The “new path” proposed by British Prime Minister Andy Burnham in his debut speech at the Labour Party’s annual conference last week sounds a lot like the one that led the United Kingdom into prolonged stagnation.
It’s been nine months since President Trump used the U.S. military to arrest dictator Nicolás Maduro inside Venezuela, take him to New York, and promote his deputy, Delcy Rodríguez, to top despot. Venezuelans thought they were going to get elections. Instead U.S. sanctions on oil sales have been lifted and dollars are again flowing to the criminal regime. Popular opposition leader María Corina Machado desperately wants to return, but Washington won’t allow it.
The energy confab was a Trump administration idea. It’s betting that by talking up the Venezuelan petroleum industry even while a dictatorship is still signing the contracts, it can get capital flowing into the country. The rebuilding of democratic institutions is supposed to follow.
Trump critics say that’s an error in sequencing. They believe that before investors sink real money into long-term commitments in Venezuela, in amounts that matter, they will want to be dealing with a legitimately elected government operating under a rules-based system.
History is on the side of the skeptics. At a minimum, caution is in order when dealing with the chavistas, who over the past quarter-century have repeatedly “dialogued” with democrats, as they’re doing now, only to refuse to relinquish power.
The energy summit harked back to a time in the once-prosperous South American nation when oil was the engine of growth. But elsewhere in the capital and the rest of the country, things remain dire. Triple-digit inflation and persistent power outages make life miserable for most Venezuelans. Ms. Rodríguez still holds an estimated 324 political prisoners, and more than two dozen others are under restricted freedom. Venezuelans at home and abroad are souring on the Trump administration.
Team Trump says it’s still pushing for political reform through negotiations between Ms. Rodríguez’s brother Jorge, head of the National Assembly, and the opposition. The two sides have been meeting on and off for two months and are rumored to be near an agreement on an independent supreme court. After that they’re supposed to form an independent electoral council. If all goes well, some insiders say the country could hold elections by mid-2027.
Venezuelans who want to recover their country are holding onto this hope. But doubts creep in when the Trump administration attaches no importance to restoring good governance and instead makes a boom in oil production, driven by secret agreements, its priority. By continuing in this direction it’s likely it will get neither.
Attending the conference was a low-cost way for large companies to generate goodwill with the White House. Even companies with little interest in Venezuela had reason to show up to stay on Mr. Trump’s good side. Marginal players probably wanted to rub shoulders with Oil Ministry bigwigs who have discretionary power over rights to explore and exploit oil blocks. Sweetheart deals in exchange for who knows what are the way things work in Venezuela.
Venezuelans are complaining bitterly about the recent regime decision to grant proprietary rights over 17 oil fields to North American Blue Energy Partners, whose majority owner is palace insider Alejandro Betancourt. Yet rather than object to the no-bid contract, the Trump administration further eroded confidence by appropriating its own minority stake in the company.
Roger Pielke Jr. ponders Pres. Trump’s carbon tax.
Mark Mills writes wisely about AI. Two slices:
Before the telegraph, widespread information transmission had also never moved faster than a horse. In 1858, the New York Times reported that telegraphy could spread lies “too fast for truth” to catch up. Experts warned that the technology would create a “morbid appetite for startling news and a monomania for extravagant and almost incredible rumors.” In 1861, barely a decade into the telegraph era, the Morning Pennsylvanian observed that “so far as its communications for the public eye are concerned, it is almost an unmitigated curse.” The New York Times aired worries that the electricity in the first-ever proliferation of wires festooning the countryside could endanger animals and crops and quoted experts warning that “girdling the earth with electrical wires” could even risk destabilizing the planet’s rotation.
History is legion with examples of what we view in hindsight as hysterical and even amusing reactions to new technologies. But it seems wired into human nature to ignore the implications because, well, “this time it’s different.” It’s always the case that every new technology is different in the particulars and that otherwise smart people have said exceptionally silly things about new technologies. Reflexive presentism is hard to escape.
Cataloging history’s episodes of techno-hysteria doesn’t mean that new technologies were free of negative consequences and disruptions. But as history also shows, it’s apparently too much to expect that we will react much differently this time than we did last time.
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As for water and land, data centers use far less of both than golf courses, never mind agriculture. Where were the protesters when Congress enacted mandates and subsidies for corn-ethanol in gasoline? Nearly 200 times more water is used per gallon to produce ethanol than gasoline.
Finally, on land use: the total square footage of warehouses in America is, at present, almost 100-fold greater than for data centers. Again, where were the demonstrators when politicians and promoters started subsidizing solar power installations that blanket farmland and fragile deserts by the square mile with black, glass-covered silicon?
Also writing insightfully about AI, but from a very different angle, is Bob Graboyes.
National Review‘s Jim Geraghty decries “the rise of dumb, anti-innovation, job-saving laws in blue cities and states.” Here’s his conclusion:
Rhode Island passed its law; starting January 1, 2027, any grocery store in the state that provides self-service checkout stations must have a ratio of one manual checkout station for every three self-service stations. Heaven forbid we let the grocery stores decide for themselves! Heaven forbid we allow customers to decide which option they want to use!
Joseph Steinberg tweets: (HT Scott Lincicome)
I think it’s very clear that ADH [the “China Shock” work of David Autor, David Dorn, and Gordon Hanson] and its follow-ups have led many people to believe that trade with China was a net negative for American jobs in the aggregate, when it’s not at all obvious that was the case. If you read their abstract & intro, and those of many other similar papers, there are no caveats whatsoever about relative vs absolute effects. In ADH, it’s relegated to a footnote. And their extrapolation to aggregate effects is totally inappropriate—a practice they have continued through all their work and propagated to the broader set of papers building on their work.
Allen Mendenhall’s thoughts about economics and economics training are excellent. (HT Arnold Kling)
Peter Suderman describes the new Tom Cruise movie, Digger, as a “disaster.”


The act of situating the case for markets within a wider argument about civilization reminds us, moreover, that much more is involved in the defense of market economies than emphasizing their ability to create wealth. Distinctly nonmaterial goods like liberty and justice are equally at stake.
A tariff does not leave consumers free to select which imports they can best do without. It makes the selection for them, or, at least, strongly influences their choice. This may be thought wise. We think it a loss. Nor is a tariff as flexible an instrument as a free exchange-rate. It creates vested interests and can only be readily altered in an upward direction. Further, by reducing imports it tends to make the rate of exchange higher than it would otherwise be. This places export industries at a disadvantage, even if wages and other internal costs do not rise.
Indeed the only purpose of science is its ultimate assistance in the development of normative propositions. We seek to learn how the world works in order to make it work “better,” to “improve” things: this is as true for physical science as it is for social science.
