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Quotation of the Day…

… is from page 17 of my emeritus Nobel-laureate colleague Vernon Smith‘s important 2008 book, Rationality in Economics:

Political activists sometimes juxtapose property rights and “human rights” as mutually exclusive phenomena. But “property” is that over which an individual human, or association of humans, exercises some specified priority of action with respect to other humans. Only humans (and perhaps a few other animal species, notably chimps), but not property, can be recognized as allowed to act without reprisal from others. The emotional appeal of the slogan, “human rights, not property rights,” appears to stem predominantly from an egalitarian ethic that seeks to dispossess those who are “propertied.” Yet the essence of property rights is the right to the product of one’s own labor and to the further productive yield generated by the savings from that product.

DBx: Yes.

Please join me in wishing Vernon a very happy 99th birthday today. May he have many more, not only for his, his dear wife Candace’s, and their family’s sake, but for all of us. Wisdom, learning, and kindness such as Vernon possesses and continues to share are too rare.

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Protectionism Is Destructionism – Not a Funny Matter

Here’s a follow-up note to a new correspondent.

Mr. L__:

Thanks for your follow-up email in response to this note.

You write that my “comparing tariffs to the destruction of household goods and business capital” is “laughable.” But you dismiss my comparison only with giggles and guffaws, never bothering to explain just why you find this comparison to be comically inept.

Suppose you plan to spend $200 on a case of wine imported from France. When you arrive at the wharf, you learn that a 33% tariff has just been imposed. With your $200 you will now get, not the 12 bottles of French wine that you expected, but only nine bottles. You are three bottles of wine poorer.

Now change the example slightly so that there’s no tariff on imported wine. In exchange for your $200 you get 12 bottles of French wine. But upon unloading your case of wine at home, uniformed government agents seize three of your bottles and fling them to the ground to shatter them. You are three bottles of wine poorer.

In what substantive way does this second example differ economically from the first? I see no economic difference.

In the second example, the government will inform you that if you instead buy American wine, none of it will be seized and shattered. Because you and other American wine drinkers obviously prefer not to have part of your wine collection seized and shattered, you’ll buy less non-American wine and more American wine. American vintners, seeing the demand for their product rise, will raise their prices. With your $200, even when buying American wine of similar quality as the French, you’ll get fewer than 12 bottles – maybe 11, maybe 10, maybe 9. Fewer. Your government has conscripted part of your income to enrich American wine growers – growers who, far from earning your patronage honestly, had that patronage stolen from you dishonestly through government action.

The same thing happens with tariffs. The 33% tariff destroys a quarter of the purchasing power of the $200 you intended to spend on French wine. When you and other wine drinkers adjust to minimize the destruction of your dollars’ purchasing power by shifting your demands to American wines, the prices of these wines will rise. With your $200 you’ll get less wine than you would get without the tariffs.

Tariffs effectively destroy economic goods no less surely than does physical destruction of those goods – a reality that explains why economists and other reasonable people find the economic case for protectionism to be laughable.

Wishing you and yours a Happy – and protectionism-free – 2026.

Sincerely,
Donald J. Boudreaux
Professor of Economics
and
Martha and Nelson Getchell Chair for the Study of Free Market Capitalism at the Mercatus Center
George Mason University
Fairfax, VA 22030

UPDATE: I changed the titled of this post. The phrase ‘protectionism is destructionism’ is the brainchild of Jon Murphy.

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Some Links

The Wall Street Journal‘s Editorial Board is correct about Trump’s attempt to keep drug prices down: “By importing foreign price controls on drugs, he’s compounding Biden’s mistake.” A slice:

President Trump is cleaning up many of Joe Biden’s regulatory messes…, but then there is his plan to import drug price controls. He’s making this one worse.

Days before Christmas, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) proposed a 560-page regulation to implement the President’s “most-favored nation” (MFN) plan in Medicare. The point is to force drug makers to sell drugs to Medicare at the lowest price available in other developed countries.

This is bad policy for many reasons, but it’s also a government double-cross. More than a dozen firms struck agreements with the Administration this year to boost investment in the U.S. and to sell medicines directly to consumers at lower prices—supposedly in return for a reprieve from Mr. Trump’s threatened tariffs and most-favored nation regime. Now Mr. Trump looks to be playing them for suckers.

The CMS proposal would require drug makers to pay rebates to Medicare covering the difference between prices in the U.S. and the lowest price in 19 countries, including Canada, the Czech Republic and Sweden. While rebates will vary by drug, the kickbacks to Medicare could be upward of 80% of list price.

Most of these countries have government-run systems that restrict access to novel medicines for budgetary reasons, so their patients must wait longer to get them, if they ever do. Mr. Trump’s plan will reduce the incentive to sell drugs in these countries since they’d then have to match those ultra-low prices for the much bigger Medicare market.

Chinese biotech firms fast would be poised to take global market share from U.S. drug makers. Mr. Trump’s plan would also reduce the incentive to develop innovative medicines in the U.S. if firms don’t think they can make a profit to recoup their investment.

Eric Boehm makes clear that “the Minnesota welfare fraud story is really about a broken Medicaid bureaucracy.”

Wall Street Journal columnist Jason Riley points out that minimum-wage legislation makes goods and services even less affordable. A slice:

Advocates contend that minimum-wage hikes increase incomes and reduce poverty, but that depends. The government can force an employer to pay a minimum hourly rate, but it can’t force the employer to hire someone in the first place, or to guarantee current employees a certain number of hours. Minimum-wage workers who keep their jobs and who retain the same number of hours benefit from an elevated minimum wage. But some employees will be let go, others will see their hours trimmed, and still others will never be hired because they’ve become too expensive to employ. These are only some of the trade-offs involved in increasing the minimum wage.

“This is a bad way to deal with affordability concerns,” says American Enterprise Institute economist Michael Strain. “Businesses have to absorb higher labor costs in some way, and one way is by raising consumer prices. Another way is by reducing the number of people they employ. And things become a lot less affordable when you lose your paycheck.”

In a forthcoming academic paper, Mr. Strain and Jeffrey Clemens analyze changes to the minimum wage in the decade preceding the Covid pandemic. They conclude that large increases harmed employment prospects for people with limited skills and work history—the same group who have experienced the most erosion in purchasing power since the pandemic. The authors estimate that “relatively large increases in minimum wages reduced employment rates among individuals with low levels of experience and education by just over 2 and a half percentage points.”

Andrew Wilford explains what shouldn’t – but, alas, what nevertheless always does – need explaining: “Rich people won’t just sit still while you tax them.”

Megan McCardle corrects someone who’s appallingly ignorant of both economics and history. (HT Scott Lincicome)

Jeffrey Blehar bids adieu to 2025. A slice:

Zohran Mamdani, the new and splendidly diverse Democratic nominee for mayor of New York City, is revealed to have lied about his race on his college applications — apparently, rich and ethnically Indian upper-class children get a bad shake with admissions committees, so he marked himself down as “African-American,” despite being neither. (Later, he became an American citizen; he remains non-black to this very day.) In other racialist news, Elon Musk, still smarting from the DOGE experience, proudly rolls out his new AI creation “Grok” to Twitter/X, a handy chatbot designed to give only “truthful” answers, without woke fear or favor. It takes exactly six hours for online trolls to feed it enough carefully-tailored prompts to turn it into MechaHitler, at which point it is hastily shut down for retooling, like a failed Robocop prototype.

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Quotation of the Day…

is from page 259 of Vol. 1 of the 1980 Knopf edition of Alexis de Tocqueville’s 1835 Democracy in America [footnote deleted]:

If it be admitted that a man possessing absolute power may misuse that power by wronging his adversaries, why should not a majority be liable to the same reproach? Men do not change their characters by uniting with one another; nor does their patience in the presence of obstacles increase with their strength. For my own part, I cannot believe it; the power to do everything, which I should refuse to one of my equals, I will never grant to any number of them.

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The Condition of My Support for a Policy of Free Trade

Here’s a letter to a new correspondent.

Mr. L__:

Thanks for your email.

Calling me a “tiresome free trade fanatic,” you write that “it is unreasonable to rule out unconditionally the possibility of government restricting imports in such a manner as to improve our country’s overarching economic conditions.  Adults keep this option open.”

I don’t rule out this possibility unconditionally; I rule it out only on the condition that the creatures in government are human beings – that is, self-interested individuals with limited knowledge. If a benevolent God-like deity were to take the reins of government, I’d concede that such an omniscient being could indeed improve the economy with surgically imposed import restrictions. (I’d still oppose such restrictions, however, on moral grounds, as I treasure economic freedom as an end it itself.)

But until God sets up shop on Pennsylvania Avenue, I will oppose the government trying to improve the economy by restricting imports for the same reason that I oppose the government trying to improve the economy by sending out gangs of thugs to destroy a certain percentage of our household possessions and the capital stock of American companies.

Clever sophomores can write – as some economists have actually written – whiteboard theories under which import restrictions imposed just so will make everyone better off economically. To do so is child’s play – just as it’s child’s play to write a theory under which government-mandated destruction of X percentage of household goods and Y percentage of companies’ capital stock will make everyone better off economically. Yet I suspect that you’d have no patience for anyone proposing to keep this latter option “open.”

Adults reject policies that are justified only by such childish games. And so adults reject protectionism as a means of improving the economy.

Sincerely,
Donald J. Boudreaux
Professor of Economics
and
Martha and Nelson Getchell Chair for the Study of Free Market Capitalism at the Mercatus Center
George Mason University
Fairfax, VA 22030

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The Terms of Protectionism

Here’s a letter to the Wall Street Journal.

Editor:

Mark Penn and Andrew Stein advise Pres. Trump to “cut taxes and red tape to stimulate business investment, lower energy prices by cutting regulations, use tariffs to get the U.S. better trade terms, stoke innovation and investment in artificial intelligence, and reduce waste in government, especially needless energy subsidies and welfare fraud” (“Trump’s Economic Struggle, and Clinton’s,” December 30).

All good advice except for the bit about tariffs.

On its face, getting “the U.S. better trade terms” is unobjectionable. Who doesn’t want better terms? The trouble is that what Mr. Trump and his fellow protectionists regard as better trade terms are, in fact, worse trade terms. The president, foolishly obsessed with U.S. trade deficits, wants to use tariffs to increase American exports and decrease American imports – that is, he wants to arrange for Americans to give to foreigners more and to receive from foreigners less. This change in trade terms would indeed be better – but better for foreigners and worse for us Americans.

Sincerely,
Donald J. Boudreaux
Professor of Economics
and
Martha and Nelson Getchell Chair for the Study of Free Market Capitalism at the Mercatus Center
George Mason University
Fairfax, VA 22030

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Some Links

Phil Magness is, shall we say, not favorably impressed with Sven Beckert’s new doorstop-of-a-book, Capitalism: A Global History. Two slices:

Adam Smith, widely considered the first major theorist of capitalism, abhorred the institution of slavery. “Whatever work [a slave] does…can be squeezed out of him by violence only, and not by any interest of his own,” he wrote in 1776. In an earlier lecture, Smith indicted laws that “strengthen the authority of the masters and reduce the slaves to a more absolute subjection.” The plantation system at the core of this economy was not a competitive market; planters had secured a state-sanctioned “monopoly against all the rest of the world” and “indemnif[ied] themselves by the exorbitancy of their profites for their expensive and thriftless method of cultivation.” Smith singled out the exceptional cruelty found in the British colonies of “Jamaica and Barbadoes, where slaves are numerous and objects of jealousy [and] punishments even for slight offences are very shocking.”

Yet in Capitalism: A Global History, Sven Beckert calls colonial Barbados “an almost perfectly Smithian economy, with utility-maximizing individuals creating a newly productive division of labor”—indeed a model of market capitalism. A simple contrast of those two characterizations is enough to raise the question of whether Beckert bothered to consult what Smith actually wrote about West Indian slavery.

In the 19th century, slaveowners and abolitionists alike noted the tensions between the emerging industrial economy and the plantation system. The former depended on freedom of movement and on choice in career and industry. The latter grafted elements of feudal hierarchy and coerced labor onto a fixed model of agrarian mass production. Proslavery theorists such as George Fitzhugh saw the two systems as irreconcilable. “Laissez faire,” he argued, was “at war with all kinds of slavery, for they in fact assert that individuals and peoples prosper most when governed least.” Such testimonies complicate Beckert’s interpretation of slavery as a fundamentally capitalistic institution.

Beckert’s book, a sweeping 1,300-page history, synthesizes bits and pieces of the academic literature to recount the emergence of capitalism over the last millennium, tracing it from the port cities of Yemen in the Middle Ages to the global economy of today. But that literature is uneven and selectively curated. Standard works on the “Great Enrichment”—the sustained worldwide explosion in wealth and living standards over the last two centuries—receive scant mention. Despite the centrality of slavery to Beckert’s narrative, he relegates the vast body of empirical analysis on this question to a single footnoted reference to an unremarkable synopsis by another author.

…..

Beckert’s account repeats many common errors of this genre. He depicts 20th century trade liberalization as the quintessential neoliberal project, ignoring that its main institutional faces, the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade and later the World Trade Organization, grew out of the New Deal. While characterizing the “neoliberal” postwar economy as an institutional veneer for coercive economic violence, he almost entirely neglects its historical context amid a geopolitical struggle with the Soviet Union’s coercive applications of Marxist doctrine. And in a final twist, Beckert cannot resist impugning capitalism with another form of violence. “Fascism never broke with a fundamentally capitalist organization of economic life,” he contends, citing its alleged entrancement with the “commodification of inputs, outputs, and labor” and, above all, private property.

These features transmitted into “neoliberalism” after the war, he argues, because of the “absolute primacy of securing the workings of the price mechanism” in its doctrines. This produces a high “neoliberal” tolerance for authoritarianism, even “admiration for fascism”—a point he attempts to sustain with an out-of-context quotation by Ludwig von Mises in 1927 that credited interwar fascist governments for halting Marxist political violence.

Compare that with Beckert’s assessments of Sombart, whom he praises as “incisive” and visionary. Beckert omits the final turn in Sombart’s career. In 1934, this student of Schmoller, former correspondent of Friedrich Engels, and prophet of capitalism’s evolutionary procession would forever discredit the reputation of the German Historical School by linking it to the Third Reich. Sombart’s Deutscher Sozialismus demarcated this moment as an “age of late capitalism, which at the same time is early Socialism” and prophesied the rise of a new socialist economic order rooted in a Germanic “Volksgeist.”

University of Chicago economist Tomas Philipson’s letter in today’s Wall Street Journal is excellent:

Your editorial “By All Means Raise Mitt Romney’s Taxes” (Dec. 22) correctly stresses that the rich pay a disproportionate share of taxes. Mr. Romney still argues that people like him should pony up even more. This view is central to socialism and frequent among economists, such as Thomas Piketty, who seem confused about how markets work. They assume government has a monopoly on service, neglecting that private business owners are more generous than the most progressive of tax schedules.

In the private sector you can only sell things if you help others—that is, if customers benefit more than they pay. If you’d cough up $100 for being able to brush your teeth but a toothbrush costs $5, you benefit 20 times as much as the sticker price. That sum, what economists call “consumer surplus,” averaged across industries is about 95% of the social value created by a business.

But this is only part of how company owners help others. On average 60% of sales are wages, the best welfare program invented. Put differently, 98% of the value of starting a risky business benefits others, presumably more than the “fair share” of the rich’s labor than even communists dare propose.

Many politicians nevertheless act as if the only help that matters is given through the public sector, with them as middlemen. Never mind that help to the poor is often reduced by taxing the rich—money that would have been administered more effectively via private donations. The 250 billionaires of the Giving Pledge, launched by Bill Gates and Warren Buffett, are donating half their fortunes—surely more helpful than a 50% wealth tax.

If reformers understood markets, they would get out of the way of the superrich who are benefiting the public and resist any disincentives to their generosity. Their contributions to others are reflected proportionally in their accumulated wealth.

GMU Econ alum Dan Mitchell reports on some of the consequences of Trump’s tariffs punitive taxes on Americans’ purchases of imports.

Andrew Stuttaford warns of how nanny-staters, intoxicated with their own supposed moral superiority, are tendentiously using the concept of “externalities” to justify policies to restrict Americans’ access to alcohol.

Peter Suderman is correct: “Zohran Mamdani didn’t run on ‘affordability.’ He ran against prices.” A slice:

It’s not surprising that a self-declared socialist would make price controls a central part of his economic program. The conceit at the heart of socialism is that when it comes to the economy, politicians and bureaucrats know best. But prices, when they are allowed to work, are signals that provide decentralized information. Price controls don’t solve economic problems; they disguise them, making it harder to know what’s happening. Prices are messages, and Mamdani wants to shoot the messenger.

Consider one of Mamdani’s most notorious ideas, a pilot program to set up five city-run grocery stores because “food prices are out of control.” Mamdani pitched those stores as a way to alleviate high food prices by exempting them from rent—and by eliminating markups and profits. As he put it, these stores would be prohibited from “price gouging.” That’s just another way of saying that, in addition to tax and infrastructure advantages, they would be prohibited from charging market prices, especially in emergencies and times of great need.

Price gouging laws already exist in many states, often targeted at emergency situations such as natural disasters. When they are enforced, they tend to result in shortages. After a hurricane, for example, it can be difficult to get food, water, and generators into an impacted area. When prices are capped by law, there’s no market incentive to make an extra effort to increase supply.

Charging higher prices in times of extreme demand isn’t a form of exploitation. It’s a way of allocating scarce resources more efficiently, and bringing more supply online.

Jonah Goldberg explains that Tucker Carlson, Candace Owens, and other of today’s peddlers of whackadoodle conspiracy theories are part of a long (and not-so-admirable) American tradition. A slice:

They feed the audience just enough to get hooked in pursuit of the big reveal that is never quite revealed. Mixed in is relentless gossip about how other personalities are responding to the allegation du jure or each other. It’s equal parts soap opera, conspiracy, gossip, taboo violation and fearmongering.

The market for such titillation and tripe never went away. What vanished were the post-WWII technological and institutional roadblocks to providing it at scale. Also vanished: the willingness of enough responsible people to condemn it.

Kevin Gentry talks with my GMU Econ and Mercatus Center colleague Tyler Cowen.

Here are the 14 most-read articles in 2025 at AIER’s Daily Economy.

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Quotation of the Day…

is from page 129 of Norbert Michel’s excellent 2025 book, Crushing Capitalism: How Populist Policies are Threatening the American Dream:

Simply put, there is no reason to produce other than to consume, and there is no reason to produce anything that people do not want to consume.

DBx: As obvious as this statement is, it is denied by many protectionists, including Oren Cass and Robert Lighthizer. In part, this protectionist denial of a truth that should be – and, to economically informed people, actually is – self-evident, is due to protectionists’ overly narrow understanding of what economists mean by “consume” and “consumption.” But in other part, protectionists’ denial of this self-evident truth is explained by the simple convenience of issuing such a denial to try to bolster protectionists’ inherently weak arguments.

Although, à la Adam Smith, no further proof of this self-evident truth should be needed, the false allure of protectionism is so powerful that offering further proof is warranted. So here it is: Things that people must be paid to part with – including their time, effort, and risk-taking – are not ends in themselves; they are means to an end. And this end is consumption. Because people must be paid to work or to otherwise produce, work and production are not ends in themselves. Work and other productive activities are not their own rewards (which is why people must be paid to engage in these activities). In contrast, things that people willingly pay to experience – that is, things for which people intentionally reduce their net economic worth in order to experience – are consumption goods and activities. These activities are economic ends – and they can and do include a better work-life balance, as well as remaining in jobs that pay less money but are more satisfying.

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Michael Pettis Is a Very Poor Trade Economist

Here’s a letter to a new correspondent.

Mr J__:

Thanks for sending a link to Michael Pettis’s American Compass essay titled “America Cannot Continue to Absorb Global Imbalances.”

No, I wasn’t aware of it. Or perhaps I’ve forgotten it given that Pettis repeats ad nauseam the theme that he sounds in this essay. That theme is that trade surpluses are caused by excess saving in surplus countries – savings that are then somehow almost mechanically pumped into other countries (especially the U.S.), thus cursing these other countries with trade deficits which, in turn, result in inadequate aggregate demand in these countries.

Pettis’s economics is not credible, as I’ve explained elsewhere.

Suppose that every year your across-the-street neighbors – the Smiths and the Joneses – spend less on consumption than they earn as income. The amounts not spent are saved and invested. Were he consistent, Pettis would accuse the Smiths and Joneses of inflicting economic harm on others. Specifically, Pettis would assert that these families save excessively, and foist their excessive savings on unsuspecting businesses and other households. In Pettis’s view, receipt of these savings is a curse, for awash with Smiths’ and Jones’s savings, these businesses and other households are thereby denied the opportunity to produce for themselves the goods and services made available to them by Smiths’ and Jones’s savings.

Do you believe that if people across the street from you have a positive rate of savings the proceeds of which they invest outside of their households they thereby harm the economy in general, and, especially, the recipients of their savings? If not, why should you worry that if people living across the ocean from you have savings that they invest outside of their countries they thereby harm the economy in general, and, especially, the recipients of their savings? I see no reason for such worry.

I close by noting that Pettis also errs – wildly so – when he claims that the U.S. cannot continue to absorb what he, largely mistakenly, calls “global imbalances” (that is, other countries’ net savings).

Two days from now the U.S. will close out its 50th consecutive year of annual trade deficits, with no end of these in sight. At the root of this reality are two important facts. First, U.S. trade deficits are overwhelmingly the result of the U.S. having a relatively attractive, market-oriented, and innovative economy. Second, the number of investment opportunities in a market economy is limited only by the human imagination. There’s every reason to believe that, as long as America remains entrepreneurial and market-oriented, it will continue to be powerfully attractive to global investors. These investors will choose to invest in the U.S. as we Americans choose to accept and make a hospitable home for these investments. The continuing net inflow of investment funds to the U.S. will enrich both their foreign owners as well as us Americans.

Sincerely,
Donald J. Boudreaux
Professor of Economics
and
Martha and Nelson Getchell Chair for the Study of Free Market Capitalism at the Mercatus Center
George Mason University
Fairfax, VA 22030

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Bonus Quotation of the Day…

is from page 333 of William Easterly’s brilliant 2025 book, Violent Saviors: The West’s Conquest of the Rest:

Ukraine’s approach to dignity was an attempt at a positive-sum game of liberal values – individual freedom and consent of the governed at home, voluntary international trade, and mutual respect of sovereignty with other nations. The murderous Putin’s approach to dignity was a zero-sum game, bolstering Russia’s national dignity by taking away Ukraine’s. It came after centuries of the West’s own zero-sum game of coercion of people in the Rest in the name of progress.

Sadly, Putin was able to exploit this history to justify his own tyranny at home and abroad, just as Lenin and Hitler had justified their violence by citing Western hypocrisy on liberal values.

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