline that connect to the rest of the country. Its imports primarily arrive by ship. The Jones Act, a protectionist federal law that covers shipping within the United States, makes it uneconomic to transport oil or gasoline from the Gulf Coast region to California.

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In the meantime, Californians will continue to pay far more for gasoline than just about anyone else in America. And for what? The state’s share of commuters who use public transportation is slightly below the national average. As wealthier Californians switch to electric vehicles and pay nothing for gas, poorer people who can’t afford a new car are shouldering a growing burden. And even if California eliminated all of its greenhouse-gas emissions from passenger vehicles, it would account for only 0.2 percent of the world’s total GHG emissions.

Next time Sacramento politicians want to complain about price-gouging at the pump, they need to look in the mirror. Other states aren’t having this problem.

Bjorn Lomborg urges the Trump administration not to withdraw the United States from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. A slice:

The United States faces a choice at this pivotal moment. Withdrawing completely, as the Trump administration has said it will do, means surrendering influence over the IPCC’s direction — ceding control to alarmists, adversaries and less rigorous voices. The result will be more politicized exaggeration, more scare stories and more global alarmism.

Instead, the U.S. should remain, engage and wield outsize leverage as the IPCC’s largest funder. This would be remarkably cheap. In 2024, the U.S. paid around $1.9 million to cover more than a quarter of the IPCC budget, dwarfing China’s paltry $23,000 contribution the same year.

Writing at National Review, John Puri asks: “What was Customs and Border Protection (CBP) doing in Minneapolis in the first place? Isn’t this agency supposed to be, you know, patrolling the border?” A slice:

The problem, as we have learned, is that Border Patrol is a very different job from urban policing. There are no crowds of protesters getting in your way on the southern border. Nor are there many private residences that you need to enter when pursuing suspects, or a lot of U.S. citizens going about their day who could be confused for illegal immigrants.

By the nature of their day job, CBP agents are simply not trained to operate in dense urban areas as ICE traditionally is. If the administration keeps sending them into U.S. cities anyway, we shouldn’t be surprised if complications keep arising.

Walter Olson is no fan of the proposal from a Trump administration official to “nationalize the voting.” A slice:

Even coming from an ordinary politician, this federal takeover would be a terrible idea. The Constitution entrusts the administration of federal elections to the states and localities, subject to Congress’s passage of laws regulating the manner of election. Congress has rightly respected the states’ and localities’ lead role, and it should go on doing so.

Jacob Sullum ponders the Trump administration’s disrespect for Americans’ Second Amendment rights. A slice:

“I don’t care if you have a license in another district, and I don’t care if you’re a law-abiding gun owner somewhere else,” [Jeanine] Pirro said on Fox News. “You bring a gun into this district, count on going to jail, and hope you get the gun back.”

That broad threat is hard to reconcile with the right to bear arms recognized by the Supreme Court’s 2022 decision in New York State Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen which said states may not require that people demonstrate a “special need” to carry guns in public for self-defense.

Jim Dorn is unfavorably impressed with Andrew Ross Sorkin’s 1929: Inside the Greatest Crash in Wall Street History—and How It Shattered a Nation. A slice:

Although Sorkin does an excellent job of describing the main characters in the narrative, he fails to fully understand and convey the fundamental causes of the crash and depression. He overplays the role of speculation leading up to the market crash in October 1929; largely ignores the monetary causes of the deep depression, in which the stock of money fell by one-third between 1929 and 1933; and never addresses the flaws in the “Real Bills Doctrine” that misguided monetary policy. There is no mention in the book of: (1) the path-breaking work of Clark Warburton, who, in the mid-1940s and early 1950s, provided a detailed analysis of the monetary causes of business fluctuations [see Warburton 1966: Depression, Inflation, and Monetary Policy: Selected Papers, 1945–1953]; (2) Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz’s monumental Monetary History of the United States [1963]; or (3) Thomas Humphrey and Richard Timberlake’s Gold, The Real Bills Doctrine, and the Fed: Sources of Monetary Disorder, 1922–1938, which appeared in 2019.

Phil Gramm, former chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, calls the Humphrey-Timberlake (H‑T) book “the most important book written on the Great Depression” since Friedman and Schwartz’s Monetary History. According to Gramm, “The book points to an obscure and largely forgotten theory, the Real Bills Doctrine, as the culprit for the failure of the Federal Reserve … to respond to the collapse of the money supply, which turned a financial panic into a Great depression” (from the front matter in H‑T). It is a shame that Sorkin was unaware of this 201-page book.

Jay Parsons tweets: (HT Scott Lincicome)

Narrative buster: The share of U.S. single-family homes occupied by renters is at 15+ year LOWS, according to Redfin.

And yet both sides of the aisle want you to believe institutional investors are the boogeyman turning America into a renter nation… 🙄

David Lay Williams responds to my criticism of his interpretation of the writings of those of us who don’t obsess over differences in monetary incomes or wealth.

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Quotation of the Day…

… is from page 276 of the 1992 collection of some of William Graham Sumner’s best essays, On Liberty, Society, and Politics (Roger C. Bannister, ed.); specifically, this quotation is from Sumner’s famous 1898 essay “The Conquest of the United States by Spain“:

The perpetuity of self-government depends on the sound political sense of the people, and sound political sense is a matter of habit and practice. We can give it up and we can take instead pomp and glory.

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Let’s Tax Economic Ignorance

Here’s a letter to the Wall Street Journal.

Editor:

At least two confusions discredit Mayra Castañeda’s attempted defense of California’s proposed wealth tax (Letters, February 3). First, she claims that “billionaires pay less in taxes on their overall wealth than working families do.” She gets away with this claim because the research that she cites in support, although it postures as measuring the taxation of incomes, in fact measures the taxation of wealth by classifying unrealized capital gains as taxable income.

But unrealized capital gains are not classified as taxable income by any government in the U.S. And for good reason: Were these gains classified as taxable income, many taxpayers – including some middle-class families – would have to liquidate a portion of their assets in order to get the cash needed to pay their tax bills. One result, in addition to this annual hardship, would be a shrinkage of America’s capital stock which, in turn, would slow wage growth as workers, having less capital to work with, would be less productive than otherwise.

Second, Ms. Castañeda ignores the most prominent argument against the proposed tax – namely, that it will drive billionaires, along with their taxable incomes and wealth, to states that are less greedy to seize the fruits of high-earners’ efforts. This exodus of billionaires would occur even if, contrary to fact, classifying unrealized capital gains as taxable income were a sound idea.

Sincerely,
Donald J. Boudreaux
Professor of Economics
and
Martha and Nelson Getchell Chair for the Study of Free Market Capitalism at the Mercatus Center
George Mason University
Fairfax, VA 22030

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Some Links

The Editorial Board of the Wall Street Journal decries the Trump administration’s “crony socialism” regarding American ‘rare earths’ producers. Two slices:

What would Republicans have said if the Biden crowd acquired government stakes in companies with ties to its friends and family? Well, that’s more or less what the Trump team is doing to little political objection. State capitalism and political cronyism are in fashion these days, despite a history of failure.

The Commerce Department recently announced a $1.3 billion loan and $277 million in direct funding for USA Rare Earth, in return for an equity stake and warrants that are worth about 10% of the company. USA Rare Earth is developing a Texas mine that contains 15 of the 17 rare-earth elements and a magnet manufacturing plant in Oklahoma.

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The Administration has also taken stakes in other mineral companies, including MP Materials, Lithium Americas, Trilogy Metals and Vulcan Elements. Donald Trump Jr.’s 1789 Capital venture fund invested in Vulcan months before the Administration announced its funding and equity stake. Sus, as the young people say.

Trump officials don’t care about such apparent conflicts. But Republicans in Congress could put limits on state socialism in appropriations bills. Think of how a future Democratic President would imitate the Trump investment model—how about the government buying shares in electric-vehicle startups?

A better idea to counter China’s rare-earth dominance is to coordinate development of mines and processing facilities with allies, as the White House has sought to do with Australia. The Administration could also guarantee government purchases of rare earths and fast-track permitting, as Mr. Trump’s Operation Warp Speed did for Covid vaccines.

It’s a mistake to think that the only way to beat China is to emulate its statist model.

Eric Boehm exposes some of the many flaws in Trump’s recent attempt in the Wall Street Journal to justify the administration’s punitive taxes – a.k.a. tariffs – on Americans’ purchases of imports. Three slices:

President Donald Trump argued in a Saturday Wall Street Journal op-ed that his myriad tariffs have boosted America’s economy without causing the harms that many economists predicted. “We have proven, decisively, that, properly applied, tariffs do not hurt growth—they promote growth and greatness, just as I said all along,” Trump claimed.

That conclusion rests on misleading claims, inaccurate data, and logical fallacies.

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“According to a recent study by the Harvard Business School,” Trump wrote, foreign producers and middlemen “are paying at least 80% of tariff costs.”

In fact, the paper he cited concludes that “tariffs led to both rapid and gradual retail price increases.” The study found that “prices began rising within days of the March announcements and continued to increase steadily over subsequent months,” and also that “imported goods rose roughly twice as much as domestic goods relative to pre-tariff trends.”

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In this case, the sectors of the economy that are supposed to be benefiting from Trump’s tariffs—manufacturing and other forms of industrial production—aren’t even realizing those benefits, because higher prices on raw materials make it more difficult to manufacture things. For example: American businesses are now paying much higher prices for aluminum than manufacturers elsewhere in the world. That’s a good way to discourage manufacturing, not to promote it.

In response to the headline “Steel Tariffs Not Hurting U.S. Manufacturing, Nucor Chief Says,” Alexandra F. Baldwin tweets: (HT Scott Lincicome)

“Removal of electric electric fencing has been great for sheep” – Wolf

Securities and Exchange Commission chairman Paul Atkins explains “the historic tax relief for American investors you haven’t heard about.” A slice:

In late September, as a government shutdown loomed, the SEC initiated a watershed change to allow what are known as “exchange-traded fund share classes” to be grafted onto traditional mutual fund structures. That story was overshadowed by government gridlock, but as the SEC grants the largest wave yet of ETF-share-class relief, the benefits of this change merit fresh attention.

Mutual funds and ETFs, which offer similar value propositions, will be familiar to many savers and investors. Both are efficient vehicles that allow everyday investors to build wealth through investing in public company equities, bonds and, more recently, digital assets. The primary difference is that ETF shares trade on stock exchanges throughout the day, while mutual fund transactions happen once a day, at market close.

ETFs and mutual funds also differ significantly in their structure, especially when it comes to tax liability. Many mutual fund investors are all too familiar with the unpleasant year-end tax surprise that can result from a fund selling securities to meet redemptions from some exiting investors and passing on the resulting capital gains — and the associated tax liability — to the fund, and thus to all shareholders, even those who did not redeem their shares.

Unlike mutual fund shareholders, ETF investors do not usually bear the tax burden of other investors’ redemptions. When ETF investors exit their positions, they sell to others in the general stock market, which generally does not trigger a tax bill for other investors.

Now, by allowing fund sponsors to offer these products, the SEC is enabling more sponsors to combine these two approaches with appropriate protections. That will allow more mutual fund investors to access the favorable tax efficiency of ETFs.

While it’s too early to say with certainty how this will unfold, it is not unreasonable to anticipate a decidedly significant capital gains tax reduction. The Investment Company Institute (ICI) has estimated that nearly $175 billion of capital gains distributions were allocated from mutual funds held in taxable accounts in 2024, so it’s clear that this change has the potential to deliver tremendous tax savings to investors.

Neal McCluskey makes a strong case for this: “Basically, federal student aid fuels tuition inflation, credential inflation, and fraud. It is also unconstitutional … and time for it to end.”

Jared Dillian ponders Trump’s recent express wish to “drive housing prices up.” Here’s his conclusion:

In the U.S., we build about 1.4 million new homes a year—not enough to keep up with population growth, and this is after a decade of underbuilding in the wake of the financial crisis. The solution to the housing crisis is more supply, not less. Trump’s views on the housing market are, for lack of a better word, insane.

This letter in today’s Wall Street Journal by GMU Econ alum Dave Hebert is great:

In his Jan. 30 op-ed “The World’s Worst Budget Process,” former Rep. Van Taylorcorrectly identifies the Congressional Budget and Impoundment Control Act of 1974 as a problem in the federal budget process. But that was a Band-Aid solution to the real problem: the Second Liberty Bond Act of 1917, which created the first debt ceiling of $15 billion. The Big Beautiful Bill Act raised this to $41 trillion, over 2,700 times higher than it was in 1917.

Prior to the 1917 law, Congress could still incur debts but it had to do so with project-specific authorization. Major purchases, like the Panama Canal and the Louisiana Purchase, were financed this way, with Congress defending the decision to incur debt and demonstrating a plan to repay it. This resembled a loan application, while today’s deficit spending evokes credit card bills. Importantly, because debts were tied to specific projects, voters could hold elected officials accountable for their fiscal decisions.

President Trump (and Nancy Pelosi) are right that we need to end the debt ceiling once and for all. But we should return to our pre-1917 roots and require Congress to apply for project-specific loans instead of giving themselves a credit card.

Richard Burkhauser and Kevin Cornith look at poverty in the U.S. from 1939 through 2023. Here’s the abstract of their new paper:

We compare trends in absolute poverty before (1939–1963) and after (1963–2023) the War on Poverty was declared. Our primary methodological contribution is to create a post-tax post-transfer income measure using the 1940, 1950 and 1960 Decennial Censuses through imputations of taxes and transfers as well as certain forms of market income including perquisites (Collins and Wanamaker 2022), consistent with the full income measures developed by Burkhauser et al. (2024) for subsequent years. From 1939–1963, poverty fell by 29 percentage points, with even larger declines for Black people and all children. While absolute poverty continued to fall following the War on Poverty’s declaration, the pace was no faster, even when evaluating the trends relative to a consistent initial poverty rate. Furthermore, the pre-1964 decline in poverty among working age adults and children was achieved almost completely through increases in market income, during which time only 2–3 percent of working age adults were dependent on the government for at least half of their income, compared to dependency rates of 7–15 percent from 1972–2023. In contrast to progress on absolute poverty, reductions in relative poverty were more modest from 1939–1963 and even less so since then.

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Quotation of the Day…

… is from page 175 of my late, great colleague Walter Williams’s 1982 book America: A Minority Viewpoint:

In a growing economy there is more pie to go around – enabling everyone to have a bigger slice and without the interference of government redistribution programs.

DBx: Yes.

If not in theory, typically in practice, a government generally enriches some people at the greater expense of other people – other people largely within that government’s own jurisdiction. In theory and in practice, free markets over time unfailingly enrich everyone within their compass – including people who, at any given moment, must adjust to market forces in ways that these people would prefer to avoid.

The market is a truly great game.

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Bogged Down In Bad Justifications for Trump’s Tariffs

Here’s a letter of mine that is just published by the Washington Post:

George E. Bogden’s justifications for President Donald Trump’s tariffs in his Jan. 29 online op-ed, “Forget TACO. It’s GUAC that matters with Trump’s tariffs,” were far from being the nutritious feast that he supposes.

Bogden wrote that “tariff opponents judge the policy on whether it conforms to an economist’s ideal of friction-free markets.” We opponents point out that tariffs that enable some domestic industries to expand necessarily draw resources away from other domestic industries, causing these other domestic industries to shrink. This effect is as inescapable in real-world markets, with all of their frictions, as in “friction-free” textbook markets.

We also explain that tariffs used as bargaining chips, which are the focus of Bogden’s praise, are inconsistent with the president’s wish to increase American manufacturing or to raise revenue. Because bargaining chips are withdrawn when opponents capitulate, such tariffs won’t protect manufacturing long enough to spark increased investment. Nor are such chips a useful or reliable source of revenue.

It’s as unsurprising as it is undeniable that, as Bogden documents, Trump’s tariff threats often pressure foreign governments to alter their policies in ways that at least appear to suit Trump’s fancies. It’s equally undeniable that Trump’s tariff sturm und drang creates economic inefficiencies and policy and market uncertainties in the U.S., as well as ill will among the allies that America will be sorry to have antagonized if and when tensions with China further intensify.

Donald J. Boudreaux, Fairfax

The writer is the Martha and Nelson Getchell chair for the study of free market capitalism at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University.

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