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Some Non-Covid Links

Danusha Goska eloquently exposes the illogic, hypocrisy, and evil of wokism. (HT Tim Townsend) A slice:

Woke condemns being “nice” and “polite.” Niceness and politeness were invented by white men to support patriarchy and white supremacy. Robin DiAngelo points out that “niceness” is merely a façade white supremacists have developed to camouflage their evil. To be “nice” is actually to be “violent” and white supremacist, reports the group “Women of Color and Allies.” Women “need to embrace the discomfort, the edges and the messiness of overturning that which has kept us in the number two slot of the power and privilege pyramid for over 500 years … niceness destroys people of color.” Niceness and politeness belong in the same museum with whips and chains.

In reality, of course, it is not oppressed women who can forgo niceness and politeness. When I was cleaning houses, and when my mother before me was cleaning houses, for rich, liberal women, neither my mother before me nor I ever dared to be anything but deferential to these women.

Only the truly privileged can appropriate the victim costume, forgo niceness and politeness, and rage at, and destroy, their alleged “oppressors.” At Smith College the annual cost for students is $78,000. In July, 2018, Student Oumou Kanoute falsely accused low-wage Smith workers of racism. She doxed the accused on social media. One cafeteria worker was so stressed she had to be hospitalized.

Mary Anastasia O’Grady exposes the hypocrisy of woke-infected Major League Baseball. Here’s her opening:

Major League Baseball says “values” compelled it to move this summer’s All-Star Game out of Georgia. But this piety doesn’t square with its long record of collaboration with Cuba’s military dictatorship, one of the world’s most notorious human-rights violators.

George Leef decries wokism on campus.

David Henderson notes that it’s a win-win for Amazon’s workers and Amazon’s shareholders.

Arnold Kling writes wisely about social conventions.

J.D. Tuccille exposes Joe Biden’s insincerity.

Dan Mitchell reports on New York’s fiscal suicide.

Bob Poole offers an excellent proposal.

Tom Palmer rightly writes that “If protectionists were consistent, they should be lauding the captain of the Ever Given for his ability to disrupt trade.” A slice:

Some people see trade across borders as negative. They believe that when you buy something from foreigners, you lose. They should thus be happy when goods are blocked from entering their country. Former president Donald Trump famously stated, “China has been taking out 500 billion dollars a year out of our country and rebuilding China.” In his view, that wealth left the U.S. and went to China, a view that oddly overlooks all the things that producers in China send to Americans, including computers, furniture, integrated circuits, sports equipment, electrical machines and, yes, tea. And it leaves out all the things American producers send to China, from aircraft to soybeans, cars and trucks to optical and medical instruments. The protectionist thinks that if you send money abroad, you’re losing. By the same logic, when I send money to my local grocery store, wealth is leaving my house in order to build someone else’s. I “lose” every time I buy food from the grocery, or electricity from the power company, or medicine from the pharmacy. That view is known as the “balance of trade.”

Adam Smith in his 1776 masterpiece, noted that “Nothing … can be more absurd than this whole doctrine of the balance of trade, upon which, not only these restraints, but almost all the other regulations of commerce are founded. When two places trade with one another, this [absurd] doctrine supposes that, if the balance be even, neither of them either loses or gains; but if it leans in any degree to one side, that one of them loses and the other gains in proportion to its declension from the exact equilibrium.”

In the latest episode of The Great Antidote, Juliette Sellgren talks with GMU Econ alum Liya Palagashvili about the Future Economy.

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Some Covid Links

“When police start raiding our churches, you know the revolution has begun” – so writes Peter Hitchens. A slice:

So why, of all the places in London, on all the days of the year, was this one targeted on Good Friday?

I don’t think much thought went into it. I think deep down in the brain of the state is an idea that religious people, especially Christians, shouldn’t think they have any special position in Britain any more.

Worship the new Health and Safety State first, and when you’ve done that we might allow to you worship God, not in the way you want to, but in the way we let you.

If they’d come in with clubs swinging and Communist emblems on their cap-badges, I suspect the Poles of Balham would have thrown them out. But, like so many of us, they still treasure the illusion that this is a free country.

And so they submit to things they’d never take from an invader or a more obvious oppressor. It turns out that free countries are incredibly easy to turn into despotisms, because nobody can believe what is happening.

Life under what The Times calls, quite accurately, “the plandemic”. (DBx: Most Americans have not been subjected to the extraordinarily high degree of Covid tyranny still crushing down the British people. But capacity limits in many of these United States nevertheless make dining out or going to a bar for a drink much more difficult than before the plague of Covid Derangement Syndrome.)

Britain is no longer a free country. A slice:

Under severe restrictions on our freedoms, government told us that locking us down was the only way to save the NHS and save lives from the virus. The lockdowns have clearly not worked in the unrealistic aim of eradicating the virus, nor in coping with the virus, and the NHS hospitals, while coping heroically with the winter surge of cases, also acted as major spreaders of Covid. Florence Nightingale knew about isolation hospitals for highly transmissible diseases but our health bureaucrats ignored her wisdom and did not use the Nightingale Hospitals for this purpose, nor did they deploy the reservoir of student nurses – and for the next winter surge we will have no isolation hospitals and no accessible pool of extra emergency nursing staff. Nothing has changed. The fact is that if we do get a surge in the winter, when respiratory cases rise, the government is keeping the lockdown hammer as its one instrument of response. We were told ‘test and trace’ would turn the tide and control the epidemic, but that has been described as a ‘mess’ and even counter-productive. 

We were told that the first lockdown was a gain in the battle, then another surge brought another lockdown. Then we were told a vaccine was to be our salvation, then despite a surprisingly efficient vaccination programme, and ‘the data’ showing that we are on the way out of the epidemic, it was announced that the lockdown restrictions can only be very slowly lifted, with small businesses and pubs being sacrificed as we speak. And these restrictions of social distancing and mask wearing will be kept after the ‘end’ of lockdown. We are not going to be free for a long time; we are being dragged back as we are told we are free.

And we are told that we will have to have vaccination passports, and will need to test ourselves twice a week, despite being fully healthy! It seems that our government is now addicted to micromanaging our lives in totalitarian, bureaucratic fashion. Just as with our semi-escape from Brussels technocracy, so with our semi-escape from uniquely repressive restrictions on our lives in all aspects, this is a fake and we will be stuck with loss of freedoms for an unspecified time. The depth and width of the freedoms lost include those of religious practice, social life, family life, freedom of speech to criticise the restrictive laws, travel within and out of the country, stopping basic schooling, the misuse of the police in enforcing these restrictions. The public has been psychologically coerced and scared into accepting all this with little complaint. The MSM has acted as government loud-hailer with little criticism, despite what is now a tsunami of high-quality scientific evidence against lockdown and devastating criticism of the ‘modelling’ that lies behind the harsh totalitarian regulation of life. We have been manipulated into compliance in an abusive fashion.

Karol Markowicz reasonably wonders if Covid-19 hysterics will ever let children lead normal lives. Two slices:

The end of the pandemic is nigh. Americans continue to get vaccinated at a rapid clip. Life will be moving on. Except, it seems, for children. For more than a year, they have suffered from irrational, unscientific and downright superstitious policies inflicted upon them by adults — and there is no end in sight.
…..

In November, Maria van Kerkhove, head of the World Health Organization’s emerging-diseases unit, clarified that “for children under 6 years old, we don’t recommend the use of masks.” This, she said, was “for many reasons — because of the way children are developing” and because enforcing adherence is a fool’s errand. She added: “Between 6 [and] 11, we recommend taking a risk-based approach depending on where the children are, the types of activities they are doing.”

Yet last week, YouTube removed a video of scientists from places like Stanford saying much the same to Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.

The Google-owned video service called it “medical misinformation.” This, even though last April, YouTube CEO Susan Wojcocki said her site would interdict “anything that would go against World Health ­Organization recommendations.” In this case, it’s YouTube itself that was contradicting WHO.

As Phil Magness would say, the straw man continues to romp.

Covid “modellers” are criminally reckless. I wish that I believed in life after death so that I could have the satisfaction of knowing that these people – including, above all, Neil Ferguson – would suffer grievously.

Francois Balloux’s predictions about “breakthrough infections,” and the irresponsible media reporting on these, seem certain to come true.

Vaccine passports: What price in terms of freedom? A slice:

According to The Ada Lovelace Institute report “What place should COVID-19 vaccine passports have in society?”: “The expert group came to the view that at present vaccination status does not offer clear or conclusive evidence about any individual’s risk to others via transmission. Without that it cannot be a robust basis for risk-based decision making, and therefore any roll out of a digital passport is not currently justified.” They concur with the European Data Protection Board which points out the dangers of unintended secondary uses resulting in widespread discrimination and inequality.

But who cares about all that when you could be launching an app? When we look at death tallies and population level vaccination rates one has to question the motivation of the rush to implement this kind of technology. Take Brunei with a grand total of three COVID-19 deaths. It already has its app, BruHealth, which is used to restrict access to business premises and shows the “activity trace” of any nearby confirmed cases. They even used it for a while to control access to Friday prayers. Finland, with 868 deaths and 2% of its population fully vaccinated, has joined with Estonia (1,006 deaths, 5% vaccinated) to be one of the first to pilot a WHO scheme involving showing your immunity status to your employer. What could possibly go wrong? Australia, with 909 deaths and only 4% of its population vaccinated, is working with unions to determine domestic restrictions based on its Medicare Express Plus app which can access the national Australian Immunisation Register. The data suggests these countries do not have a problem that merits deploying technology to restrict the lives of 95% of their citizens for an indefinite period.

Those of you who doubt that Covid Derangement Syndrome is real and that much of humanity is now insane, ponder this fact: “Boris Johnson has decreed that vaccinated people must not meet indoors because jabs ‘are not giving 100% protection’.” And remember, the fully vaccinated Fauci remains so frightened of Covid that he’ll not resume a normal life.

Here’s a letter from Lisa Dickmann in today’s Wall Street Journal:

If I’m fully vaccinated, why should I care whether the guy sitting next to me is? Once everyone who wants a vaccine has had the chance to get it, the risk to the unvaccinated isn’t society’s problem, and all pandemic-instituted restrictions should end.

Let’s hope Americans will see vaccine passports for what they are: the government’s attempt to cling to power granted by us to battle a threat that, very soon, will no longer be much of a threat.

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Quotation of the Day…

… is from page 646 of the 1988 collection of Lord Acton’s writings (edited by the late J. Rufus Fears), Essays in Religion, Politics, and Morality; specifically, it’s a note drawn from Acton’s extensive papers at Cambridge University; (I can find no date for this passage):

Government rules the present. Literature rules the future.

DBx: The course of human events is determined overwhelmingly, and at root, by ideas. We must – if as a species we are to thrive rather than merely survive – get our ideas right. If we don’t, we’ll still lord it over the likes of dogs, donkeys, and deer – but we will live little better than any other of our great-ape relatives.

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Some Covid Links

Here’s wisdom from my emeritus Nobel-laureate colleague Vernon Smith:

Prominent in the pandemic episode are the control freaks, activated by crises, both real and exaggerated; they are at the center of the exaggeration–the “chicken Little’s” of this world. This phenomenon in human experience is so common that it is captured world-over in historical Fairy Tale’s, including Aesop’s “The boy who cried wolf” that introduces the sly fox who does, guess-what?

Jeffrey Tucker reports on the demise of another of the now-countless Covid-19 myths.

“Life will never be normal with Covid passports” – so wisely writes Janice Turner.

The late Duke of Edinburgh long ago explained the mindset that leads to the Covidocracy.

Giles Fraser decries the ease with which people give up on freedom. A slice:

Clearly, something very odd has happened. Consider, for instance, the events of the last week. On Good Friday, the Christian community reflects on Jesus being taken before the Roman Authorities, charged with setting himself up as an alternative king. This year, the Polish Roman Catholic Church of Christ the King in Balham had the ingenious idea of incorporating a real police raid into the liturgy. The police broke up the gathering of Christian worshippers, rather effectively making the point that even in the most apparently benign of political circumstances, Christians derive their authority not from the law of the land but from a king who is not of this world.

Unfortunately, of course, it wasn’t a creative piece of liturgy. Someone had phoned the police to complain. We do not know if his name was Judas. But breakup the service they did. “This is an unlawful gathering,” announced the boys and girls in blue, threatening to fine those gathered in prayer. Despite the fact that — as images of the service clearly showed — most of the congregation were social distancing, wearing masks and had pre-booked their attendance, the police closed down the service on one of the holiest days of the year.

TANSTAFPFC (There Ain’t No Such Thing As Free Protection From Covid)

So Anthony Fauci, now fully vaccinated, says that he will nevertheless continue indefinitely to refrain from dining indoors at restaurants. He’ll also not travel or go to the movies. As Phil Magness correctly points out in response, Fauci thus reveals himself to be America’s leading vaccine skeptic. (DBx: Remind me why we should continue to pay attention to Fauci?)

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Quotation of the Day…

… is from page 112 of Virginia Postrel’s superb and still-relevant 1998 book, The Future and Its Enemies:

By dispersing knowledge and control, a dynamic society takes advantage of the human quest to create and discover. Dynamism allows the world to be enriched through the decentralized, trial-and-error experiments in which we all engage when left free to do so. While reactionaries seek rules that will ban change and technocrats want rules that will control outcomes, dynamists look for rules that let people forge new bonds, invent new institutions, and find better ways of doing things. Like the laws of physics and chemistry, which permit the simplest of particles to form complex combinations, dynamist rules allow us to create the bonds of life – to turn the atoms of our individual selves, our ideas, and the stuff of our material world into the complex social, intellectual, and technological molecules that make up our civilization.

DBx: Beautifully put.

This insight is one that is lost on proponents of industrial policy such as Oren Cass, Julius Krein, Mariana Mazzucato, Marco Rubio, and Elizabeth Warren. Industrial-policy proponents want to play god with the material of the social universe. They believe that only by conscious design – design usually along the particular lines that they fancy – can good social orders be formed.

Industrial-policy proponents might well have the motivations of a god. But because of their ignorance of sound economics and their obliviousness to the unfathomable details and complexity of the modern global economy, the consequences of industrial-policy proponents’ ideas are destined to be indistinguishable from those wrought by a devil.

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Covidocratic Tyranny

Here’s a letter to the Washington Post:

Editor:

Leana Wen’s defense of vaccine passports is propaganda that would bring glee to Goebbels (“Stop calling them ‘vaccine passports’,” April 10).

After assuring us that “almost no one is proposing this [Israeli “Green Pass”] kind of national ID for coronavirus vaccination in the United States,” she writes “Many public and private institutions already ask people to complete a pre-arrival questionnaire that screens for symptoms of covid-19. Some venues check temperatures or even administer a rapid coronavirus test before entry. Requesting proof of vaccination would be another such health screen. If questionnaires or tests aren’t seen as constraints on individual liberties, showing vaccine status should not be, either.”

Of course differences separate some details of the Israeli vaccine-passport system from what is proposed for, and might be implemented in, the U.S. But the bottom line, as Dr. Wen herself lets slip, is that proof of vaccination to enter the likes of restaurants, gyms, stadiums, and courthouses is a real likelihood. And her use of the word “requesting” is Orwellian, as obviously under such a regime all who turn down such ‘requests’ will be denied access.

That we Americans were indeed willing (too willing, in my view) to tolerate temporarily under Covid the likes of temperature scans and questionnaires hardly implies what Dr. Wen takes it to imply – namely, that a permanent regime of vaccine passports is an innocuous extension of these temporary intrusions and, thus, would not dramatically and tyrannically constrain individual liberties in ways that have never before been imposed wholesale on the entire American population.

Sincerely,
Donald J. Boudreaux
Professor of Economics
and
Martha and Nelson Getchell Chair for the Study of Free Market Capitalism at the Mercatus Center
George Mason University
Fairfax, VA 22030

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Some Covid Links

David Henderson likes many, but not all, of the remarks made by my colleague Tyler Cowen in Tyler’s recent appearance on Russ Roberts’s EconTalk. A slice from David’s post (original emphasis):

I don’t know if Jeff Tucker said exactly what Tyler said he said, but it doesn’t matter: Jeff Tucker is not one of the authors of the GBD. I had lunch with Jay Bhattacharya on Tuesday and asked him point blank: “Did Jeff Tucker write or edit any part of the GBD?” Jay’s answer: No.

This is not a small issue. Had we focused on protecting the vulnerable and not locking down the young and healthy and keeping children out of school, we would be in a lot better shape today, with fewer COVID deaths of the elderly and less destruction of the economy.

Ethan Yang reports on the especially great harm that lockdowns inflict on young people.

Covid Derangement Syndrome is real.

Anthony Cadman rightly decries the doubling down of Covid hysteria. Two slices:

The Great Covid Lie – that the disease is of such lethal virulence that almost any measure, no matter how repressive, is justified to combat it – has been the settled narrative since the first lockdown began just over a year ago. From that point, it became inevitable that ever more extreme and destructive measures would be introduced, the latest of which is the deeply sinister ‘Covid passports’ initiative.

…..

As disaster is heaped upon disaster, lie upon lie, ever more extreme, unnecessary and authoritarian measures are needed for the maintenance of the hysterical narrative. It is this, rather than some sinister conspiracy, that is now the major political driver behind the Covid passport scheme and all subsequent society-destroying schemes to come: as Covid becomes less virulent, the lie becomes ever more so – the disease could apparently still bounce back, sweeping across a now substantially vaccinated population in some ‘fourth wave’ – no doubt to be followed by a tsunami and subsequently a megatsunami. After all, if restrictions were universally lifted tomorrow and nothing much happened, the lie would be at risk of being exposed. Better instead to double down – and double, triple and quadruple down they will.

There are others who benefit from the propagation and continuation of the Great Covid Lie – those, such as the Machiavellian Tony Blair, who really do relish an increase in authoritarian power, or the media, who from the start prostituted themselves because cheap sensationalism was a bigger money-spinner than maintaining critical faculty, or the scientists given the power of gods over our civilisation, now able to conduct their experiments on an unprecedented scale.

All are ultimately trapped, as are the rest of us, by the same enormous lie.

Here’s good sense from the editors of The Telegraph:

The public might assume the goal of all this red tape is to prevent the entry into Britain of dangerous new variants, but unless one attempts to seal the borders completely, which we are not doing (haulage drivers will still be coming, along with seasonal workers), this is impossible.

A choice has to be made between obedience to the precautionary principle, which can only be enforced with heavy-handed methods – economically disastrous, harmful for mental health, unsustainable – and learning to live with Covid and make personal decisions based upon a balance of risk.

In a letter published in the BMJ, Maryanne Demasi and Peter Gotzsche warn of the slippery slope of vaccine passports. A slice:

We wonder, however, whether this comes at a time when Britons have ‘lockdown fatigue’ and may be willing to consent to anything in order to restore ‘normality’. This is a slippery slope and there’s no telling where this could lead if law-abiding citizens are expected to show documentation in order to eat out with their families or enjoy an afternoon at the pub.

Julia Hartley-Brewer tangles with a supporter of Britain’s tyrannical Covidocracy.

“A year of school shutdowns and family trauma leads to social isolation, stress and mental-health issues” – so reports the Wall Street Journal.

Also reported in the Wall Street Journal is this unsurprising fact: “With rare exceptions, the states that shut down the longest suffered the most economic harm.” Here’s more:

By contrast, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis let nearly all businesses stay open after May. Florida’s private GDP had shrunk only 1.1% by year-end, dragged down by weak international and domestic tourism. New York’s food and accommodation industry shrank more than twice as much as Florida’s and the most in the U.S.

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Quotation of the Day…

… is from page 5 of Alan Macfarlane’s vital 1978 book, The Origins of English Individualism:

[A] central and basic feature of English social structure has for a long time been the stress on the rights and privileges of the individual as against the wider group or the State.

DBx: I fear that the English, made hysterical by Covid Derangement Syndrome, abandoned this central feature of their social structure in 2020. Indescribably sad. Immeasurably tragic.

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Sauce for the Goose Is Sauce for the Gander

Here’s a letter to a woman who is aggressively hostile to me:

Ms. H___:

You write that I “damage [my] already low credibility” by linking at Café Hayek (as I do today) to Prof. Robert Kaplan’s Wall Street Journal op-ed in which he counsels against the demonization of persons who are reluctant to get a Covid-19 vaccine.

I don’t see how. Prof. Kaplan is a respected member of the medical faculties of Stanford University and UCLA. More importantly, the counsel that he offers in the WSJ is wise. Contrary to what you suppose, it’s meant to encourage more people to get vaccinated.

You also write that “now’s not the time to give aid & comfort to people with irrational fears which keep them from behaving to keep themselves and others safe.”

I’m sorry, but this accusation is too much. If it is acceptable, as it now is, to act to avoid even the most minuscule of risks posed by SARS-CoV-2, why is it unacceptable to act to avoid even the most minuscule of risks posed by vaccines? If it is praiseworthy, as it now is, to treat even very small prospects of suffering from Covid as if these prospects loom large, why is it blameworthy to treat even very small prospects of suffering from vaccination as if these prospects loom large?

I, personally, don’t oppose vaccines. But no vaccine – no anything in this vale – is risk-free. As such, extraordinary hypocrisy is committed by those, such as yourself, whose fear of Covid leads them to believe that even vanishingly small risks of harm from Covid justify avoiding Covid at all costs, but who then scold others whose fear of vaccines leads them to believe that even vanishingly small risks of harm from vaccines justify avoiding vaccines at all costs.

Sincerely,
Donald J. Boudreaux
Professor of Economics
and
Martha and Nelson Getchell Chair for the Study of Free Market Capitalism at the Mercatus Center
George Mason University
Fairfax, VA 22030

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Yesterday at Marginal Revolution Tyler Cowen featured, in its own post, this comment made by James Markels in response to Tyler’s link a day earlier to a Cafe Hayek post of mine – a post of mine critical of some remarks about Covid-19, and the response to it, that Tyler offered in the latest episode of EconTalk. My original post included my disagreement with Tyler’s insistence on discounting the fact that Covid reserves its dangers overwhelmingly for the very old.

James Markels believes my criticism of Tyler to be mistaken. One of Mr. Markels’s points is this one:

First, the fact that COVID-19 disproportionately killed the elderly was not something that was readily apparent right out of the box, when the virus was spreading rapidly.

This claim by Mr. Markels is incorrect. (Other of his claims also strike me as being either incorrect or inapt, but here – save for a brief point made below in closing – I limit my attention to the point quoted above.)

Yesterday in the comments section of Tyler’s post I offered some evidence of the early recognition of the age profile of Covid’s victims. This evidence was questioned by at least one other commenter. This morning, I happened to learn of an op-ed by Dr. David Katz that appeared in the March 20th, 2020, edition of the New York Times. Dr. Katz is founding director of the Yale-Griffin Prevention Research Center.

I’ve tried twice this morning in MR’s comments section to share a quotation from Dr. Katz’s op-ed, but for some reason my latest attempts to leave a comment appear to be rejected. (NOTE: I sincerely and emphatically do not believe that anything sinister is going on. I’m quite sure that my failure to post a new comment results from a technical glitch.)

So I share here the relevant portion of Dr. Katz’s op-ed:

The data from South Korea, where tracking the coronavirus has been by far the best to date, indicate that as much as 99 percent of active cases in the general population are “mild” and do not require specific medical treatment. The small percentage of cases that do require such services are highly concentrated among those age 60 and older, and further so the older people are. Other things being equal, those over age 70 appear at three times the mortality risk as those age 60 to 69, and those over age 80 at nearly twice the mortality risk of those age 70 to 79.

These conclusions are corroborated by the data from Wuhan, China, which show a higher death rate, but an almost identical distribution. The higher death rate in China may be real, but is perhaps a result of less widespread testing. South Korea promptly, and uniquely, started testing the apparently healthy population at large, finding the mild and asymptomatic cases of Covid-19 other countries are overlooking. The experience of the Diamond Princess cruise ship, which houses a contained, older population, proves the point. The death rate among that insular and uniformly exposed population is roughly 1 percent.

We have, to date, fewer than 200 deaths from the coronavirus in the United States — a small data set from which to draw big conclusions. Still, it is entirely aligned with the data from other countries. The deaths have been mainly clustered among the elderly, those with significant chronic illnesses such as diabetes and heart disease, and those in both groups.

This is not true of infectious scourges such as influenza. The flu hits the elderly and chronically ill hard, too, but it also kills children. Trying to create herd immunity among those most likely to recover from infection while also isolating the young and the old is daunting, to say the least. How does one allow exposure and immunity to develop in parents, without exposing their young children?

The clustering of complications and death from Covid-19 among the elderly and chronically ill, but not children (there have been only very rare deaths in children), suggests that we could achieve the crucial goals of social distancing — saving lives and not overwhelming our medical system — by preferentially protecting the medically frail and those over age 60, and in particular those over 70 and 80, from exposure.

Not only does Dr. Katz’s op-ed from nearly 13 months ago disprove the claim that the age profile of Covid’s victims was not known early on, note that Dr. Katz’s recommendation for how best to deal with Covid-19 is essentially the same as that offered in the Great Barrington Declaration.

Dr. Katz’s entire op-ed is excellent. (I’m sorry that I learned of it only today.) I share below, from it, other slices the relevance of which will be recognized by people who follow closely the debate over the proper response to Covid-19. And I ask Tyler and others who dismiss the Great Barrington Declaration as wrongheaded: What, specifically, do you find to be a problem with the substance of Dr. Katz’s analysis and proposal? Answers to this question will help us to learn what, specifically, opponents of the GBD find to be misguided about that document.

And surely Dr. Katz’s argument is further evidence (not that any is needed) against the assertion that the Great Barrington Declaration is merely a reflection of libertarian ideology, that it represents only a fringe view, or that the GBD is unscientific.

Also, as regards Dr. Katz, I don’t believe it’s possible to dismiss his argument by issuing an ad hominemad hominem argumentation, sadly, being a widely used means of dismissing the Great Barrington Declaration.

Now more from Dr. Katz’s March 20th, 2020, NYT op-ed:

I am deeply concerned that the social, economic and public health consequences of this near total meltdown of normal life — schools and businesses closed, gatherings banned — will be long lasting and calamitous, possibly graver than the direct toll of the virus itself. The stock market will bounce back in time, but many businesses never will. The unemployment, impoverishment and despair likely to result will be public health scourges of the first order.

…..

So what is the alternative? Well, we could focus our resources on testing and protecting, in every way possible, all those people the data indicate are especially vulnerable to severe infection: the elderly, people with chronic diseases and the immunologically compromised. Those that test positive could be the first to receive the first approved antivirals. The majority, testing negative, could benefit from every resource we have to shield them from exposure.

…..

If we were to focus on the especially vulnerable, there would be resources to keep them at home, provide them with needed services and coronavirus testing, and direct our medical system to their early care. I would favor proactive rather than reactive testing in this group, and early use of the most promising anti-viral drugs. This cannot be done under current policies, as we spread our relatively few test kits across the expanse of a whole population, made all the more anxious because society has shut down.

This focus on a much smaller portion of the population would allow most of society to return to life as usual and perhaps prevent vast segments of the economy from collapsing. Healthy children could return to school and healthy adults go back to their jobs. Theaters and restaurants could reopen, though we might be wise to avoid very large social gatherings like stadium sporting events and concerts.

So long as we were protecting the truly vulnerable, a sense of calm could be restored to society. Just as important, society as a whole could develop natural herd immunity to the virus. The vast majority of people would develop mild coronavirus infections, while medical resources could focus on those who fell critically ill. Once the wider population had been exposed and, if infected, had recovered and gained natural immunity, the risk to the most vulnerable would fall dramatically.

A pivot right now from trying to protect all people to focusing on the most vulnerable remains entirely plausible. With each passing day, however, it becomes more difficult. The path we are on may well lead to uncontained viral contagion and monumental collateral damage to our society and economy. A more surgical approach is what we need.

*****

In closing, I mention one final statement made yesterday in the comments section of Marginal Revolution by Mr. Markels. It’s this:

Frankly, I never heard of the GBD under Boudreaux mentioned it, and I have no axe to grind with them.

If “under” is a misspelling of “until” – which, given the structure of the sentence and the paragraph of which the sentence is a part, appears to be the case – then it’s strange that Mr. Markels had never heard of the GBD. Since its publication more than six months ago it has been front and center in the Covid discussion. It’s baffling (to put it mildly) how someone can be informed about Covid-related issues and not have heard of the GBD unit I mentioned it, presumably in the Cafe Hayek post to which Tyler linked on Wednesday.

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